Breaking The Habit

7/9/14 in MLB   |   pigskinfan   |   65 respect

A bit of a change in scheduling for me today.  Normally, I would have been here a lot earlier due to the early start in Detroit, but since I had no interest in the game, other than to see the premium matchup between Planet Zack and Mad Max, I got off to an extra early start with my Hump Day running around so I could get back to watch the game.

Last night's loss with Tanaka and the Yanks was a tad frustrating since the Bombers got off to a great start, but Mr. Tanaka should be learning some things about the bigs.  It is a league of adjustments.  The Indians, like the previous 2 teams to face him, have changed their approach to attacking him.  While it was common early on for hitters to "see what Tanaka had", the last few teams to face him have taken to hacking away early in the count.  First fastball in the zone gets a rip.  What will be very interesting to see now is how Mr. Tanaka adjusts to combat this approach.  It really is a fun game of cat and mouse even if we do lose one here and there along the way.

THE SHOW  (1-3 yesterday and 9-5 so far for the week)

BUTTA  (0-1 yesterday and 3-1 so far for the week)
REDS (SIMON -160) over Cubs (Beeler) - One of the questions we have to ask ourselves is how much did yesterday's double dip take out of either of these teams?  Did the Reds have to use too much energy to win both games, including a comeback from a 5-run deficit In the nightcap?  Or is the Cubs that are completely deflated after dropping both ends after giving up that big lead late in Game 2?  I don't really have the answer, but the numbers have me wanting to get on this game.  In a short sample, Simon is 2-0 lifetime against the Cubs, but the Reds are 15-3 when he takes the bump this season.  Simon is also 8-0 against division opponents and 10-0 against sub-.500 teams so far this year.  Looking ahead on the schedule over the next  couple of days, this is the best option we're going to see, and that's another reason I'm willing to jump.

1.  Braves (Santana -120) over METS (GEE) - The Mets have had a good time over the last couple of nights, and I really like Dillon Gee.  I think he's the best they have, but he's coming off the DL, where he's been since May.  I have the feeling they handle him with kid gloves tonight, and once that Mets pen gets the game, anything can happen.
2.  BREWERS (LOHSE -200) over Phillies (Hernandez) - The Crew has come back to the pack now, and a lot of it has to do with the fact that they're slumping a bit offensively.  That should get fixed, at least temporarily, against Hernandez tonight.  Also, I don't know how he does it, but Lohse gets guys out, and he seems to have his best outings when his team needs it most.
3.  White Sox (Sale -120) over RED SOX (DeLa ROSA) - This is a really cheap price for Sale, but I'm wary of it.  The Pale Hose aren't as good as they've played in the first 2 games of this series.  They're definitely better when Sale is on the bump, and the Red Sox are just horrid.  They are a pathetic excuse for a champion, but Rubby has yet to give up an earned run when he starts a game in The Fens.

RUN LINES  (6-9 ATS & SU/8-7 TOTALS yesterday and 25-19 ATS & SU/24-20 TOTALS so far for the week)
Yankees (+1 1/2, O8) Braves
INDIANS METS (+1 1/2, O7)
Royals (+1 1/2, U6 1/2) Cubs
RAYS REDS (-1 1/2, U7 1/2)
White Sox (-1 1/2, O7 1/2) Phillies
RED SOX BREWERS (-1 1/2, O8 1/2)
Astros (+1 1/2, O8) Pirates (+1 1/2, U7 1/2)
Blue Jays Padres (+1 1/2, U11 1/2)
Twins (+1 1/2, U7 1/2) Marlins (+1 1/2, U8 1/2)
Dodgers (+1 1/2, O7 1/2) A's (-1 1/2, U7)
ORIOLES (-1 1/2, U8 1/2)  

---I'm showing a tie for that Braves/METS matchup tonight.
---Let's all watch the Pirates very closely tonight.  They've been crushed by walk-off ding-dongs in each of the last 2 nights in St. Louis, and now they have to face Lance Lynn.
---The Giants are ridiculously bad right now, and they're beginning to play with a victim mentality.  They spent the first 2 times through their lineup last night whining about the umpire's strike zone.  Meanwhile, the A's got a feel for things early and went to hacking and attacking.  The G-Men need to learn quickly that feeling sorry for yourself and your plight is not going to get any sympathy from an opponent.
---The Royals are in St. Pete to contest the rubber game of the series against the Rays tonight.  All the numbers look good for K.C., and Cobb has shown himself to be nothing special since his return from the DL.  But my personal opinion and feel for things makes me think twice.  The Royals open a 4-game series here in God's Country tomorrow night against the Tigers.

BROOMOLOGY  (1-3 ATS & SU so far for the week)

Home Favorite  (no situations so far this week)
RANGERS (-1 1/2) over Astros

If you're watching, I don't need to tell you, but Mad Max and the Tigers have the upper hand right now over Planet Zack and the Dodgers.  L.A. has had their chances though.  I love baseball!  Have a great rest of your Hump Day.  I'll talk to you tomorrow.
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