The saving grace from last night is that I did find the number I wanted in the Oregon game. It cost me a wee bit to get to it, but at least it was there, and the night wasn't a total wash. That was a really surprising outcome in Denver last night, but the Nugs failed to do 3 very important things that are usually crucial to success: Defend the perimeter. Crash the glass. Shoot free throws. Even with all that trouble, the Nugs still had an 8-point lead midway through the 4th quarter, but their shortcomings caught up with them and cost them (and me) in the end. With neck bowed, we charge into the weekend. Let's go.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL (1-0 last night and 7-4 so far for the week)
Texas A&M (-3) over Oklahoma - There's a lot pulling me toward making a run with the Aggies tonight, and very little of it has to do with "Johnny Football". In fact, he's probably the biggest reason I'll sit this one out. The teams of Heisman winners have done okay in their bowl games over the last 10 years (6-4 SU, but only 5-5 ATS), but it used to be almost a sure thing before that to go against a favored team with the Heisman trophy in tow. I can't back that Oklahoma defense though. You just never know from one week to the next what you're going to get with the Sooner stop unit.
THE NBA (1-1 last night and 17-13 so far for the week)
SU WINNERS (1-1 last night and 15-14 so far for the week)
RAPTORS, WIZARDS, Cavs, HEAT, PISTONS, Pacers, GRIZZLIES, THUNDER, Rockets, SUNS and CLIPPERS
TOTALS (0-2 last night and 15-15 so far for the week)
OVERS - Hawks/PISTONS (191), Rockets/BUCKS (212) and Lakers/CLIPPERS (205 1/2)
UNDERS - Kings/RAPTORS (197 1/2), Nets/WIZARDS (183), Cavs/BOBCATS (196 1/2), Bulls/HEAT (189 1/2), Pacers/CELTICS (180), Blazers/GRIZZLIES (183 1/2), 76ers/THUNDER (198 1/2) and Jazz/SUNS (197 1/2)
BUTTA (0-1 last night and 1-2 so far for the week)
1. RAPTORS (-290) over Kings - It's really way too early to discuss it, but the Dinos have been playing like they want to make a push for the playoffs. The Kings are one of the league's worst on the road, and I think they're ripe for the picking after "getting a carrot" in Cleveland on Wednesday night. Sac will be without both Tyreke Evans and Marcus Thornton tonight, but even so, the Raptors still aren't at that point where I'm willing to lay (-6 1/2) on regarless of what my numbers for the game say. RAPTORS 101, Kings 86
2. HEAT (-7) over Bulls - I talked about the Bulls shortcomings before their last outing in Orlando, and it all still fits. The only question here has to do with The King. He tweaked his knee last game and is listed as "questionable" for tonight's game. If James doesn't go, I'm going to be off this game entirely, but if he is out there, the Bulls won't be able to keep up. HEAT 97, Bulls 82
ALL THE REST
1. WIZARDS (+5 1/2) vs. Nets - Sometimes they just don't look right, but my numbers have steered me in the right direction many more times over the years than they have failed. That's about all I want to say about this one. WIZARDS 94, Nets 88
2. Cavs (+1) at BOBCATS - I know there's a big hole in the Cavs lineup without Varejao, but it's hard for me to understand why the 'Cats are favored in this game. Cavs 97, BOBCATS 90
3. PISTONS (+1 1/2) vs. Hawks - The Pistons have played with great confidence at home this season, and old habits are hard to break. Nobody can tell from game to game just what you're going to get from the Hawks. PISTONS 100, Hawks 96
4. Pacers (+2 1/2) at CELTICS - This is a real tough one here. It's really hard to get my mind around the Celts losing a 3rd consecutive home game and 5th of their last 6 overall, but I think it's time we all realized that the C's are no longer one of the league's elite teams. Pacers 89, CELTICS 87
5. GRIZZLIES (-9) over Blazers - I've alluded to it a couple of times before, but there's just something about the Griz lately that makes me real squeamish about laying this kind of number with them. GRIZZLIES 94, Blazers 74
6. THUNDER (-10 1/2) over 76ers - The Sixers face the unenviable task of having to face the Thunder coming off a loss at home. For those of you new to the program, I don't lay doubles in the NBA, but I can't find a way to take them here either. THUNDER 100, 76ers 87
7. Rockets (+1) at BUCKS - Milwaukee has been playing with great confidence lately, but they're only 2-7 against foes from the west so far this season, while the Rocks are 12-2 against eastern teams. I'm going to reserve the right to make a move on this game after I see what kind of start the Raptors get me off too in their early start. Rockets 108, BUCKS 104
8. SUNS (-1 1/2) over Jazz - I may go down in flames, but I'm telling you that the Suns just aren't very good. The only problem with that is the fact that the Jazz have been a lot like the Hawks so far this season. There just seems to be no way to figure out which team is going to show up from one night to the next. SUNS 102, Jazz 95
9. Lakers (+4 1/2) over CLIPPERS - I can only write down what my numbers tell me, and they say this one will be close. If I were actually going to make a move on this game, I'd take the Clips on the money line. They're deeper and have shown a willingness to play some defense, there last 2 games notwithstanding. We can't say that about the Lakers. CLIPPERS 106, Lakers 104
From all accounts, it looks like Andy Reid will be the new head coach of the Kansas City Chiefs, and I think the finalization of that deal will come very soon now that GM Scott Pioli has been let go as of today. The next big question has to be: With the Chiefs having no QB, will Michael Vick be far behind Reid? The Chiefs have the 1st pick in the draft and do have more holes than just at the QB position. They could really use a home run hitter type WR, so I wonder if maybe they don't trade out of their #1 overall pick in April's draft to get more picks, maybe try to get that big play guy and then hope that E.J. Manuel is still there with a later pick on down the line? I really should be the next GM of this team!
Have a great afternoon, be careful out there tonight and I'll see you again tomorrow.