Poland Wins or Loses by 1 vs Germany Wins by 2+
To start off today's set if picks, we have our second Euro 2012 quarterfinal matchup as Germany and Greece will go up against each other. Just as yesterday, these two teams are both from Group A and Group B. Here Germany will be representing Group A while Greece will be representing Group B. Germany was able to cruise through their group games and won all three which helped them finish with 9 points. Those 9 points were good enough for Germany to win Group A. Coming into this tournament, many people viewed Germany as the favorite to win Euro 2012, even over the defending champion, Spain. While Spain is beginning to age, Germany is beginning to play their best soccer. As for Greece, they finished group play with a 1-1-1 record, which was good enough to earn them just 4 points. Out of all the teams to advance to the quarterfinals, no team had less points, and France was the only team with 4 as well. Greece started their Euro 2012 out with a 101 draw against Poland, then lost 2-1 to the Czech Republic but were then able to upset Russia by beating them 1-0 which sealed the deal for their quarterfinal appearance. Now in regards to this prop, you should be aware that Germany has not beat any of their opponents by two or more goals, nor did Greece lose to any of their opponents by two or more goals. Now for what it is worth, these teams only have two games against each other. Both games were World Cup Qualification games. In those two games, Germany was able to beat Greece both times by two or more goals. However, the last meeting between these teams took place back in 2001, so many years have past since then. In regards to this matchup, the most favorable score is a 2-0 result in favor of Germany, however Germany -1.5 is listed at +100 while Greece +1.5 is listed at -107. As you can see by the odds, neither side is getting too much of an advantage which makes this prop a tougher one to pick.
Bottomline: Although this is the quarterfinals and these games should be closer than the group games, I still feel as though that Germany should be able to beat Greece by two or more goals. Yesterday in my Portugal versus the Czech Republic preview, I talked about how Group A was stronger than Group B. In yesterday's match, we saw the runner up of Group B defeat the winner of Group A. I see no reason why the winner of Group B cannot defeat the runner up of Group A by two or more goals. With that being said, I am taking Germany in this prop.
My Pick: Germany Wins by 2+
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