College football 2013: Comparing preseason predictions to actual outcome

How do my preseason predictions look now?

12/17/13 in NCAAF   |   Tyler_Waddell   |   426 respect

In August, I did a team-by-team breakdown and season prediction on Twitter. Now I’m re-visiting that analysis and comparing my thoughts to what has actually transpired during the 2013 regular season. Blog Photo - College football 2013: Comparing preseason predictions to actual outcome

Surprisingly enough, a good portion of my predictions weren’t too far off the mark (with the exception of the Big Ten Legends, SEC East and Duke—yowza).

I had Florida State with a 10-win season and Auburn nowhere near a bowl game, but I can’t say that too many people saw either of those teams in the BCS National Championship, yet alone a BCS game.

However, my evaluation of the Big Ten Leaders and Pac-12 as a whole was nearly spot on, and that has to be worth something. Right?

Here are each of my preseason predictions with the results:

 
      American Athletic Conference
Team Prediction Outcome Difference
UCF Knights 10-2 (7-1) 11-1 (8-0)        -1
Louisville Cardinals 12-0 (8-0) 11-1 (7-1)        -1
Cincinnati Bearcats 11-1 (7-1) 9-3 (6-2)        -2
Houston Cougars 5-7 (2-6) 8-4 (5-3)        -3
SMU Mustangs 7-5 (6-2) 5-7 (4-4)        -2
Rutgers Scarlet Knights 7-5 (4-4) 6-6 (3-5)        -1
Connecticut Huskies 4-8 (2-6) 3-9 (3-5)        -1
South Florida Bulls 4-8 (2-6) 2-10 (2-6)        -2
Memphis Tigers 3-9 (0-8) 3-9 (1-7)         0
Temple Owls 4-8 (1-7) 2-10 (1-7)        -2
Overall           (-15)
 
    Atlantic Coastal Conference: Atlantic Division
Team Prediction Outcome Difference
Florida State Seminoles 10-2 (7-1) 12-0 (8-0)       -2
Clemson Tigers 10-2 (8-0) 10-2 (7-1)        0
Boston College 4-8 (1-7) 7-5 (4-4)       -3
Syracuse Orange 5-7 (3-5) 6-6 (4-4)       -1
Maryland Terrapins 8-4 (5-3) 7-5 (3-5)       -1
Wake Forest Demon Deacons 5-7 (2-6) 4-8 (2-6)       -1
N.C. State Wolfpack 4-8 (1-7) 3-9 (0-8)       -1
Overall           (-9)
 
     Atlantic Coastal Conference: Coastal Division
Team Prediction Outcome Difference
Duke Blue Devils 2-10 (0-8) 10-2 (6-2)       -8
Miami (Fla.) Hurricanes 9-3 (6-2) 9-3 (5-3)        0
Virginia Tech Hokies 10-2 (7-1) 8-4 (5-3)       -2
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 8-4 (5-3) 7-5 (5-3)       -1
North Carolina Tar Heels 9-3 (6-2) 6-6 (4-4)       -3
Pittsburgh Panthers 6-6 (3-5) 6-6 (3-5)        0
Virginia Cavaliers 2-10 (1-7) 2-10 (0-8)        0
Overall           (-14)
 
  Big 12 Conference
Team Prediction Outcome Difference
Baylor Bears 8-4 (5-4) 11-1 (8-1)         -3
Oklahoma Sooners 10-2 (7-2) 10-2 (7-2)          0
Oklahoma State Cowboys 9-3 (7-2) 10-2 (7-2)         -1
Texas Longhorns 10-2 (8-1) 8-4 (7-2)         -2
Kansas State Wildcats 7-5 (4-5) 7-5 (5-4)          0
Texas Tech Red Raiders 4-8 (2-7) 7-5 (4-5)         -3
TCU Horned Frogs 10-2 (8-1) 4-8 (2-7)         -6
West Virginia Mountaineers 6-6 (3-6) 4-8 (2-7)         -2
Iowa State Cyclones 4-8 (1-8) 3-9 (2-7)         -1
Kansas Jayhawks 1-11 (0-9) 3-9 (1-8)         -2
Overall           (-20)
Notify me by email about comments that follow mine. Preview