NBA Draft Predictions: Trying To Locate The Second Round Sleepers

Who's Going To Be The Next Michael Redd?

6/25/08 in NBA   |   CriticalFanatic   |   respect


Sonny Weems NBA DraftIt's easy to understand how Manu Ginobili slipped to 57th in the 1999 NBA Draft, but in retrospect it's unbelievable that Michael Redd, who hits three after three before our eyes at Ohio State, fell to the 43rd pick.

The NBA Draft is a little different that the NFL, where late rounds picks routinely turn into stars, but basketball isn't without its success stories. Ever heard of Willis Reed, Nate Archibald, Bill Laimbeer, Maurice Cheeks or Dennis Johnson? I'll take that as a yes.

From 2007, it looks like Carl Landry (31st) and Glen Davis (35th) have potential to become very valuable 2nd rounders. 2006 brought up Daniel Gibson, Paul Millsap, and Leon Powe.

So who might come out of this year's second round and far exceed expectations? Here's a few guys I like a great deal:

Gary Forbes - 6'6 SG/SF - UMass
One thing you usually have to worry about with the up-and-comers from lower conferences is size. Generally, they're either too short or too thin. That's not an issue with Forbes who will be able to hold his own at SG or SF. Perhaps the only detriment to Forbes is that he doesn't have one skillset that jumps out at you. He's not a penetrator like Rose, or a tremendous rebounder like Beasley. Forbes just gets it done, and by all accounts from the Orlando Pre-Draft Camp, the Massachusetts forwards carried his teams offensively. Best case scenario, I think he has Josh Howard potential.

Sonny Weems - 6'5 SG - Arkansas
I'm not going to predict anything crazy for the Razorback, but he'll be a 6th-7th man who can provide a lot of energy and plenty of highlight dunk. I liken him to Kelenna Azubuike who came out of the D-League to scores eight points a game for Golden State this year. Weems is even more athletic, and can get real streaky from outside. He's already a decent defender, but if he can use his athleticism to become a shutdown guy, he could be very valuable in a couple years.

Davon Jefferson - 6'6 SF - USC
Not sure why he came out after just one year, but he's as talented as anyone projected to go between the 10th and 20th picks. A lot of time, he carried the Trojans when O.J. Mayo was off. And that happened a fair amount of the time. He's fairly strong and built for a college freshman. Good enough shooter, who could be a Caron Butler type in a few years.

Who are your sleepers?
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6/26/08   |   CriticalFanatic

barmarjeff wrote:
DJ White or James Gist will have immediate impacts on the team that drafts them.  Also, Jaycee Carroll can shoot lights out.

I agree on Carroll, there's always a spot for guys like him. I mean, Erik Piatkowski is still in the league.

6/26/08   |   CriticalFanatic

TheBigThree wrote:
Good call on Devon Jefferson.  After Rush is off the board, bona fide wings are few and far between.  The draft is populated with oversized shooting guards, not guys who can go inside and out and defend larger men.  With Jefferson's physical gifts, he should easily be able to put the latter together in the right situation (e.g., don't end up in Indiana under Jim O'Brien, or something).

I also like DeVon Hardin.  Terrific size, by all accounts a good character guy (not to mention a 4.0 in high school), freakishly athletic, and potentially extremely imposing on the defensive end.  If he can develop a decent mid-range game, he could be the next Larry Nance + 30 lbs.

I admittedly didn't see Hardin play all that much, but every time I look at his size and some of his numbers and evaluations, it's a surprise he's considered mid-second round.

6/25/08   |   TheBigThree   |   1 respect

(Edited by TheBigThree)

Good call on Devon Jefferson.  After Rush is off the board, bona fide wings are few and far between.  The draft is populated with oversized shooting guards, not guys who can go inside and out and defend larger men.  With Jefferson's physical gifts, he should easily be able to put the latter together in the right situation (e.g., don't end up in Indiana under Jim O'Brien, or something).

I also like DeVon Hardin.  Terrific size, by all accounts a good character guy (not to mention a 4.0 in high school), freakishly athletic, and potentially extremely imposing on the defensive end.  If he can develop a decent mid-range game, he could be the next Larry Nance + 30 lbs.

6/25/08   |   barmarjeff   |   39 respect

(Edited by barmarjeff)

DJ White or James Gist will have immediate impacts on the team that drafts them.  Also, Jaycee Carroll can shoot lights out.

6/25/08   |   barmarjeff   |   39 respect

(Edited by barmarjeff)

DJ White or James Gist will have immediate impacts on the team that drafts them.  Also, Jaycee Carroll can shoot lights out.

6/25/08   |   kantwistaye   |   4210 respect

NBADraft.net has Bill Walker in the second round so technically I can pick him right?  I don't think he's much of a sleeper, but his knee is finally healed.  He'll be a good pick.

 

I like DeMarcus Nelson as a solid back up PG.  Like Sonny Weems as well.  He's too athletic to be a complete failure.  Other guys I'll be watching/rooting for are D.J. White, Jamont Gordon, and J.R. Giddens.