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About the Author - CriticalFanatic

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NCAA Bubble: Will UAB Make the Big Dance?
2/28/08

In a few days the month of February will mercifully come to an end and we can finally start to enjoy sports again with March Madness on the horizon. Over the final three weeks of the college basketball season we'll be sizing up those teams on the infamous bubble and let you determine who should be in or out.

Up Next: UAB Blazers

Why they could get in
Overall Record: 20-8 - 20 win plateau is always helpful
Good Wins: Searching ... searching ... OK, I suppose this counts 101-99 vs Houston, and 79-76 at Kentucky. Not exactly breathtaking, but if it were to come down to the Cougars and Blazers for the final spot that win would help.
C-USA: 2nd place - With Memphis as a likely #1, there's going to be a second team in the dance most likely. UAB and Houston aren't impressive, but this is probably the best thing going for Mike Davis' Blazers.
5-3 vs Top 100: Most of the wins are closer to 100 than 50, but still a positive stat in their favor.
8-2 in Last 10: Losses to Southern Miss and Marshall in last 11 don't help, but when looking strictly at the resume you know committee members view this favorably regardless of who they played.

Why they would be left out
Key Losses: 57-59 vs Georgia Southern, 58-68 at South Florida, 52-61 at Wichita St., 57-62 at Marshall, 85-93 at Southern Miss. Ouch all around.
RPI: 56
Strength of Schedule: 111

Conclusion
I just can't see it. Joe Lunardi has UAB as the last team in right now, but this is far from an impressive resume. However, should the Blazers shock Memphis to end the regular season that would be hard for the committee to ignore. Out now, but they'll have one, likely two more chances to beat the Tigers.
FanIQ Says... (42)
NCAA Bubble: Will UAB Make the Big Dance?
See above for all the details on UAB. Will they and should they?
(Q1 of 2) Will UAB make the NCAA Tournament?
24% Yes
Correct->76% No
Asked by: CriticalFanatic
Closed 3/8/08



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279 days ago
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I want UAB in (and hopefully see a UAB-Indiana matchup at some point), but they are squarely on the bubble.  They should be able to get at least 2 more wins + another 2 in the tourney, with another loss or 2 to Memphis left.  If they beat Memphis either in the last game of the regular season or in the tourney, I think they're in.  If not and they end up with 24 or so wins, I think they still might be in, but it will be awfully close. 
 
279 days ago