More rookie QBs are slated to start in week 1, but don't expect a repeat of last year's success
Last year, we also had a few rookies start early and make a huge impact in the league. Russell Wilson, Robert Griffin III, and Andrew Luck all had excellent rookie years. Colin Kaepernick was technically a 2nd year player, but he had huge success as a first-year starter.
Based on last year's success with first year QBs, the standards for Geno Smith and EJ Manuel are now going to be astronomically high.
Sure, we know that it's not exactly reasonable to expect a Pro Bowl performance from these guys like we saw from Luck, Griffin and Wilson in 2012.
But keep in mind. These are rookies. Not only will they most likely not make the Pro Bowl, they probably won't even be average.
Smith and Manuel are both coming into mediocre situations on bad teams with few offensive weapons around them, and there's really no reason to believe that they'll even approach the levels of success that we saw from last year's elite rookie class.
The key is that their teams need to be patient with them.
In both situations, it's absolutely the right move to toss aside the previous QBs and go with the rookie. Manuel and Smith are both, without a doubt, the future of their respective franchises. Stick with them through the ups and downs of their rookie year, keep trying to build a respectable team around them, and maybe these guys will develop into something special.
But above all, let's give them a little time to figure things out. Lightning probably won't strike twice.