NFL

NFL "Prediction System" Results: MrNFL's predictions.

8/2/07 in NFL   |   MrNFL   |   175 respect

I would like to thank everyone who has read and participated in the prediction system rankings over the past 2 months.  FanIQ's predictions have yet to be determined, and you can still vote until 11 PM ET Friday.  But for now, we will look at what my rankings have predicted for this upcoming season.

 

Now I took my rankings score, and put them to the actual schedule.  The teams' total scores face off with 3 points added to the home team, and the team with the higher score wins that game.  In the case of a tie, the team with the better coaching score wins, and if they are still tied, the team with the higher total offense/defense score wins.

 

z-First Round Bye

y-Division winner

x-Wild Card

 

 

 

NFC NORTH W L
z-Bears 15 1
Vikings 4 12
Packers 4 12
Lions 2 14

 

NFC SOUTH W L
z-Saints 14 2
x-Panthers 10 6
Buccaneers 5 11
Falcons 4 12

 

NFC EAST W L
y-Redskins 11 5
x-Cowboys 10 6
Eagles 10 6
Giants 3 13

 

NFC WEST W L
y-Rams 11 5
Seahawks 10 6
Cardinals 4 12
49ers 3 13

 

AFC NORTH W L
z-Ravens 13 3
Bengals 9 7
Steelers 9 7
Browns 3 13

 

AFC SOUTH W L
y-Jaguars 13 3
Colts 12 4
Titans 4 12
Texans 1 15

 

AFC EAST W L
z-Patriots 15 1
x-Jets 14 2
Dolphins 7 9
Bills 1 15

 

AFC WEST W L
y-Chargers 13 3
x-Broncos 13 3
Chiefs 8 8
Raiders 3 13

 

There you have it, that is what my rankings have predicted.  Obviously, a few are surprising to me (like the Redskins, although last year I was surprised when it predicted the Eagles to win the division, and that worked out).  Now here is the playoffs.

 

AFC

 

(1) Patriots      
  (1) Patriots    
(4) Chargers (4) Chargers    
(5) Jets   (1) Patriots  
    (2) Ravens AFC CHAMPS
(3) Jaguars     (1) Patriots
(6) Broncos (3) Jaguars    
  (2) Ravens    
(2) Ravens      

 

NFC

 

(1) Bears      
  (1) Bears    
(4) Redskins (4) Redskins    
(5) Panthers   (1) Bears  
    (2) Saints NFC CHAMPS
(3) Rams     (1) Bears
(6) Cowboys (3) Rams    
  (2) Saints    
(2) Saints      

 

So according to the rankings, the Bears will face the Patriots in the Super Bowl.  And in the final matchup, the Patriots beat out the Bears to be predicted as the Super Bowl champions.

 

Well there you have it.  Remember, you can still imput your rankings for each team until Friday at 11 PM ET, and we will see what the consensus of FanIQ's rankings predict for the Super Bowl.

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8/4/07   |   MrNFL   |   175 respect

Personally, I'm expecting big things from the Jaguars as a whole, I think they will win 11 or 12.

Obviously, it's impossible to take in to account everything, but we'll find out how close it is.  Last year, it had some great picks (Panthers at 8-8) and some bad (Jets with 1 win).

Should be interesting to see what the combined FanIQ ranks predict.

8/4/07   |   MarkTheShark   |   590 respect

Pat wrote:
This turned out very interestingly. Obviously a system like this is bound to have some flaws, due to the "any given Sunday" factor, as well as injuries and unexpected rookie performance, but overall it looks pretty impressive.

A few things that look like they could be remarkably accurate:
  • The NFC North. Although I don't believe the Bears are a 15-1 team, drop them to about 12-4 or 11-5 and I think the system nailed that division.
  • NFC South. That's pretty solid, IMO.
  • NFC East. Also seems accurate to me, although the Giants might not be THAT bad, and the Redskins would surprise me. I might have the Cowboys winning a couple more games, but overall very close.
  • AFC West. Two 13-3 teams would be a bit amazing, but certainly not out of the question.
  • AFC North: Take one win from the Steelers, give it to the Bengals, and I think that division is pretty spot-on.

A few things that make me go "hmmm":
  • The NFC West, specifically the 49ers finishing 3-13. They might not be the big dominant force that a lot of Niner fans are hoping, but I don't think there's any way they drop THAT low. I think that all 4 teams in that division will finish with between 6 and 9 wins.
  • Jaguars winning 13??? Wow...how did that happen? And obviously the Texans will win more than 1.
  • The AFC East is all jacked up. The Patriots probably won't quite win 15, and the Jets won't win 14. The Bills should be good for at least 5-11, and I don't see the Dolphins winning 7. Not this year.

Overall though, it's a pretty impressive simulation system. And obviously, I like the results.

I remember the Jaguars one and I was thinking...eeehhh wow. Jaguars could be the unpredictable team, I have them at 7-9 or so .......I guess we'll see.
I can't wait for him to bring out the fans results: Probably not much change at the top, ie Patriots but I think we'll see some changes at the bottom.

8/4/07   |   Pat   |   5229 respect

This turned out very interestingly. Obviously a system like this is bound to have some flaws, due to the "any given Sunday" factor, as well as injuries and unexpected rookie performance, but overall it looks pretty impressive.

A few things that look like they could be remarkably accurate:

  • The NFC North. Although I don't believe the Bears are a 15-1 team, drop them to about 12-4 or 11-5 and I think the system nailed that division.
  • NFC South. That's pretty solid, IMO.
  • NFC East. Also seems accurate to me, although the Giants might not be THAT bad, and the Redskins would surprise me. I might have the Cowboys winning a couple more games, but overall very close.
  • AFC West. Two 13-3 teams would be a bit amazing, but certainly not out of the question.
  • AFC North: Take one win from the Steelers, give it to the Bengals, and I think that division is pretty spot-on.

A few things that make me go "hmmm":
  • The NFC West, specifically the 49ers finishing 3-13. They might not be the big dominant force that a lot of Niner fans are hoping, but I don't think there's any way they drop THAT low. I think that all 4 teams in that division will finish with between 6 and 9 wins.
  • Jaguars winning 13??? Wow...how did that happen? And obviously the Texans will win more than 1.
  • The AFC East is all jacked up. The Patriots probably won't quite win 15, and the Jets won't win 14. The Bills should be good for at least 5-11, and I don't see the Dolphins winning 7. Not this year.

Overall though, it's a pretty impressive simulation system. And obviously, I like the results.

8/4/07   |   MarkTheShark   |   590 respect

Not bad, what you need is a few more variables, as you have too many one and two loss teams and too many one and two win teams. That just doesn't happen in the NFL where everyone is playing for their livelihood. How about home team weather factors and extra points for good OL's and durable players. Quite interesting though.