NFL Betting Odds: Picking Division Winners

NFL Futures: Picking AFC Division Winners

9/3/12 in NFL   |   GeorgeMon   |   159 respect

August 18 2012; Denver, CO, USA;Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning (18)  in the second quarter of a preseason game against the Seattle Seahawks at Sports Authority Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-US PRESSWIRE
Can Peyton Manning lead the Broncos to a second straight AFC West division crown?


The NFL season opener is only a few days away and that can mean only one thing: it’s time to start betting again. Yesterday day we went over our thoughts on the NFC Division winners, so now let’s take a look at AFC.
 
Just a quick tip: remember that when you are betting sometimes you have to choose based on price as opposed to the most likely outcome. Just because Greenbay will most likely win their Division, doesn’t mean betting them at -300 is a good idea. A better idea would be to bet the Bears, who have a shot a winning the division and are getting great odds at +500.
 
AFC East
 
Patriots: -400
Jets: +700
Bills: +800
Dolphins +1600
 
The AFC East is a mess. The Jet’s can’t score a preseason touchdown, the Bills are headed for an 8-8 season and the Dolphins can’t keep a receiver for more than a week. The Patriots could have a horrible season and still win this division. The odds should be higher than -400, but that would just scare off bettors.
 
Pick: Patriots
 
 
AFC North
 
Steelers: +125
Ravens: +125
Bengals: +400
Browns: +3500
 
The AFC North is a bit tougher division to decide on. The Bengals have real value at +400, but in all honestly this division belongs to the Steelers or Raven’s. Baltimore was a batted ball away from the Super Bowl and should come into the season hungry and ready to make another run.
 
Pick: Ravens
 
 
 
AFC South
 
Texans: -550
Titans: +450
Jaguars: +2200
Colts: +3000
 
 
The Texans are the biggest favorite to win their division in the entire NFL. The odds-makers must have lost their minds. -550 is too high of a number to bet on. The Texans will probably win the division but any injury could destroy their whole season. The Titans have a real shot at going 8-8 or 9-7 and one injury to the Texans could easily allow them to steal the division crown. This situation is completely different than in the AFC East where Tom Brady could get hurt and the Pats would still probably win their division.
 
Pick: Texans (but Do NOT bet it)
 
 
 
AFC West
 
Chargers: +160
Broncos: +175
Chiefs: +350
Raiders: +600
 
The AFC West was mediocre last season with the Broncos winning the division with an 8-8 record. It seems like the Charger’s should win the division but they are a team that you just shouldn’t bet on. San Diego never comes though when it matters and seems to sleep walk through large stretches of the season. The Broncos are not a bad bet at +175, but can you really bet on Peyton Manning to stay healthily all season? As crazy as it sound, the Raiders are getting excellent value at +600. Anything can happen in the AFC West so why not take a stab at Oakland winning the division?
 
Pick: Raiders
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9/4/12   |   GeorgeMon   |   159 respect

Dan_B wrote:
The Raiders? Really?
(Edited by GeorgeMon)

Hahah, that division is a mess... You heard it here first... Raiders win it witn a 9-7 record!

9/4/12   |   Dan_B   |   1067 respect

The Raiders? Really?