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They say if you think your product is going to be wrong, just call it 1.0 and move on. That couldn't be any more applicable to the countless NFL Mock Drafts floating about the eBays this morning. Todd McShay is on 8.0, presumably headed towards double figures by tomorrow afternoon. Mel Kiper is on 4.0. Pete Prisco guarantees you that he'll get No. 1 correct, but that's about it. Scout.com has presented the last and final version.
What's makes the draft awesome is that none of those will be 100% accurate and probably neither will mine below. Make sure to enter the NFL Mock Draft Challenge. We're busily entering in all the "experts" 1st round predictions and will compare them to yours Saturday afternoon. Since Miami went ahead and already announced their pick, I've gone ahead and extended the closing time until tomorrow at noon.
Alright, here's my latest educated guess:
1. Miami Dolphins - OT Jake Long (Michigan) - I just have a hunch.
2. St. Louis Rams - DE Chris Long (Virginia) - It's basically down to Chris Long and Glenn Dorsey unless an overwhelming offer comes across the table. I'd been leaning to Dorsey all along but I think leg suspicions will win out and the Rams go with Long at DE, and slide Carriker over to DT.
3. Atlanta Falcons - DT Glenn Dorsey (LSU) - ATL should be enamored with Matt Ryan for obvious reasons, but I can't envision defensive minded head coach Mike Smith passing on a d-lineman. Defensive end isn't as pressing a need as a run stopping beast of a tackle. He fits the bill. I think the leg issue is incredibly exaggerated.
4. Oakland Raiders - RB Darren McFadden (Arkansas) - Trying to get inside the mind of Al Davis is not only frightening, but damn near impossible. Here's where I think we could potentially see some kind of trade. A GM infatuated with Vernon Gholston might want to slide ahead of KC. Still believe Davis will go with the shiny object and take the flashier speed burning running back.
5. Kansas City Chiefs - DE Vernon Gholston (Ohio State) - Yes, Matt Ryan is still sitting out there and KC should get plenty of phone calls. Having made the Jared Allen trade, I'm guessing they're drooling over Gholston's pipes.
6. New York Jets - QB Matt Ryan (Boston College) - If the previous picks happen, this is going to be a special moment. Here's the catch - this isn't the Jets who ultimately take Ryan. Probably Baltimore. They can't give up on Kellen Clemens this early, and have more pressing needs. Gholston would have been nice but they'll take another defensive player a few picks later.
7. New England Patriots - DT Sedrick Ellis (USC) - Not convinced this is going to be NE's pick, either, but the best player available will go here to someone.
8. Baltimore Ravens - LB Keith Rivers (USC) - Probably the Jets making this selection. Bengals pissed.
9. Cincinnati Bengals - OT Ryan Clady (Boise State) - With Ellis and Rivers off the board, their 1st and 2nd options, might as well go with another need.
10. New Orleans Saints - DB Leodis McKelvin (Troy) - Best corner on the board.
Briefly the next five picks: Bills - Devin Thomas; Broncos - Branden Albert; Panthers - Chris Williams (not sure its Carolina here); Bears - Jeff Otah; Lions - Derrick Harvey.
Your thoughts?
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