BCS Title Scenarios: Five Teams Battling For Two Spots

12/3/13 in NCAAF   |   BlakeLovell   |   86 respect

Jan 7, 2013; Miami, FL, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide head coach Nick Saban holds the Coaches Trophy after the 2013 BCS Championship game against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Sun Life Stadium. Alabama won 42-14.  Mandatory Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY SportsThroughout its reign of terror on the world of college football, the BCS hasn't exactly been the easiest system to figure out.

Five teams realistically still hold a chance to make it to the BCS title game in Pasadena, so there are several ways that this could all play out.

Let's take a look at the six most realistic scenarios that will determine who plays for the final BCS crown:

Scenario #1 - Florida State wins ACC, Ohio State wins Big Ten, Missouri wins SEC
BCS National Championship: Florida State vs. Ohio State

Obviously, this is the easiest scenario to figure out. It may also be the most likely. If Florida State dominates Duke like most expects it to and Ohio State beats Michigan State, this will be the probable scenario. This also factors in Missouri beating Auburn in the SEC title game. That result is important when it comes to scenario number three.

Scenario #2 - FSU wins ACC, OSU wins Big Ten, Auburn wins SEC
BCS National Championship: Florida State vs. Ohio State

Here's another chance for the current 1-2 teams to play each other. The SEC winner means nothing if FSU/OSU win and the voters choose to keep the Buckeyes at number two.

Scenario #3 - FSU wins ACC, OSU wins Big Ten, Auburn wins SEC
BCS National Championship: Florida State vs. Auburn

This scenario is where things could become interesting. I think that Auburn as the SEC champion has a much better chance of jumping an undefeated Ohio State than Missouri does. That's just my personal opinion. What also comes into play here is the decision of the voters. If Ohio State sneaks by and Auburn wins convincingly, that could be enough to swing votes Auburn's way and allow them to take over the second spot in the BCS rankings.

Scenario #4FSU wins ACC, Michigan State wins Big Ten
BCS National Championship: Florida State vs. Auburn/Missouri winner

Another simple scenario here. A loss by Ohio State would effectively make the SEC championship a play-in game for a BCS title game appearance. Auburn or Missouri takes on the Seminoles in this case.

Scenario #5 - Duke wins ACC, OSU wins Big Ten
BCS National Championship: Ohio State vs. Auburn/Missouri winner

A scenario without Florida State seems highly unlikely. But, it's certainly possible if Jameis Winston is charged before Saturday.

Scenario #6 - Duke wins ACC, MSU wins Big Ten
BCS National Championship: Auburn/Missouri winner vs. Alabama

And now for the strangest scenario of all. Should both Florida State and Ohio State be upset on Saturday, then it turns into a battle between three SEC teams fighting for two spot. Yes, Alabama could once again not play on championship Saturday and still be involved in the national title game. And, well, if Auburn scores the victory over Missouri, the biggest Iron Bowl game in history would take place for college football's ultimate prize.

 Which scenario do you think will play out this weekend? Let us know by commenting below! For more college football talk, follow @FanIQ or myself on Twitter!
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12/3/13   |   MortonsLaw   |   156 respect

I'd love to see the look on Urban Meyer's face should Auburn jump OSU in the polls. Nobody loathes Meyer more than I do. One of the greatest wins in Alabama history was destroying Tebow and Meyer. Meyer essentially quit coaching in the big leagues and went to Triple A.

12/3/13   |   BlakeLovell   |   86 respect

MortonsLaw wrote:
The least likely is Duke beating FSU. It's funny because it's a battle of 'who have you beaten that matters' game. In fact, the Ohio State/Michigan State game is very similar when you look at schedules. However, I can't punish top teams just because the entire conference is a joke. It's not their fault.

With that said, after watching Ohio State's effort against Michigan, we can only hope Michigan State does the SEC a favor in taking out those wannabes coached by Urban Meyer. As an Alabama/SEC fan it's a catch 22 should Auburn play FSU in the title game. I enjoy the current SEC streak of National Championships, but rooting for Auburn is like rooting for your boss to bang your wife. And I'm not from Alabama so the rivalry with Auburn doesn't have the same impact on me as it does the people who live there. Throughout the 90s I hated Florida and Tennessee more. 

The only thing that will bother me about an FSU/Missouri title game is, despite beating Auburn, I'd still believe Alabama would beat Missouri on a neutral field. 

In my perfect world, both upsets happen and we get the rematch of Alabama/Auburn for the National title. I would love seeing the game, and I would love hearing the rest of the nation cry how Bama doesn't deserve to be there. Yeah, because the two-time defending National Champion clearly hasn't done enough to prove they are worthy of defending their title, especially after a fluke loss. 

 

I'm still of the opinion that Bama is still the best overall team in the country. I'd put Florida State second and Auburn third. So I feel like FSU/Auburn or Bama/Auburn would be the best game for the national title.

I've been saying for the past few weeks that I think Michigan State will beat Ohio State. Even if they don't and Auburn wins the SEC title, I honestly believe the majority of voters will move Auburn to number two in the polls. It's crazy to think Ohio State could be left out after two undefeated seasons, but it's a huge possibility right now.

Florida State is pretty much a lock. What happens after that will be very intriguing to watch.

12/3/13   |   MortonsLaw   |   156 respect

(Edited by MortonsLaw)

The least likely is Duke beating FSU. It's funny because it's a battle of 'who have you beaten that matters' game. In fact, the Ohio State/Michigan State game is very similar when you look at schedules. However, I can't punish top teams just because the entire conference is a joke. It's not their fault.

With that said, after watching Ohio State's effort against Michigan, we can only hope Michigan State does the SEC a favor in taking out those wannabes coached by Urban Meyer. As an Alabama/SEC fan it's a catch 22 should Auburn play FSU in the title game. I enjoy the current SEC streak of National Championships, but rooting for Auburn is like rooting for your boss to bang your wife. And I'm not from Alabama so the rivalry with Auburn doesn't have the same impact on me as it does the people who live there. Throughout the 90s I hated Florida and Tennessee more. 

The only thing that will bother me about an FSU/Missouri title game is, despite beating Auburn, I'd still believe Alabama would beat Missouri on a neutral field. 

In my perfect world, both upsets happen and we get the rematch of Alabama/Auburn for the National title. I would love seeing the game, and I would love hearing the rest of the nation cry how Bama doesn't deserve to be there. Yeah, because the two-time defending National Champion clearly hasn't done enough to prove they are worthy of defending their title, especially after a fluke loss.