NFL, *Draft

Is it really to early to look at the draft?

1/2/07 in NFL   |   Jared   |   respect

With college football winding down and 63% of NFL fans having to watch "the other" teams play in the playoffs, I figure it is as good a time as any to start thinking about the 2007 NFL Draft.

 

Here is my look at the top ten teams and their respective picks:

 

1. Oakland Raiders

What can you say about the Raiders...hmmm...well, they did have one of the best defenses in the NFL this year but alas, they had one of the worst offenses to plod along with it.  First and foremost, they need a QB.  Aaron Brooks is terrible, Andrew Walter is no better, and Marques Tuiassopo only plays well against Ohio State.  They have a potentially solid receiving corps with Ron Curry and Randy Moss...that is if Moss can get his head out of his ass long enough.  Running back could be a possibility but I think Jordan is a capable back when healthy.  All that being said...

My Pick:  Brady Quinn, QB, Notre Dame

Other Possibles: Adrian Peterson, Troy Smith, Trade Down

 

2. Detroit Lions

Ah Detroit, good ol' Rock City, home of Eminem and Eight Mile Road...yes, they do play football there and sometimes even good football considering the unimportant win against Dallas in the final week of the regular season.  From top to bottom this doesn't look like a team that will head to a late January/early February match-up but there are bright spots.  Jon Kitna can throw the ball, Roy Williams and newcomer Mike Furrey can catch it, and Kevin Jones can run it...when healthy.  The offensive line has a few holes (i.e. they give up LOTS of sacks).  Overall, the offense is okay...but the defense?!?!  They were atrocious against the run and moderately bad against the pass this season.  They need the most help.

My Pick: Gaines Adams, DE, Clemson

Other Possibles: Joe Thomas, Calvin Johnson

 

*Next two picks will be decided by coin toss.

 

3. Cleveland Browns

The Romeo Crennel experiment isn't going too well and the Brownies are as anemic as ever.  Charlie Frye has regressed, Kellen Winslow is still running his mouth, and Joe Jurevicious is your #2 WR...what do you do?  I'd say PUNT!  This isn't a very good team with a lot of holes.  Yes, they lost their starting center before the season and their #1 receiver is as brittle as Samual Jackson's character in "Unbreakable," but there is much more mediocrity to it all.  The D seems slow, the play calling is unimaginative, and they don't have a decent QB on their roster.  I'd say their best bet is to trade up for Quinn but I'm not sure if they will give up their first born children for it.

My Pick: Troy Smith, QB, Ohio State

Other Possibles: Trade Up, Joe Thomas, Calvin Johnson

 

4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Can Gradkowski really be a #1 QB?  I don't think so and I don't believe for a second that John Gruden thinks so either.  That being said, I don't think they will go QB in the first round either.  That's for later.  Their running game is okay but Joey Galloway isn't going to be outrunning people much longer and there really isn't any solid #2 WR on the roster.

My Pick: Calvin Johnson, WR, Georgia Tech

Other Possibles: Dwayne Jarrett, Steve Smith

 

5. Arizona Cardinals

Goodbye Denny Green...hello...someone else!  Green's stint in Arizona seemed short to some and very long to many Cards fans.  Offensively they can keep up with anyone...defensively they couldn't keep up with the paperboy carrying the news of another Cardinal loss to the masses.  They have holes in their O-line shown by the pounding Edge took toting the rock a paltry 3.4 yards per carry.  The run defense is unspectacular and the pass defense is average at best.  

My Pick: Joe Thomas, OT, Wisconsin

Other Possibles: Ted Ginn, Leon Hall

 

 

6. Washington Redskins

Brunell out, Campbell in.  Campbell will take the reigns next year after showing some promise after taking over for Brunell mid year.  It was the defense that took the biggest licks during the season not being able to stop the Girls School of the Deaf and Blind.  No pass rush and terrible coverage made things very difficult for the Skins.

My Pick: Quentin Moses, DE, Georgia

Other Possibles: LeMar Woodley, Dwayne Jarrett

 

7. Minnesota Vikings

Brad Johnson had the worst year of his career and the Vikes may have found a diamond in the rough in Tarvaris Jackson.  Chester Taylor elevated his game to elite RB status with a great year.  Defensively, against the run they were great and solid against the pass.  What is the problem?  Well, no matter who you have throwing the ball, you have to have someone catching it.

My Pick: Ted Ginn, WR, Ohio State

Other Possibles: Dwayne Jarrett, Steve Smith

 

8. Houston Texans

The Texans actually made strides defensively this season.  They are very young and quite talented.  Dunta Robinson is about the best corner no one knows.  DeMecco Ryans has emerged as the next best linebacker as well.  Offensively they were a bit of an enigma.  David Carr didn't play that well yet again and they lost their starting RB before the season even started.  They still can't pass block.  On the up side, they did find Ron Dayne and maybe, just maybe, he has found a place to stay...

My Pick: Leon hall, DB, Michigan

Other Possibles: Reggie Nelson, Dwayne Jarrett, Steve Smith

 

9. Miami Dolphins

Saban's job could be in jeopardy if he doesn't get to the playoffs next year.  They need someone to help right now with the 9th pick in the draft.  The emergence of Joey Harrington wasn't something I don't think anyone was expecting but even with his somewhat elevated play, at the end of the day his name is still "Joey Harrington."  Zack Thomas is getting old and the defense could use some help.

My Pick: Paul Posluszny, LB, Penn State

Other Possibles: Dwayne Jarrett, Joe Staley, Reggie Nelson

 

10. Atlanta Falcons

Could Mike Vick be out?...I doubt it but who knows now that the Falcons are looking for a new coach.  It's rumored that Mora was fired because he wanted to play Shaub over Vick...too bad.  Anyway, the Falcons aren't a bad team.  They could use a #1 type WR and some help in an aging secondary.  Also, their pass rush was almost non-existant toward the end of the season.

My Pick: Dwayne Jarrett, WR, USC

Other Possibles: Reggie Nelson, Steve Smith, Marcus McCaulney

 

Now...wasn't that fun?  I think I will go now and watch the end of a great college season and try to find those diamonds at the bottom of the draft.

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1/4/07   |   Nate   |   128 respect

Pat wrote:
He could have, if given the chance. I honestly believe that. Warren Moon and Jeff Garcia played well in the CFL, and played well in the NFL. Flutie blew them both out of the water, as far as the CFL is concerned. There's no doubt in my mind that he would have been a Pro Bowler if he had been given a legitimate chance in his prime.

That's probably true, I said that before looking at his CFL career.  5'9" it's impressive he was as successful as he was.  So all apologies for my anti Flutie comments, next time I will do more research before I respond.

It is interesting that his most memorable play in the NFL was the drop kick field goal.

1/3/07   |   Pat   |   5233 respect

Nate wrote:
How much did Doug Flutie do in the NFL?  Not talking about college or anything else he may have done, just the NFL-what did he actually do?

He could have, if given the chance. I honestly believe that. Warren Moon and Jeff Garcia played well in the CFL, and played well in the NFL. Flutie blew them both out of the water, as far as the CFL is concerned. There's no doubt in my mind that he would have been a Pro Bowler if he had been given a legitimate chance in his prime.

1/3/07   |   Nate   |   128 respect

Jared wrote:
tell that to Doug Flutie

How much did Doug Flutie do in the NFL?  Not talking about college or anything else he may have done, just the NFL-what did he actually do?

1/3/07   |   Jared

Nick S wrote:
Yea but if you can't see over the line you can't play very well.

tell that to Doug Flutie

1/3/07   |   Nick S

Jared wrote:
I have stood beside Mike Vick on numerous occasions and I don't think he is 6 feet either...Rex Grossman is also around 6 feet and so is Chad Pennington.  Size isn't as big of an issue (though it is an issue) anymore.  Bigtime colleges have lineman the same size as NFL lines so...

Yea but if you can't see over the line you can't play very well.

1/3/07   |   Eric   |   239 respect

I don't think jarret would be too happy in Atl. Vick is a receiver killer.

1/3/07   |   Jared

Tron wrote:
Except Troy Smith is not 6'6, if he doesn't measure 5'11 at the combine he won't be in the 1st round.

I have stood beside Mike Vick on numerous occasions and I don't think he is 6 feet either...Rex Grossman is also around 6 feet and so is Chad Pennington.  Size isn't as big of an issue (though it is an issue) anymore.  Bigtime colleges have lineman the same size as NFL lines so...

1/3/07   |   Tron

Jared wrote:
Almost every negative about Troy Smith was also said of Vince Young.  We have all saw how that has turned out.  Smith has a better release, played in a more complex system, and has been a starter for most of three years.  I'm not saying that he will be a star in the NFL, it's just that with what Young has done someone will jump at Smith and who better than the home state Browns?

Except Troy Smith is not 6'6, if he doesn't measure 5'11 at the combine he won't be in the 1st round.

1/3/07   |   wil1018

Gaines Adams????? Who's he? Adrian Peterson would look fantastic in a Browns uni...he'll probably get injured in camp.

1/3/07   |   chuck23

Please don't try and commit me to an institution....... but this seems rather possible when Al Davis is involved.  If I am the Raiders (glad I'm not, they are just 1 Millen short of being clueless)..... I offer the overall first round draft to Atlanta for Ron Mexico errrr...... Michael (Mike) Vick and see if they bite.  They wouldn't need to draft Quinn because of Shaub, but I think it would lead to something better for them.  Vick and the Raiders would be a good fit......if for no other reason, Al Davis loves these type of players.  It probably would not equal the playoffs, but between Vick and Moss,  that should be an extra 2 wins.  Just a thought, but I actually think it can happen.

1/2/07   |   Jared

KSbengals wrote:
 LOL, no wonder Davis stopped taking QB's.

agreed

1/2/07   |   KSbengals   |   1 respect

Jared wrote:

In 1991, the Raiders chose Todd Marinovich with the 24th pick.

 

In 1980, the Raiders chose Marc Wilson with the 15th pick.

 

 LOL, no wonder Davis stopped taking QB's.

1/2/07   |   Adam

how does adrian peterson go from a possible 1...to not being put into the top 10? j/w

1/2/07   |   Marshall

Lions better take Thomas. The defensive problems are more injuries then personal. They were actually pretty good in 05' the stats looked bad due to the fact that the offense couldn't stay on the field. This year the Lions led the league in injuries with their entire LB crew out the whole season. Not to mention only one starting DL making it through the whole season. The offensive line is atrocious.....it should be 7 picks 7 offensive lineman. Maybe a linebacker in their too to improve the depth.

1/2/07   |   Nate   |   128 respect

"...defensively they couldn't keep up with the paperboy carrying the news of another Cardinal loss to the masses."

That isn't really fair, the paper boy has a bicycle.

1/2/07   |   Jared

KSbengals wrote:

 Everyone picking Quinn number 1 doesn't know their history, Al Davis, or much about the Raiders. When was the last time Al took a top QB, he always takes zero vets and drafts elsewhere?  The Raiders passed on the top QB's last year too. I keep seeing the Raiders WR's are in good shape. You got to be kidding me. Moss is a cancer and Porter has been at odds all year. There is one elite highlight above average stud offensive player in this draft, and it's Calvin Johnson. The Raiders, minus a trade, will draft Calvin Johnson.

 

 As for Detroit, I'd go with Quinn as my guess, but Millen has kept his job (I think the owner in Detroit just likes to piss off Lion fans now, lol) so it's any ones guess on who they will really take. The offense wasn't bad, and the defense stunk, so a stud D lineman might happen.

 

 The third pick imo will be Joe Thomas to whoever wins the coin flip, as both teams need help on the O line. After that, need to see the coin flip, as after Thomas, I'd lean more to seeing who was picking forth.

In 1991, the Raiders chose Todd Marinovich with the 24th pick.

 

In 1980, the Raiders chose Marc Wilson with the 15th pick.

 

1/2/07   |   KSbengals   |   1 respect

 Everyone picking Quinn number 1 doesn't know their history, Al Davis, or much about the Raiders. When was the last time Al took a top QB, he always takes zero vets and drafts elsewhere?  The Raiders passed on the top QB's last year too. I keep seeing the Raiders WR's are in good shape. You got to be kidding me. Moss is a cancer and Porter has been at odds all year. There is one elite highlight above average stud offensive player in this draft, and it's Calvin Johnson. The Raiders, minus a trade, will draft Calvin Johnson.

 

 As for Detroit, I'd go with Quinn as my guess, but Millen has kept his job (I think the owner in Detroit just likes to piss off Lion fans now, lol) so it's any ones guess on who they will really take. The offense wasn't bad, and the defense stunk, so a stud D lineman might happen.

 

 The third pick imo will be Joe Thomas to whoever wins the coin flip, as both teams need help on the O line. After that, need to see the coin flip, as after Thomas, I'd lean more to seeing who was picking forth.

1/2/07   |   Jared

Almost every negative about Troy Smith was also said of Vince Young.  We have all saw how that has turned out.  Smith has a better release, played in a more complex system, and has been a starter for most of three years.  I'm not saying that he will be a star in the NFL, it's just that with what Young has done someone will jump at Smith and who better than the home state Browns?

1/2/07   |   Nick S

I love mock drafts but I think Quinn drops to Cleveland at 3 or 4

1/2/07   |   Dugout

The Browns better not waste a pick on a quarterback. Since their return in 1999, the Browns have had like 17 different starting quarterbacks. They always blame the quarterback. Jeff Garcia was pathetic in Cleveland, look what he is doing now. Give the Brown's quarterback a supporting cast and things will improve greatly no matter who is at the quarterback positioin.

1/2/07   |   Janse

He should stay, one more year with him and Bess, Rivers and Grice-Mullen and everyone else that is an underclassman. If Hawaii works on their run defense, they are a top 25 team all year next year. Just on Brennan though, like Jones said, he is not big enough to be in the pros right now.

1/2/07   |   Pat   |   5233 respect

CriticalFanatic wrote:
And?

So did Andre Ware.

But to answer your question, he hasn't said whether he will turn pro yet. He's just a junior.

He SHOULD stay. He needs to spend one more year. Not to hone his skills, not to get more stats, but to show the draft guys that he's not just a system QB. Leaving now might cost him millions.

1/2/07   |   CriticalFanatic

Although I wouldn't disagree with drafting Troy Smith that high ... I can assure you he won't be drafted that high. Should Joe Thomas slip to 5th that would be an incredible steal. So would Dwayne Jarrett at 10.

If I had to take a stab this early, and it's never to early I'd predict (not what I would do):

1. Oakland Raiders - Brady Quinn
2. Detroit Lions - Joe Thomas (although they should trade down)
3. Cleveland Browns - Gaines Adams
4. Tampa Bay Bucs -  Dwayne Jarrett
5. Arizona Cardinals - Quentin Moses

1/2/07   |   CriticalFanatic

notredame wrote:
Where is Colt Brennan?? leads NCAA in total yards and touchdowns

And?

So did Andre Ware.

But to answer your question, he hasn't said whether he will turn pro yet. He's just a junior.

1/2/07   |   notredame

Where is Colt Brennan?? leads NCAA in total yards and touchdowns