Easy does it. Just like a warm summer breeze in July. That's me. I could have enhanced things by getting on the Nugs as I was thinking I might early in the day, but I'm not worried a bit about passing on them and just sticking with the win with my 1st baseball play of the year. What I know about the Spurs and Nugs and my instincts for the game told me that I should be on the Nugs. The numbers told me I should be on the Nugs. The trending data told me I should walk away from the game, and if everything doesn't line up just right, I'm most likely going to do just that.
There are times when what I feel deep down will trump what the numbers or trending data tells me, and as a rule, I'm usually right to fly in the face of those latter 2 important pieces to the puzzle. But since I already had a win in my back pocket for the day, it just didn't make any sense to me to push the envelope. Tonight is a much different story. We do have a game in The Association that will involve me casting aside what I see on the paper in front of me in favor of the situation for both teams involved. Let's get to work.
THE NBA (4-6 last night and 25-14 so far for the week)
SU WINNERS (4-5 last night and 16-12 so far for the week)
Knicks and WARRIORS
TOTALS (4-6 last night and 10-19 so far for the week)
Both of tonight's games look like UNDERS - Knicks/BULLS (192) and Thunder/WARRIORS (204)
BUTTA (no play last night and 3-0 so far for the week)
Thunder (-175) over WARRIORS - I happen to think the Thunder rolls the Warriors up tonight and bounces them right out of the gym, but my numbers tell me a different story. OkC is in a pitched battle for the top spot out west, and that will take precedence here as the Warriors fate is still not settled with their seeding either. What the Warriors will encounter tonight, however, may be a bit of a letdown from their last game when they finally, once and for all, clinched a spot in the postseason for the first time in years. Also, the Thunder are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in this series, so the (-4 1/2) hung on them "feels" safe. Looking at my numbers for the game though, it just isn't safe enough. The projection I have, in fact, has the Warriors winning the game outright. I strongly disagree and will back that up with a play on the Thunder instead. WARRIORS 93, Thunder 89
ALL THE REST
Knicks (-4 1/2) over BULLS - It's hard to tell the players without a scorecard these days in Chicago, and Noah, Deng and Taj Gibson are all "expected to miss" again tonight for the home team. It looks like it should be a pretty easy play to make on the Knicks, but I remember what happened a couple of weeks ago when the Heat came into The Windy City carrying a long winning streak with them. Those who refuse to heed history are soon doomed to repeat it. Knicks 98, BULLS 86
THE SHOW (1-0 yesterday)
It's really a little more difficult than I thought it would be to stay off King Felix and Planet Zack tonight, but I guess a little success is like blood in the water to a shark. I will be backing off and sitting on my hands tonight though because Hernandez, even though he's throwing in front of "The Court" for the first time this season, has not had a good history against the Rangers, and the Dodgers just aren't floating my boat yet with the way they continually squander prime offensive opportunities in the early going.
BROOMOLOGY (2-3 ATS & SU yesterday and 4-8 SU & ATS so far for the week)
Road Dog (1-2 ATS & SU yesterday and 3-5 ATS & SU for the week)
White Sox (+1 1/2) at NATIONALS
Home Favorites (1-0 ATS & SU yesterday and 1-1 ATS & SU so far for the week)
INDIANS (-1 1/2) over Yankees
ANGELS (-1 1/2) over Athletics
And there we have it. Another Thursday quickly in the books. Have a great evening. Be careful out there if you're starting your weekend a little early tonight, and I'll talk to you again tomorrow.