WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NFL football simulation technology to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We have simulated every possible matchup in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate every team. All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Rosters and depth charts are up-to-date as of Monday night of each week.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | New Orleans Saints | - | 85.2 | 32.8 | 17.3 |
| 2. | Minnesota Vikings | +2 | 76.5 | 26.6 | 18.1 |
| 3. | Indianapolis Colts | - | 74.7 | 25.3 | 16.1 |
| 4. | New England Patriots | +10 | 73.5 | 26.1 | 17.9 |
| 5. | Denver Broncos | +5 | 71.2 | 23.9 | 16.1 |
| 6. | Pittsburgh Steelers | - | 68.0 | 26.2 | 20.4 |
| 7. | New York Giants | -5 | 65.5 | 24.3 | 19.2 |
| 8. | Baltimore Ravens | - | 61.8 | 23.7 | 20.2 |
| 9. | Arizona Cardinals | +9 | 61.0 | 22.1 | 18.8 |
| 10. | Atlanta Falcons | -3 | 59.6 | 22.8 | 18.8 |
| 11. | San Francisco 49ers | +2 | 57.4 | 22.1 | 19.9 |
| 12. | Houston Texans | +8 | 57.4 | 22.7 | 20.0 |
| 13. | Dallas Cowboys | +4 | 55.4 | 25.4 | 23.8 |
| 14. | Philadelphia Eagles | -9 | 53.3 | 21.8 | 20.9 |
| 15. | Green Bay Packers | +1 | 52.7 | 24.0 | 22.5 |
| 16. | San Diego Chargers | -5 | 51.6 | 24.2 | 23.9 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 17. | Miami Dolphins | +4 | 49.5 | 21.3 | 22.0 |
| 18. | Chicago Bears | +1 | 48.6 | 20.7 | 21.5 |
| 19. | Cincinnati Bengals | -10 | 46.2 | 20.0 | 21.0 |
| 20. | New York Jets | -8 | 46.1 | 20.9 | 22.1 |
| 21. | Seattle Seahawks | -6 | 43.8 | 19.8 | 21.9 |
| 22. | Carolina Panthers | +3 | 42.5 | 20.2 | 23.1 |
| 23. | Jacksonville Jaguars | - | 41.2 | 20.4 | 23.3 |
| 24. | Buffalo Bills | - | 37.1 | 17.8 | 22.5 |
| 25. | Kansas City Chiefs | +5 | 34.5 | 16.0 | 21.5 |
| 26. | Cleveland Browns | +3 | 29.8 | 17.1 | 24.3 |
| 27. | Washington Redskins | - | 29.4 | 17.0 | 24.3 |
| 28. | Oakland Raiders | +3 | 28.8 | 15.4 | 22.5 |
| 29. | St. Louis Rams | +3 | 28.1 | 17.2 | 24.9 |
| 30. | Tennessee Titans | -8 | 27.1 | 17.8 | 25.8 |
| 31. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -4 | 21.8 | 16.1 | 26.3 |
| 32. | Detroit Lions | -4 | 20.7 | 16.1 | 26.7 |
Paul Bessire is the Product Manager of Content and Quantitative Analysis for WhatIfSports.com, a division of FOX Sports Interactive specializing in fantasy football simulation analysis and football sim games. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!
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