NFL Week 4 Upset Alerts

9/27/13 in NFL   |   Matthew_Shovlin   |   735 respect

We see upsets just about every week in the NFL. This past Sunday we saw the Colts (+10.5) put a beating on the 49ers, while the Panthers (+2.5) ran the Giants out of Carolina with a 38-0 massacre. I'm going to take a look at some of the upsets that we could see in Week 4. In order for me to put a team on upset alert, they have to be favored by more than the average of all the spreads for the week - after all, would the Bears (+3) beating the Lions really be an upset? The average spread this week is 4.25.

There are five games this week with a spread of more than 4.25 points. These games include:

Cincinnati Bengals (-4.5) @ Cleveland Browns
Indianapolis Colts (-8.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars
New York Giants @ Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5)
Philadelphia Eagles @ Denver Broncos (-11)
Miami Dolphins @ New Orleans Saints (-6.5)

Most of those underdogs I feel have very slim chances of winnings, but here are the games that I believe could result in an upset:

Sep 22, 2013; Charlotte, NC, USA; New York Giants cornerback Aaron Ross (31) reacts with strong safety Antrel Rolle (26) after making an interception in the second quarter at Bank of America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY SportsNew York Giants @ Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5): I am fully aware that not enough people are taking the Chiefs seriously, and I am not trying to disrespect them by saying they could lose to the 0-3 Giants. For years, however, I have seen the Giants turn it on just when you least expect it - particularly on the road. People are starting to say that head coach Tom Coughlin is on the hot seat. Coughlin has been on the hot seat multiple times in the past, and he has generally responded by winning the Super Bowl.

The Chiefs were slaughtered so badly by the Eagles on the ground last week that their opponents' yards per carry skyrocketed up to 5.6 - the worst mark in the league. If the Giants can finally get something going on the ground, their entire offense could start clicking again. Chiefs No. 1 cornerback Brandon Flowers has been bothered by a knee injury this season, causing him to struggle through three games. With two elite receiving options (Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks), quarterback Eli Manning can take advantage of a secondary when one of the cornerbacks is not on top of his game.

All that being said, I still think that the Chiefs will win this game. They have talent all throughout their defense, and their offense is efficient enough to get the job done (with a constant big play threat in the explosive Jamaal Charles). However, it would not surprise me to see the Giants turn it on in a must-win situation and pull out the victory.
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