College Football: NCAA '13 Simulation
NCAAF, Fantasy

Forecasting the 2012 Football Season With NCAA '13

7/13/12 in NCAAF   |   Tyler_Waddell   |   426 respect

My midnight trip to the nearest Wal-Mart proved to be the highlight of the day, as I ventured to purchase the latest college football video game. I took it home and immediately went to work.Blog Photo - College Football: NCAA '13 Simulation

Although I'm more of a Madden gamer (actually, I just suck at NCAA), I am pleased to say that I have yet to be disappointed with EA Sports. '13 brings a lot of new, exciting graphics to the table, and features some realistic in-game adjustments.

That's why I decided to simulate the entire upcoming season based off the game's take on what's to come. No ratings, rosters or schedules were tampered with, even though there have been a few recent movements (you're welcome, Georgia fans).

Here is what NCAA Football '13 thinks will happen this year:


The Heisman

Matt Barkley who? Washington quarterback Keith Price blows away the Pac-12 and edges out Georgia's sophomore running back Isaiah Crowell (ah hem) for the most prestigious award in college football. Will he be the next RG III and watch his draft stock skyrocket?Blog Photo - College Football: NCAA '13 Simulation

1. Keith Price (Washington): 241-371 (65.0%), 4,120 yards, 43 TDs, 7 INTs, 192.7 QBR ... 124 carries, 561 yards (4.5 ypc), 5 TDs

2. Isaiah Crowell (Georgia, sort of): 326 carries, 1,961 yards (6.0 ypc), 18 TDs

3. Collin Klein (Kansas State): 193-291 (66.3%), 2,465 yards, 35 TDs, 6 INTs, 173.0 QBR ... 145 carries, 759 yards (5.2 ypc), 5 TDs

4. Marcus Lattimore (South Carolina): 189 carries, 1,159 yards (6.1 ypc), 14 TDs ... 31 receptions, 554 yards, 5 TDs

5. James Franklin (Missouri): 164-309 (53.1%), 2,218 yards, 22 TDs, 6 INTs, 133.0 QBR ... 181 carries, 756 yards (4.2 ypc), 10 TDs


ACC Atlantic

Clemson drops off after a great year of productivity in 2011, Florida State finally comes through and wins the conference championship, while NC State gives it a run for its money?

1. Florida State: 10-3 (8-1)
2. North Carolina State: 11-1 (7-1)
3. Clemson: 8-4 (6-2)
4. Maryland: 6-6 (3-5)
5. Wake Forest: 4-8 (2-6)
6. Boston College: 4-8 (1-7)


Notable Seasons

Mike Glennon (QB, NC State): 207-366 (56.6%), 26 TDs, 7 INTs, 143.8 QBR
James Washington (RB, NC State): 200 carries, 1,101 yards (5.5 ypc), 15 TDs
Matt Furstenburg (TE, Maryland): 65 receptions, 1,163 yards, 12 TDs
Christian Jones (LB, Florida State): 89 tackles (20 TFL), 3.5 sacks, 1 INT


ACC Coastal


Whoa, so much for Virginia Tech as the favorite to win the Coastal. According to NCAA '13, the Hokies aren't even better than their in-state rival. Other than Georgia Tech pulling an incredible run to the conference title game, nothing else here is too shocking.

1. Georgia Tech: 11-2 (7-2)
2. Miami (Fla.): 7-5 (5-3)
3. Virginia: 5-7 (3-5)
4. Virginia Tech: 6-6 (3-5)
5. North Carolina: 5-7 (2-6)
6. Duke: 4-8 (2-6)


Notable Seasons

Bryn Renner (QB, UNC): 185-360 (51.4%), 2,566 yards, 20 TDs, 13 INTs, 122.4 QBR
Tony Zenon (RB, Georgia Tech): 293 carries, 1,545 yards (5.3 ypc), 17 TDs
Brandon Braxton (WR, Duke): 62 receptions, 1,008 yards, 10 TDs
Shayon Green (DE, Miami): 73 tackles (19 TFL), 6.5 sacks, 1 forced fumble


Big 12


West Virginia left the Big East for better competition in order to receive more BCS votes. Well, it got what it asked for, but NCAA believes the Mountaineers will be heading back to hilltops without a postseason appearance. Landry Jones and Oklahoma will be subdued to another disappointing year, while TCU enjoys its first year in the Big 12 by finishing in second place.Blog Photo - College Football: NCAA '13 Simulation

1. Kansas State: 11-1 (8-1)
2. TCU: 10-2 (7-2)
3. Oklahoma: 10-2 (7-2)
4. Texas: 8-4 (6-3)
5. Oklahoma State: 6-6 (4-5)
6. Baylor: 5-7 (3-6)
7. Kansas: 5-7 (3-6)
8. Iowa State: 4-8 (3-6)
9. West Virginia: 4-8 (2-7)
10. Texas Tech: 5-7 (2-7)


Notable Seasons

Collin Klein (QB, Kansas State): 193-291 (66.3%), 2,365 yards, 35 TDs, 6 INTs, 173.0 QBR
Casey Pachall (QB, TCU): 202-323 (62.5%), 3,251 yards, 33 TDs, 5 INTs, 177.7 QBR
Landry Jones (QB, Oklahoma): 202-340 (59.4%), 3,182 yards, 37 TDs, 6 INTs, 170.4 QBR
Dominique Whaley (RB, Oklahoma): 203 carries, 1,067 yards (5.3 ypc), 13 TDs
Tracy Moore (WR, Oklahoma State): 78 receptions, 1,050 yards, 10 TDs
Haldon Tharp (LB, Kansas): 92 tackles (12 TFL), 2.5 sacks, 1 INT, 1 forced fumble


Big East

Temple wasted no time easing into the transition from the MAC to the Big East, winning six of seven conference games and taking the title. Louisville--the projected winner by many--fell far short of its goal and expectations by finishing in third, while Skip Holtz (who was recently given a contract extension) and the USF Bulls self-destructed.Blog Photo - College Football: NCAA '13 Simulation

1. Temple: 8-4 (6-1)
2. Cincinnati: 9-3 (5-2)
3. Louisville: 8-4 (4-3)
4. Connecticut: 8-4 (4-3)
5. Rutgers: 7-5 (4-3)
6. Pittsburgh: 4-8 (2-5)
7. Syracuse: 5-7 (2-5)
8. South Florida: 4-8 (1-6)


Notable Seasons

Ryan Nassib (QB, Syracuse): 130-247 (52.6%), 1,912 yards, 14 TDs, 6 INTs, 131.5 QBR
*Matt Brown (RB, Temple): 237 carries, 1,413 yards (6.0 ypc), 13 TDs
David Stevens (TE, Syracuse): 52 receptions, 747 yards, 8 TDs
Dyshawn Davis (LB, Syracuse): 90 tackles (9 TFL), 2.0 sacks, 3 forced fumbles

*NCAA '13 did not recognize Montel Harris' transfer from Boston College to Temple


Big Ten Leaders


The year that could have been. That's what Ohio State fans will be wondering if the Buckeyes' season reflects how NCAA '13 has it, as they finished 11-2 with a loss to Michigan State in the conference championship. Ohio State isn't eligible for the title game or any postseason festivities thanks to its sanctions, but at least we all know what would happen if it were able. Right?

1. Wisconsin: 11-1 (7-1)
2. Ohio State: 11-2 (7-2)
3. Illinois: 7-5 (4-4)
4. Penn State: 7-5 (4-4)
5. Purdue: 6-6 (3-5)
6. Indiana: 4-8 (0-8)


Notable Seasons

Braxton Miller (QB, Ohio State): 172-340 (50.1%), 2,431 yards, 19 TDs, 8 INTs, 124.6 QBR ... 201 carries, 996 yards (5.0 ypc), 9 TDs
Montee Ball (RB, Wisconsin): 202 carries, 1,347 yards, 10 TDs
Spencer Harris (WR, Illinois): 79 receptions, 1,121 yards, 11 TDs
Chase Hoobler (LB, Indiana): 81 tackles (20 TFL), 4.5 sacks, 4 INTs


Big Ten Legends


The Wolverines can't handle their brutal schedule (and lose to Ohio State 40-7--no I did not play that game myself) despite working up some pretty extensive offseason hype, Nebraska fails to do much in its second season as a member of the Big Ten, and Minnesota is, well, Minnesota. Sparty wins back-to-back conference titles and Iowa quietly finishes with an outstanding year.Blog Photo - College Football: NCAA '13 Simulation

1. Michigan State: 10-3 (7-2)
2. Iowa: 10-2 (6-2)
3. Michigan: 8-4 (5-3)
4. Nebraska: 7-5 (3-5)
5. Northwestern: 5-7 (3-5)
6. Minnesota: 3-9 (0-8)


Notable Seasons

James Vandenberg (QB, Iowa): 225-326 (69.0%), 2,889 yards, 21 TDs, 8 INTs, 159.8 QBR
Le'Veon Bell (RB, Michigan State): 186 carries, 1,141 yards (6.1 ypc), 10 TDs
Keith Mumphery (WR, Michigan State): 64 receptions, 839 yards, 10 TDs
Denicos Allen (LB, Michigan State): 88 tackles (18 TFL), 6.5 sacks, 1 INT, 1 forced fumble


Independents


Other than giving BYU one more win to make it 9-3, I predicted Independent's season outcome last week in one of my preview/prediction pieces. NCAA '13 agrees with me.

1. Notre Dame: 8-4
2. BYU: 8-4
3. Navy: 7-5
4. Army: 4-8


Notable Seasons

Riley Nelson (QB, BYU): 175-347 (50.4%), 2,556 yards, 24 TDs, 11 INTs, 128.8 QBR
Gee Gee Greene (RB, Navy): 290 carries, 1,540 yards (5.3 ypc), 13 TDs
Kaneakua Friel (TE, BYU): 57 receptions, 882 yards, 8 TDs
Brandon Ogletree (LB, BYU): 80 tackles (9 TFL), 3.5 sacks, 2 INTs, 7 forced fumbles


Pac-12 North


So apparently QB Keith Price is going to win the Heisman, take Washington to a 12-1 record (after finishing 7-6 the year before) while winning the Pac-12 championship, and lead his team to a BCS bowl appearance. I'm in!

1. Washington: 12-1 (9-1)
2. Oregon: 9-3 (7-2)
3. Stanford: 8-4 (5-4)
4. Oregon State: 4-8 (3-6)
5. California: 4-8 (2-7)
6. Washington State: 5-7 (2-7)


Notable Seasons

Keith Price (QB, Washington): 241-371 (65.0%), 4,120 yards, 43 TDs, 7 INTs, 192.7 QBR
Kenjon Barner (RB, Oregon): 182 carries, 998 yards (5.5 ypc), 13 TDs
Marquess Wilson (WR, Washington State): 66 receptions, 1,166 yards, 10 TDs
Feti Unga (LB, Oregon State): 82 tackles (19 TFL), 2.5 sacks, 2 INTs, 1 forced fumble


Pac-12 South


I hate to break it to you, Trojan fans, but your coveted quarterback is going to suffer a season-ending shoulder injury down the stretch that will ultimately cause you to lose your final three of four games and prevent a trip to Sun Life Stadium. The video game predicts that Utah will capitalize on USC's woes and finish first in the South.

1. Utah: 11-2 (8-2)
2. USC: 9-3 (6-3)
3. Arizona State: 6-6 (5-4)
4. UCLA: 6-6 (5-4)
5. Colorado: 3-9 (2-7)
6. Arizona: 4-8 (1-8)

Notable Seasons

Jordan Wynn (QB, Utah): 248-400 (62.0%), 3,617 yards, 40 TDs, 4 INTs, 169.0 QBR
Kelvin York (HB, Utah): 289 carries, 1,484 yards (5.1 ypc), 15 TDs
DeVonte Christopher (WR, Utah): 84 receptions, 1,065 yards, 13 TDs
Grandville Taylor (LB, Arizona State): 93 tackles (18 TFL), 3.5 sacks, 1 INT, 3 forced fumbles


SEC East


No surprises here: Georgia is expected to make its second appearance in as many years in the SEC championship game, while Missouri returns a strong class in its first season as a member of the toughest conference in America. South Carolina, Tennessee and Florida all beat up on each other and finish with slightly above-average seasons.Blog Photo - College Football: NCAA '13 Simulation

1. Georgia: 11-2 (8-1)
2. Missouri: 10-2 (6-2)
3. South Carolina: 8-4 (4-4)
4. Tennessee: 7-5 (4-4)
5. Florida: 8-4 (4-4)
6. Vanderbilt: 3-9 (1-7)
7. Kentucky: 2-10 (0-8)


Notable Seasons

Aaron Murray (QB, Georgia): 132-211 (62.3%), 1,794 yards, 20 TDs, 6 INTs, 159.6 QBR
Isaiah Crowell (RB, Georgia--yeah...sorry): 326 carries, 1,961 yards (6.0 ypc), 18 TDs
T.J. Moe (WR, Missouri): 54 receptions, 671 yards, 11 TDs
Jon Bostic (LB, Florida): 87 tackles (14 TFL), 5.0 sacks, 1 INT, 4 forced fumbles


SEC West


This is the part where we all laugh together and say, 'It's just a video game.' Right? Although I do think Arkansas will have an incredible offensive attack and overall team, I still believe Nick Saban and the Tide will not miss a beat and take the West in 2012. NCAA '13 predicts that while Alabama and LSU have down years (8-4 is a down year for them), Auburn and Ole Miss will rise from the abyss and combine for a 17-8 record. My reaction: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UjXi6X-moxE.

1. Arkansas: 10-2 (6-2)
2. Auburn: 10-3 (6-3)
3. LSU: 8-4 (5-3)
4. Alabama: 8-4 (4-4)
5. Texas A&M: 8-4 (4-4)
6. Ole Miss: 7-5 (3-5)
7. Mississippi: 6-6 (2-6)


Notable Seasons

Tyler Wilson (QB, Arkansas): 196-347 (56.5%), 2,860 yards, 35 TDs, 8 INTs, 154.4 QBR
Eddie Lacy (RB, Alabama): 169 carries, 1,056 yards, 9 TDs
Philip Lutzenkirchen (TE, Auburn): 65 receptions, 985 yards, 12 TDs
Serderius Bryant (LB, Ole Miss): 79 tackles (17 TFL), 5.5 sacks, 1 forced fumble


Non-BCS Bowl Games

I know you're sitting on the edge of your seat just dying with anticipation to see who will win the Poinsettia Bowl. Or maybe the Little Caesars Pizza Bowl? How about the Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl. No? Oh. Well, here you go anyways.Blog Photo - College Football: NCAA '13 Simulation

New Mexico Bowl: Central Michigan 28, Colorado State 26
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Utah State 40, Ball State 37
New Orleans Bowl: Arkansas State 31, Houston 24
Beef O'Brady's Bowl: Central Florida 35, Connecticut 21
Poinsettia Bowl: Ole Miss 27, Boise State 14
Las Vegas Bowl: Nevada 21, Arizona State 16
Hawai'i Bowl: Rice 36, Louisiana Tech 30
Independence Bowl: Fresno State 27, Virginia Tech 17 (ouch)
Little Caesars Pizza Bowl: Purdue 45, Northern Illinois 17
Belk Bowl: Cincinnati 28, Miami (Fla.) 21
Military Bowl: Western Michigan 42, Navy 16
Holiday Bowl: Oklahoma State 41, USC 21 (*shudders*)
Alamo Bowl: Oklahoma 51, Oregon 17 (not exactly what Landry Jones had in mind)
Champs Sports Bowl: Notre Dame 38, Georgia Tech 17
Insight Bowl: Texas 26, Illinois 3
Music City Bowl: Maryland 26, Tennessee 21
Sun Bowl: Stanford 19, Clemson 7 (at least Swinney didn't have a repeat of last year's bowl appearance)
Armed Forces Bowl: Air Force 25, SMU 23
AutoZone Liberty Bowl: Louisville 27, Tulsa 21
Meineke Car Bowl: BYU 38, Penn State 31
Chick-fil-A Bowl: South Carolina 24, NC State 21
Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl: Texas A&M 35, UCLA 13
Outback Bowl: Auburn 49, Iowa 28
Capital One Bowl: Missouri 24, Ohio State 21 (what bowl ban?)
Gator Bowl: Michigan 23, Alabama 20 (revenge from Week 1 blowout)
TicketCity Bowl: Nebraska 55, East Carolina 31
AT&T Cotton Bowl: TCU 24, LSU 19 (hide yo children, hide yo wife!)
BBVA Compass Bowl: Florida 28, Rutgers 14
GoDaddy.com Bowl: Miami (Oh.) 21, Western Kentucky 7



BCS Bowls

Florida International in the Orange Bowl? The Golden Panthers were the laughing stock of college football just a few short years ago, and now NCAA '13 projects them to be the next Boise State of mid-majors. FIU will ostensibly carry an undefeated record into Miami, Florida and take on the Florida State Seminoles. As for the rest of the bowl games, here they are, too.

Rose Bowl: Michigan State 24, Utah 22
Allstate Sugar Bowl: Washington 38, Georgia 21
Orange Bowl: Florida State 34, FIU 13
Fiesta Bowl: Kansas State 38, Temple 10


BCS National Championship


This particular video must love controversy, because it's sending a team that didn't win its conference to the national championship once again. Like 2011 when Alabama did it, Wisconsin sneaks into the title game after placing second in the Big Ten Leaders division. College playoffs, anyone?Blog Photo - College Football: NCAA '13 Simulation

The only difference here is that the Badgers didn't piss anybody off by winning; although they held a 20-17 lead at halftime, Arkansas put together 21 unanswered points in the fourth quarter--all with under seven minutes to play. Razorbacks win, and so does the SEC for the seventh year in a row.

Arkansas 38, Wisconsin 20

QB Tyler Wilson wins MVP: 17-31 (54.8%), 230 yards, 2 TDs, 138.5 QBR




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