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9/19/08
NFL Picks Week 3: Can Chargers and Vikings Avoid 0-3?
Preseason Favorites Try To Avoid 0-3 Hole, Pennsylvania Clash To Decide Who Follows Cowboys Lead
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It's been difficult to determine who the top NFL team is through two weeks, but we know Dallas, Green Bay, Philadelphia and Pittsburgh are apart of the team picture. The picture will look much clearer after Sunday, when the Cowboys visit Lambeau Field and the two Pennsylvania teams square off.

We're doing the picks this week on a confidence level scale from most to least. As always the FanIQ community's picks are linked (with average score prediction), and that's also where you can make your predictions if you haven't already.

Last Week: 8-7

Giants at Bengals 96% are picking New York (NYG 31, Cin 16)

In the NFL, sometimes when a game seems as guaranteed as Charlie Weis eating a donut for breakfast, it goes the other way. This won't. Cincinnati has the talent on offense to score on the New York defense, but Carson Palmer and his offensive line are a mess. Justin Tuck and Matthias Kiwanuka should be able to pressure Palmer into more incompletions, and I see no way the Bengals D stops Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw. Pick: Giants 35, Bungels 17

Dolphins at Patriots 92% New England (NE 26, Mia 13)

This may surprise you, but Joey Porter's belief that this will be the Dolphins win hasn't swayed my opinion. This is the Dolphins vs Bill Belichick, at home no less. Do I really need to explain my decision further? No. Pick: Pats 28, Fish 13

Jaguars at Colts 86% Indianapolis (IND 26, JAX 18)

If Jeff Saturday and Dallas Clark come back on Sunday, as expected, that will be a significant boost to Peyton Manning's confidence, not to mention his ability to make more pre-snap changes. The absence of Bob Sanders is bad, but this isn't new to the Colts defense. Their experience without Sanders, coupled with a broken down Jaguars offensive line points to at least a touchdown advantage for Indianapolis who will badly want to give their home fans the first win in new Lucas Oil Stadium. Pick: Colts 31, Jags 17

Raiders at Bills 86% Buffalo (BUF 26, OAK 16)

Oakland is not going to be able to beat  a good football team until they can establish any form of a pass threat. They won't be able to simply run the football over Buffalo, even if all the backfield were healthy. The Bills have shown a fair amount of balance on offense, but would like to run the ball a little more effectively this weekend, to set up the long ball to Lee Evans. Trent Edwards isn't going to hand the ball over to the Raiders like Tyler Thigpen. The only way Oakland wins is if that were to happen. Pick: Bills 23, Raiders 17

Chiefs at Falcons 81% Atlanta (ATL 21, KC 15)

Matt Ryan vs Tyler Thigpen. Woo! NFL football, catch the magic. If Oakland ran for 300 yards on KC in Arrowhead, then Ryan need to do nothing more than hand the football off to Michael Turner and Jerrious Norwood. I know head coach Mike Smith wants to continue developing Ryan, but if he passes more than 12 times on Sunday it's unnecessary. Pick: Birds 21, Chiefs 10

Lions at 49ers 56% San Francisco (SF 21, DET 20)

If the Lions are going to stay the course, then I'll stay on a similar course in picking Detroit to lose. Playing on the road may actually help Jon Kitna and the offense, not having to hear the pressure from fans, but you just can't win games in the NFL if you can't run or stop the run. Until I see at least one of the two happen, I'm going to other way. Pick: SF 27, Det 24

Texans at Titans 83% Tennessee (TEN 22, HOU 15)

Tennessee will continue to pound the ground game with Chris Johnson's speed and Lendale White's power, but Kerry Collins gives the Titans an added dimension. He'll keep the Texans respecting the pass and that should result in enough points for the defense to hold strong. Pick: Titans 24, Texans 14

Saints at Broncos 79% Denver (DEN 27, NO 22)

Should be another fun, high scoring game in the Mile High city. Jay Cutler is on fire and that shouldn't stop against the Saints secondary. Hopefully he can get the most of Brandon Marshall before any more charges get thrown his way. Is it too early or to insane to say that Eddie Royal is actually the most valuable player right now? Pick: Broncos 31, Saints 24

Bucs at Bears 78% Chicago (CHI 21, TB 17)

Brian Griese vs Kyle Orton. Beautiful... if you like field goals and three yard passes. I'm not one to start drinking early on Sundays* but both teams' fans will need to this week. I expect a lot of field goals and the Bears defense getting the extra turnover in good field position for the Robbie Gould winner. My Pick: Bears 16, Bucs 13

MNF: Jets at Chargers 72% San Diego (SD 26, NYJ 21)

What do you think the odds are of Ed Hochuli officiating this game? If Eric Mangini will let Brett Favre wing it, we chould be in for a shootout, but we know that won't happen just yet. 0-2 at home, San Diego just won't lose this game. They can't. Pick: Chargers 27, Bretts 17

SNF: Cowboys at Packers 71% Dallas (DAL 28, GB 24)
How soon until Aaron Rodgers gets his starlet girlfriend? Winning Sunday night could go a long way, but I think we're jumping on the Rodgers bandwagon a little too early. He'll have his stats, but they'll be coupled with a few mistakes, enough to give Tony Romo and the nearly unstoppable Cowboys offense a touchdown edge. Pick: Cowboys 35, Packers 27

Panthers at Vikings 52% Minnesota (MIN 21, CAR 20)

Carolina is hot, they have Steve Smith back and Jonathan Stewart has established himself as a top running back. Minnesota has Gus Frerotte, which does help, but too much doubt within the team. Even worse, Adrian Peterson is less than 100%. At least the Vikings will have company with the Lions. Pick: Panthers 24, Vikins 20

Rams at Seahawks 90% Seattle (SEA 25, STL 15)
I should have more confidence in Seattle at home, but can't erase the memory of San Francisco scoring 33 last week. The Rams offense has enough weapons to start producing, and they'll surpass their season total on Sunday, but won't be good enough to win. Matt Hasselbeck shouldn't have trouble moving the football and hopefully Julius Jones has a big day. Despite all signs point to Seattle, I remain unsure. Pick: 'Hawks 31, Rams 28

Browns at Ravens 51% Cleveland (EVEN)

No one can like what they've seen from Cleveland after two weeks. Errant passes, dropped balls that were on target and modest ground attack. Jamal Lewis loves running against his former mates and I have to believe Derek Anderson and Braylon Edwards start connecting. Still unsure what to expect from Joe Flacco after having last week off. Pick: Browns 20, Ravens 17

Cardinals at Redskins 52% Washington (WAS 23, ARI 21)

If Kurt Warner has time, he'll continue to pick apart defenses with Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin. He won't have a field day, but I like Arizona to strike enough for a road win and a stunning 3-0 start. Why not? Pick: Buzzsaw 24, Skins 20

Steelers at Ealges 69% Philadelphia (PHI 26, PIT 23)

I like what I've seen from Pittsburgh, but making this pick solely based on Big Ben's shoulder and the frequency with which the Eagles will successfully blitz through the shaky Steelers line. Hopefully it's as great a game as it should be. Pick: Eagles 28, Steelers 23

Feel free to share your picks below.
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9/19/08
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i truly appreciate those cheerleader pictures

 
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