I've been doing this for a lot longer than just the 6 plus years that I've been coming here every day to bestow my pearls of wisdom. I've never liked losing, but losing has never been the goal, and it's never been ok even though I know it's going to happen occasionally---sometimes more "occasionally" than is expected. Yet I carry on through those rough roads when they appear. I guess I'm the epitome of the hunter/gatherer.
One of the things I learned early on in this biz is that there is no satisfaction guaranteed. That's because, to be truly successful, true satisfaction can never be attained. It's great to win, and I would never downplay that feeling at all. It's amazing, but it just can't last. I take the proceeds, toss it on the pile and then it's right back to work to get ready for the next "hunt". Sound grim? Don't be fooled. I love what I do, and I don't want to do anything else.
So, we finally took a loss last night, and it felt really bad. In the end though, it's just a speed bump. In the light of day, the fact of the matter is that the loss stopped a streak of 15 straight wins. In all my time "investing", and that includes before my daily postings, I've never had that kind of run. Yes, you've been witness to many 5, 6 or 7 game runs. They're common for me. I do recall an 11 game roll last year, but now there's a new standard. A new goal to reach out to meet and exceed. There is no other way for the true hunter/gatherer. So, let's get to work.
THE NBA (7-3 ATS/8-2 SU/3-7 TOTALS last night and 17-14/23-8/11-20 so far for the week)
BUTTA (0-1 last night and 1-1 so far for the week)
Heat (+3, O209) at SPURS - The play is the side here and not the TOTAL. With teams like the Spurs and The Champs, you can tell the importance of a game sometimes by checking the injury report. Pop has been doing it for a few year. Coach Spoelstra has been following his lead, especially with Dwayne Wade, this season. These coaches have "saved" their key players on a number of occasions in the hope of keeping them fresh for a playoff run, but if you look at the injury report for both these squads for tonight's game, they are completely clean. It's a big game for both teams when it comes to seeding in April. You know I'm a big fan of the Spurs, but If the Heat are "all in" with all the bullets in their gun, they shouldn't be getting points. Heat 107, SPURS 103
ALL THE REST
|Thunder (-6 1/2, O217)||114||Clippers||128|
|SUNS||107||LAKERS (+11, O225)||121|
---I was really hoping the Clips TOTAL would come about (215). That would have prompted an OVER move, but it's not to be. The game could end up looking like the old ABA when all is said and done as neither of these teams play defense, and they both hoist up a ton of shots early in the shot clock.
COLLEGE HOOPS (9-11 ATS/13-7 SU/10-10 TOTALS last night and 29-33/44-18/33-29 so far for the week)
BUTTA (no play last night and 3-0 so far for the week)
1. MICHIGAN ST. (-200) over Iowa - It's been well documented that I'm not a fan of the Big Ten plus 2 hype. I don't think it deserves the attention it gets, but I do like the Spartans to win tonight's game. State has been leaking oil, losing 3 of their last 4 games, including their last 2 home games. That home slump won't be extended against an explosive Hawkeye squad that doesn't play defense.
2. Portland (-165) over Loyola-Marymount - The WCC begins it's tournament tonight in Las Vegas, and I see a good spot with the Pilots here. Conference tourney time is like the start of a new season, but Loyola wasn't very good in the regular season. There's no reason to think they'll be any better tonight.
ALL THE REST
|Memphis||60||Iowa (+4 1/2, O148 1/2)||83|
|CINCINNATI (-5 1/2, U128 1/2)||66||MICHIGAN ST.||86|
|Penn St. (pk, U124 1/2)||60||Butler (+1, U137 1/2)||68|
|Villanova (-3, O137 1/2)||84||Fla.-Int'l (+3 1/2, O132 1/2)||72|
|Charlotte||61||Tulsa (-7, U139 1/2)||72|
|MARSHALL (-2, U140)||65||N. TEXAS||48|
|La. Tech||70||E. Carolina (+5 1/2, U126 1/2)||55|
|RICE (+14 1/2, U137 1/2)||67||OLD DOMINION||59|
|So. Miss||57||Utep (-9 1/2, U138 1/2)||78|
|TULANE (+12, U129 1/2)||65||TEX.-SAN ANTONIO||55|
|Mid Tennessee St. (-2 1/2, U134)||66||Lsu||61|
|UAB||60||VANDERBILT (+1 1/2, U134 1/2)||73|
|La.-Monroe||56||Texas St. (+2 1/2, O123 1/2)||67|
|ARKANSAS ST. (-10, U134 1/2)||75||S. ALABAMA||62|
|Tex.-Arlington (+1, O145 1/2)||90||Louisiana||73|
|TROY ST.||87||W. KENTUCKY (-2, O147 1/2)||83|
|Ucla (-4, O149 1/2)||78||Usc||66|
|WASHINGTON||73||WASHINGTON ST. (-5, O128 1/2)||74|
|Loyola-Marymount||66||Santa Clara (+2, O140 1/2)||76|
|Portland (-3 1/2, U145 1/2)||77||Pacific||72|
---I'm not buying a Tulane upset of So. Miss tonight. The Green Wave does play well at home, so maybe they keep it within a bulging double digit number, but the Golden Eagles are a very good team.
---I'm also skeptical of the W. Kentucky projection as well. After a great start in conference, the Hilltoppers have been struggling mightily lately.
Have a terrific Thursday! If you're starting your weekend a little early tonight, please be careful out there. I'll see you tomorrow.