Exactly How Far Will Andre Smith Fall? And At What Point Does He Become Worth The Risk?
With Smith's status quickly moving from "possible #1 overall pick" to "possible undrafted free agent". Yeah, it's that bad.
His performance (or lack thereof) at the NFL Scouting Combine was awful, as he showed up looking overweight (even for an offensive lineman), and then abruptly left halfway through, after giving sorry excuses as to why he wasn't going to work out, even though it was clear that the most likely reason was that he was out of shape.
Then, at Alabama's recent Pro Day, he put in another embarrassing performance, which one scout called the "worst workout he ever saw".
Smith's work ethic is clearly at fault here, and unless he changes something dramatically, his potentially promising NFL career could be over before it even begins.
Now that he has fallen out of the top tier of the draft, the question becomes this: When does it become a good idea to draft Andre Smith?
Based on his performance at Alabama, he clearly has 1st round talent. In fact, no one has ever questioned that. However, the value of an NFL prospect is not in his current ability, but rather in his potential to improve, and what his abilities are GOING to be, as he develops into a pro player, and works on fixing the weaknesses that every college player has before moving on to the NFL.
Based on his performance as of late, Smith might already be as good as he will ever be. Since his work ethic has proved to be deficient, he may not improve at all. While that might be fine if he were going to play in the SEC for the rest of his life, it won't be enough to conquer the enormous learning curve in the NFL.
If a team decides to take the chance on Smith, they better talk to him extensively beforehand, and interview him as many times as it takes for them to understand what makes him tick. If a coach can find a way to motivate him and get all of the possible talent that he has to offer, then they might be able to get first round talent at a 3rd round price, or maybe even later. Otherwise, it will be a wasted pick, because it's clear that he's not going to do it on his own.
Andre Smith's Draft Freefall Continues [Shutdown Corner]