Arizona @ New England (-14): This is by far the largest point spread differential of the week. There are no other games with a spread larger than 7. The question is can New England really cover the 14 points or are the odds makers just inflating the line because they know football fans will bet the Patriots no matter what?
14 points may be a lot to give away but this year’s Patriots team is a juggernaut on offense, and also fantastic on defense. Its difficult to image Kevin Kolb helping the Cards put up enough points to keep pace. This is will get out of hand very quickly, so if you are weary about the 14 points just take the Patriots for the first half at 7.5. Pick: Patriots first half and whole game.
New Orleans (-2.5) @ Carolina: The last two times these guys played against each other they put up a total of 119 points, so the over at 51.5 might be a good spot to bet on. The Saints looked out of sync last week and at this point there is no reason to think that things will get better. Expect Cam Newton to have a big game to make up for last week's poor performance. The Panthers are probably going to win outright. Pick: Panthers
Baltimore @ Philadelphia (-1): How on earth are the Eagles a one point favorite against a Super Bowl contender like the Ravens? They have been an underachieving bunch over the last few seasons and always seem to crumble under pressure. This feels like a trap game though, where getting the Ravens at +1 seems too good to be true. The Eagles play bad when you expect them to win and play great when you expect them to lose. I would stay away from this game, even though I expect the Ravens to win. Pick: Don’t bet it.
Dallas (-3.5) @ Seattle: Dallas SHOULD easily win this game. But every time we expect Dallas to do something they DON”T. Many fans and pundits overacted to Dallas' impressive season opening win against the Giants, but this week's game is the real measuring stick for the Cowboys. In seasons past, Dallas would get a big win only to throw it away the next week by losing a game they should have won. This weekend’s matchup against the Seahawks will tell us a lot about who this Dallas team really is. I expect them to be contenders. Pick: Dallas in a blow out.
Washington (-3.5) @ St. Louis: I don’t know anyone who actually started RGIII on their fantasy team last weekend. So now that the kid is on everyone’s radar I expect him to have a more reasonable game for a rookie QB. This is another spot that feels like a trap game. Is it really wise to bet on a rookie QB in his second game ever, and on the road for the first time? But then is it really ever wise to bet on the Rams either? This could be a situation where everybody drinks a little bit too much of the RGIII kool-aid and the home underdog steals a win. Pick: Don’t bet it, but if you have to go Rams.