Hot Starts Usually Mean...

Teams that Start the Season Hot....

4/16/13 in MLB   |   Andrew_Ericksen   |   230 respect

Apr 14, 2013; Washington, DC, USA; Atlanta Braves left fielder Justin Upton (8) and catcher Evan Gattis (24) celebrate after scoring runs during the first inning against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park.  Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY SportsIt seems like every year someone gets off to a hot start, they lose some gas by the end of the season, right?  Now don’t get me wrong, starting the season off strong undoubtedly a great thing, and in no way at all should anyone in the Atlanta fan base feel anything less than 100% confident in their locked and loaded team right now, but I just wanted to take a look at how teams with hot starts have fared on a more ‘big picture’ scale in recent years, and here’s what I’ve come up with….
 
Here’s a look at the teams who have posted the best records up through April 15th the last 5 years, along with how they finished out their seasons:
 
2013 Atlanta Braves (11-1)
 
The Braves have separated themselves from the pack so far this season, an 11-1 record with no other team winning more than 9 games or losing fewer than 4.  But what will that mean for Atlanta going forward? 
 
2012 Los Angeles Dodgers (9-1)
 
Matt Kemp and company opened up the 2012 season with a bang.  But a series of Kemp injuries later, the Dodgers found themselves chasing the Giants in the West.  And despite a flurry of late-season desperation trades, LA’s 2012 playoff plunge fell short as the team finished the season 86-76, 2 games behind the Cardinals for the last playoff spot.
 
2012 Texas Rangers (8-2)
 
Well the 2012 Rangers did the 2012 Dodgers only one better, extending their season to 163 games by playing in the American League’s first ever single elimination Wild Card matchup, but it didn’t get any further than that.  So after back-to-back AL Pennants, the 2012 Rangers finished 93-69 without any playoff magic.
 
2011 Colorado Rockies (11-2)
 
Yeah, so who else forgot that one?  After a hot start, the 2011 Rockies fizzled the rest of the way, finishing the season 73-89, 4th place in the West.  Tulo and Car-Go put up big numbers all season, but the rest of the squad failed to follow suit.
 
Sep 25, 2012; Arlington, TX, USA; Texas Rangers center fielder Josh Hamilton (32) bats during the game against the Oakland Athletics at Rangers Ballpark.  Oakland won 3-2. . Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports2011 Texas Rangers (10-3)
 
Coming off their 2010 World Series loss, the Rangers picked right back up in 2011.  They played 95% of a terrific season and suddenly struggled in the World Series.  All in all, distantly the most successful team on this list regardless.
 
2009 Florida Marlins (7-1)
 
The ’09 Marlins fought almost all the way to the finish line, closing the season 87-75, 6 games behind the Phillies in the East and 5 games behind the Rockies for the Wild Card.  At 87-75, you’re not too disappointed with your season at least - especially in comparison to what the fish could do this year.
 
2008 Arizona Diamondbacks (10-4)
 
The D-Backs lost some steam as the season went on, closing out the year 82-80, finishing just 2 games behind the Dodgers in the West and 8 games back of the Brewers for the Wild Card.
 
2008 St. Louis Cardinals (10-4)
 
The Cardinals finished the 2008 season 86-76, fourth place in the loaded Central, back when the Cubs and Brewers were forces in their division.  And a guy named Pujols took home the MVP honors.
 
Conclusion:
 
Although only 2 of the above 7 teams made the playoffs (including the 2012 Rangers who only got one game into the post-season), 6 of the 7 teams finished the season above .500 (sorry, Rockies) and stuck pretty close to the playoff picture throughout the season.
 
So can the Braves become the first team on the list to finish the season as strong as they started?
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4/17/13   |   ML31   |   3675 respect

Beaneaters wrote:
I'll go 1,748,925 Q-bucks on the Braves wining it all this year.
(Edited by ML31)

4,000 Quatloos on the newcomers!   Er...  That none of the quick starters win the World Series.  laugh

4/17/13   |   Jason_   |   20719 respect

Beaneaters wrote:
If I win this wager, I'll give you a million qbucks. Win-win.

DONE!


JESS!
JESS
JESS
JESS
JESS
JESS!

4/16/13   |   Beaneaters   |   17855 respect

Jason_ wrote:
I only have about 18, 500 but ill bet them all.

If I win this wager, I'll give you a million qbucks. Win-win.

4/16/13   |   Jason_   |   20719 respect

Beaneaters wrote:
Tell Jess it is on. I was saving them to buy Lance Armstrong's house but I will gladly do this instead.

I only have about 18, 500 but ill bet them all.

4/16/13   |   Beaneaters   |   17855 respect

Jason_ wrote:
Ill take that.

Tell Jess it is on. I was saving them to buy Lance Armstrong's house but I will gladly do this instead.

4/16/13   |   Andrew_Ericksen   |   230 respect

Dan_B wrote:
I remember the 2003 Royals, who were supposed to be awful, started 9-0 and 16-3. They sputtered as the season went on and last held a division lead on August 15, I believe. They finished 83-79, the team's best year since 1993. They still haven't made the playoffs since 1985 though.

Also, it is pretty remarkable that they managed to get out to that start. Their rotation to begin the season:
No. 1: Runelvys Hernandez
No. 2 Jeremy Affeldt
No. 3 Miguel Asencio
No. 4 Chris George
No. 5 Darrell May

Ha awesome, remember that near playoff run from KC, powered by the thunderous bats of Carlos Beltran, Angel Berroa and Joe Randa......and yeah, great rotation, barely remember any of those guys other than Affeldt of course.

4/16/13   |   Jason_   |   20719 respect

Beaneaters wrote:
I'll go 1,748,925 Q-bucks on the Braves wining it all this year.

Ill take that.

4/16/13   |   Beaneaters   |   17855 respect

I'll go 1,748,925 Q-bucks on the Braves wining it all this year.

4/16/13   |   Dan_B   |   1067 respect

I remember the 2003 Royals, who were supposed to be awful, started 9-0 and 16-3. They sputtered as the season went on and last held a division lead on August 15, I believe. They finished 83-79, the team's best year since 1993. They still haven't made the playoffs since 1985 though.

Also, it is pretty remarkable that they managed to get out to that start. Their rotation to begin the season:
No. 1: Runelvys Hernandez
No. 2 Jeremy Affeldt
No. 3 Miguel Asencio
No. 4 Chris George
No. 5 Darrell May