NFL Prop Bets
Can Drew Brees or any other quarterback pass for over 500 yards this season?
Any QB will record for over 5000 passing yards: -200
Yes. Drew Bress could pass for over 5,000 yard in his sleep. The Saints’ QB has two 5,000 yard season in a row and is probably a lock for another. But just incase he misses the mark, Tom Brady and Matthew Stafford threw for 5,000 yards two seasons ago and should be in contention to go over that mark again this season. At least one QB will pass for 5,000 yards this year.
Any QB Will record over 1000 rushing yards: +175
No. A coach would have to be insane to let his QB rush for over1000 yards this season—the odds would need to be over +300 for this bet to have any value. With RGIII getting hurt last year and all the concussions and protecting the QB talk, every coach in the league will have their star players on a short leash. Last year RGIII was the leading rushing QB with 833 yards, but don’t expect that to happen again this year.
Any players will record over 2000 rushing yards: +250
Maybe. Adrian Peterson is the only realistic candidate to break 2000 yards this season. Last year AP had 2,097 and could have a realistic chance at coming close to repeating those numbers again this year. But producing back-to-back 2000-yard performances is a lot to ask of any running back. Expect Peterson to have a great year but fall short of the mark.
Any QB will record over 50 TD passes: +400
No. No QB over the last six years has realistically threatened to hit the 50 TD mark since Tom Brady did it in his GOAT year in 2007. There are a handful of QBs that will get into the high 30’s and Brees will probably creep into the 40s, but there is very little chance of a 50 TD season by any QB this year.
Any player will record over 20 receiving TDs: +450
No player has had more than 17 TDs in a season since Randy Moss grabbed 23 in 2007. And as great as Calvin Johnson is, he only catch five touchdowns last season. Don’t expect anyone to come close to 20 touchdowns this season.
Any player will record over 20 rushing TDs: +600
This is another prop that has very little chance of cashing. NFL teams do not run the ball anymore, and many of the redzone plays turn into screen passes. Adrian Peterson ran for over 2000 yards last season but only had 12 touchdowns.
A team will go 16-0: +2000
A team will go 0-16: +2500
A team will go 19-0: +3000
None of those props have much of a chance of happening this season. There are no truly great teams or truly horrible teams this year, so expect every team to have a loss on their record by week 10 and every team to have at least one win by the same mark. But if you had to choose 0-16 at +2500 seems to be the most likely bet.