It was a rough start to my NFL picks here on FanIq (1-2 last week), but the path back to success is there for the taking. Here are my top three selections (against the spread) for week six of the NFL season.
My picks are in the bold font
All spreads came from CBSSports.com as of Saturday night (10/12)
Detroit @ Cleveland (CLE +2.5)
This is a pick that dates back to my first piece on this site. It's also my upset special for the week. Calvin Johnson is currently nursing a knee injury, although he is expected to play. Whether he's healthy or not I would take CB Joe Haden to win this match up, but a banged up Megatron certainly helps. Cleveland sports the fourth-ranked defense in the NFL, and with the home crowd behind it, I expect that unit to wreak havoc on QB Matthew Stafford. The key here will be how Browns QB Brandon Weeden handles the Lions' pass rush. If the Oklahoma State product can keep the ball in the hands of his teammates, the Browns should be able to bring home the win. Take the points as the Browns top the Lions 24-23.
Cincinnati @ Buffalo (BUF +7.5)
At first glance this seems like a sucker pick. The Bengals have struggled offensively, so how could they cover 7.5 points?! Well, Bills QB Thad Lewis is how. Signed off the practice squad less than a week ago, Lewis, who has just one NFL start under his belt, will take on the league's eighth-ranked defense. Add the fact that Stevie Johnson (Bills' No. 1 receiver) is banged up, this game should get out of hand in a hurry. On the flip side, the Bills' secondary has seen a fair share of injuries as well. If this match up doesn't get Bengals QB Andy Dalton going, I don't know what will. If Cincinnati is the contender I saw last week, this should be an easy victory. Lay the points as the Bengals roll to a 30-10 win.
Indianapolis @ San Diego (SD +1.5)
The Colts were my only win last week, so we're going to let it ride on Indy for the second straight week. I get the better coach, quarterback, offense, defense, you name it. The only thing is this game is on the road. Some would say this is a trap game as Indianapolis is set to face the undefeated Broncos next week, but I disagree. It's a must win. Right now the Colts are in the hunt for a first round bye in the playoffs. If Indy hopes to secure a top two seed, it needs to win these types of games. Small spread, leads to an easy choice. Swallow the points as the Colts cruise to a 34-17 victory on Monday Night Football.