Bad Moon Rising

5/7/13 in   |   pigskinfan   |   44 respect

Baten down the hatches, boys! It looks like it's going to be one of those weeks! Just a crazy set of circumstances from down in Florida last night. There was the stunner in Miami with the Bulls getting over in the Heat in the 1st game of that series, but what was more disconcerting to me was the Rays outcome in Tampa. After building a nice, solid lead with a big 7-run inning, the Rays ended coughing the whole thing up and losing. And they were just one strike away from winning, but that's what happens in baseball. A team has to be on it for 27 outs. They can't wait out a clock.

 


The knee-jerk here would probably be to jump right back on the Rays again tonight, but I think that would be a big mistake. Maddon burned out the back end of his pen last night by asking Rodney to get 5 outs, and Perralta struggled through his 1 total inning of work. Ands he's most likely going to need his pen with the pitcher formerly known as Fausto Carmona taking the bump tonight. The bottom line is that you shouldn't expect to see me touting a Rays bounce back anywhere in today's post.

 


THE SHOW (1-3 last night and 1-7 so far for the week)

 


BUTTA (0-2 last night and 0-4 so far for the week)

Cardinals (Lynn -140) over CUBS (WOOD) - Travis Wood has been pretty solid for the Cubs so far this season, but I just can't pass on Lance Lynn here. Lynn is 4-0 lifetime against the Cubbies, and over the last 2 years, he's 17-1 against division opponents and 16-3 versus sub-.500 teams.

 


ON THE CUTTING ROOM FLOOR

1. Angels (Wilson -180) over ASTROS (LYLES) - It's hard to argue with the fact that Wilson is 3-0 lifetime against the 'Stros, or that he's 39-13 in his career against sub-.500 teams. What I do have a problem with, and why I won't be moving on this game, is the fact that Wilson throws too many pitches. That brings the Halos bullpen into play, and those guys are just awful.

2. D-Backs (McCarthy +110) over DODGERS (BECKETT) - About all I can say about this game is that I think it's time for Beckett to seriously consider hangin'em up. He can't get anybody out with a fastball that no longer has any pop or movement or that rinky-dink breaking stuff he's got.

 


RUN-(NING) LINES (2-7 ATS/5-4 SU/4-5 TOTALS last night and 9-15/10-12/8-18 so far for the week)

1. INDIANS (-1 1/2, U8 1/2) over Athletics

2. RED SOX (-1 1/2, O9) over Twins

3. RAYS (-1 1/2, U8) over Blue Jays

4. Royals (+1 1/2, U8) at ORIOLES

5. Angels (-1 1/2, O9) over ASTROS

6. Braves (+1 1/2, O7 1/2) at REDS

7. PADRES (-1 1/2, O7 1/2) over Marlins

8. D-Backs (+1 1/2, O7) at DODGERS

9. Phillies (+1 1/2, U7) at GIANTS

10. Cardinals (-1 1/2, O7 1/2) over CUBS

11. White Sox (+1 1/2, U6 1/2) at METS

12. BREWERS (+1 1/2, O8 1/2) vs. Rangers

13. Mariners (+1 1/2, U8) at PIRATES

14. Yankees (+1 1/2, U9) at ROCKIES

15. Tigers (+1 1/2, U7) at NATIONALS

 


THE NBA (1-1 ATS/1-1 SU/0-2 TOTALS last night and 2-2/2-2/0-4 so far for the week)

1. KNICKS (-6, U183 1/2) 81, Pacers 72 - After losing the 1st game of this series, you would think the Knicks would be almost an automatic to defend their home court tonight. They aren't the best team in this series though. No way I'd ever lay (-6) with an inferior team.

2. THUNDER (-2 1/2, U186 1/2) 97, Grizzlies 89 - I pondered going against my numbers here and throwing in with the Griz. They have a lot fewer adjustments to make from Game 1 than the Thunder do. There's no need to panic, but with the way things have been going for me so far this week, I'll be sitting back and watch the Griz win this game.

 


Hey! That's pretty good, huh? A bold prediction to close out the day's festivities? Have a great rest of your day, and I'll see you tomorrow.

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