NFL Week 4 picks

9/28/13 in NFL   |   jakeryanbrown   |   28 respect

Giants (0-3) @ Chiefs (3-0)
Sep 19, 2013; Philadelphia, PA, USA; Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid talks with quarterback Alex Smith (11) during the fourth quarter against the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field. The Chiefs defeated the Eagles 26-16. Mandatory Credit: Howard Smith-USA TODAY SportsThe Giants offensive line didn’t show up last week in Carolina, and neither did anyone else on the team for that matter.  In a must-win game, the Giants were shutout, 38-0.  They now enter must-win mode once again as they head to Kansas City, one of the toughest places to play in football.  The Chiefs are riding high, with a tremendous defense and a quarterback in Alex Smith that has avoided turning the ball over.  With injuries on the offensive line, and a secondary that has been atrocious, I can’t pick the Giants to win this game.  Expect the Chiefs to win behind a loud crowd that will have the Giants at an 0-4 start.

Ravens (2-1) @ Bills (1-2)
After giving up 49 points to the Broncos in week one, the Ravens defense has not allowed a touchdown in the last eight quarters.  For all the question marks they had, losing Ray Lewis and Ed Reed, their defense has looked stellar in their 2-1 start.  The Bills won’t scare this defense and neither will their weak defense.  Ray Rice will play and expect the Ravens to run the ball down the Bills throats and win by double digits in Buffalo Sunday.

Bengals (2-1) @ Browns (1-2)
The Browns shocked the world last week, topping the Vikings in Minnesota with Brian Boyer behind Sep 22, 2013; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Cincinnati Bengals running back Giovani Bernard (25) runs the ball for a touchdown during the first quarter against the Green Bay Packers at Paul Brown Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Andrew Weber-USA TODAY Sportscenter.  Nobody picked them last week, but don’t expect them to shock everyone again against a very good Bengals defense.  Hoyer did have three picks last week against a Vikings defense that has been bad in their 0-3 start.  The Bengals should win this one by a touchdown Sunday.

Bears (3-0) @ Lions (2-1)
The Bears have been one of the best teams in the NFL in their 3-0 start.  Their defense is physical even without Brian Urlacher.  Thei defense forced five turnovers against the Steelers last week and expect them to come out firing once again in Detroit.  Speaking of firing, Matthew Stafford has done just that with the football in the first couple weeks in the Lions 2-1 start, and Reggie Bush will return from injury Sunday.  Bush being back will help, but the Bears have looked too good on both sides of the ball.  Expect Jay Cutler to lead the Bears down the field to a game-winning field goal in the final drive.

Steelers (0-3) @ Vikings (0-3) (London)
It’s the battle of two 0-3 teams in London Sunday.  The Steelers can’t score right now and the Vikings can’t stop anybody.  It will make for what should be an ugly game overseas.  Matt Cassel will take over for the injured Christian Ponder and the Vikings offense should run through Adrian Peterson.  That will put them over the top Sunday in a sloppy game.

Cardinals (1-2) @ Buccaneers (0-3)
Aug 29, 2013; Tampa, FL, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers head coach Greg Schiano talks with quarterback Mike Glennon (8) against the Washington Redskins during the first half at Raymond James Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY SportsThe Bucs have taken over the headlines for all the wrong reasons the first couple of weeks of the season in their 0-3 start.  They have benched Josh Freeman and rookie Mike Glennon will take over as the starting quarterback Sunday with Greg Schiano on the hot seat.  Carson Palmer has been an upgrade for the Cardinals, but not much of one.  This game will come down to the final drive, but it’s safer to trust Palmer late in the game than an unproven rookie. 

Colts (2-1) @ Jaguars (0-3)
It’s the Jaguars.

Seahawks (3-0) @ Texans (2-1)
They say everything is bigger in Texas and this is a big-time game between two great defenses.  The Sep 22, 2013; Baltimore, MD, USA; Houston Texans quarterback Matt Schaub (8) hands the ball off to running back Arian Foster (23) in the first quarter against the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Evan Habeeb-USA TODAY SportsTexans have struggled through the first three weeks, but still are 2-1.  Meanwhile, the Seahawks have been nearly unstoppable in their 3-0 start.  The Texans are due to get something out of their defense and it will finally come this week.  This game will come down to the final seconds, but at home I’m taking the Texans in another nail biter.  The Seahawks can't win every week, and they're not the same team on the road as they are at home.

4:00 games

Eagles (1-2) @ Broncos (3-0)
Peyton Manning has been more of a machine than a human being through the first three weeks this season.  He set a record last week for the most touchdown passes in the first three weeks of the season.  Sunday, he gets to face an Eagles defense that can’t stop a nosebleed.  Expect Manning and the Broncos to put up another 40-plus point performance and top Michael Vick and the Eagles.

Redskins (0-3) @ Raiders (1-2)
Sep 22, 2013; Landover, MD, USA; Washington Redskins quarterback Robert Griffin III (10) runs with the ball past Detroit Lions defensive tackle Nick Fairley (98) in the fourth quarter at FedEx Field. The Lions won 27-20. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY SportsThe Redskins have been one of the biggest disappointments so far this season.  Robert Griffin III hasn’t looked like the same quarterback before tearing his ACL and their defense has given up an astounding 98 points in three games.  They are in dire need of a turnaround and they need their defense to step up this week.  Luckily, they get to face Matt Flynn and the Raiders Sunday in a must-win game for Washington.  Flynn will keep it close, but look for the Redskins to finally get in the winning column in Oakland.  

Cowboys (2-1) @ Chargers (1-2)
The Cowboys are a field goal away from being 3-0 so far and the biggest surprise has been their defense.  They forced the Giants into seven turnovers in week one, held the Chiefs to 17 points in week two, and held the Rams to just seven points in week three.  The Chargers could also be 3-0, but suffered heartbreaking last-minute losses to the Texans and the Titans.  This will be a tight game, but Tony Romo will make a big throw late and the Cowboys will squeak by San Diego.


Patriots (3-0) @ Falcons (1-2)
A lot of people have looked down on the Patriots start to the season, but in the end they are 3-0.  They have found ways to win, and last week they finally saw Tom Brady connect with his rookie receivers.  There’s a good chance Rob Gronkowski will not play in Atlanta, which will be the difference.  The Falcons have struggled in their 1-2 start, but the Georgia Dome will be loud in primtime football Sunday night.  “Matty Ice” will make a big play late to Julio Jones that will hand the Pats their first loss of the season.

Monday Night Football
Dolphins (3-0) @ Saints (3-0)
This might be the game of the week and it’s only fitting it comes on Monday night.  The Dolphins have Sep 22, 2013; New Orleans, LA, USA; New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees (9) celebrates following a win over the Arizona Cardinals during a game at Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The Saints defeated the Cardinals 31-7. Mandatory Credit: Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sportsturned a lot of heads in their 3-0 start, with impressive wins over the Colts and the Falcons.  The Saints are also off to a 3-0 start and the biggest reason has been their defense under new coordinator Rob Ryan.  That was the biggest question mark for this team coming into the season, and they have been fourth in the NFL against the pass this season.  With that revamped defense, Ryan Tannehill will have a tough day in the Superdome Monday night.  Expect a shootout in the Big Easy, but the Saints will come out with a 4-0 start.
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