Oh, Canada!

7/1/14 in MLB   |   pigskinfan   |   53 respect

It's Canada Day for our friends to the north, and that means matinee baseball from Toronto.  I had a guy ask me a couple of years ago what the Blue Jays record was at home on Canada Day, and it wasn't very good at all.  I don't remember the exact number, but I do know the Jays had lost a significant number more than they had won.  Each year is different though, so I didn't really bother to file that research away anywhere.  It doesn't really matter for this year anyway.  I don't want anything to do with the game at all, but I will say this:  The Crew' starter today, Marco Estrada, excels at giving up the long ball.  That's what the Jays do best, and with the Brewers offense, there should be plenty of fireworks at Rogers Centre this afternoon.


THE SHOW  (1-3 last night and 3-6 so far for the week)
It was really nice to see my team get some runs last night.  Sure makes breathing a whole lot easier, and I'm not too broken up about having my other game get rained out.

 BUTTA  (1-0 last night and 1-2 so far for the week)
1.  Rays (Price -120) over YANKEES (KURODA) - Does anybody remember last season when a severely injured Yankees team kept hanging around and hanging around in the 1st half, only to falter and fail right before the break?  I do, and it looks like the same thing is about ready to happen again to the Bombers.  Their offense is weak, and their decimated pitching staff is beginning to fail them.  Kuroda is 2-3 lifetime against the Rays but with a 6.94 ERA, so he's not really been a mystery for Tampa.  For the Rays, David Price has been at the center of much of the trade talk going on right now.  He's 9-5 lifetime against the Yanks and 28-11 in his career in road games against division opponents.  The really ironic thing is that if the Yankees maintain their status as "buyers" in this season's trading frenzy, I fully expect that Price will end up wearing the pinstripes in a few weeks.
2.  RED SOX (BUCHHOLZ -170) over Cubs (Jackson) - I really don't have a whole lot of numbers to back up this play for the Sox other than some really bad ones for Jackson.  I did like what I saw out of Buchholz in Seattle last Wednesday though.  After a shaky start, he really settled in and got the game into the 8th inning with the lead.  And after getting totally shut down by Arrieta last night, I'm going to bank on the hunch that the Red Sox bats wake up tonight at home against Edwin Jackson.

ON THE CUTTING ROOM FLOOR 
1.  BRAVES (MINOR -190) over Mets (Matsuzaka) - For one thing, the Mets just can't seem to beat the Bravos.  As for other "issues" for this game, Minor is 4-2 lifetime against the Mets, and over the last 3 seasons, Atlanta is 115-69 against division opponents and 35-15 after 3 or more consecutive wins.
2.  MARLINS (ALVAREZ -140) over Phillies (Burnett) - The Fish are fading, but they've got their ace going tonight.  Alvarez and Burnett hooked up last week in Philly, and Miami came away with a 3-2 win.  That might be significant tonight since Burnett is only 85-118 in road games in his career.
3.  Reds (Leake -110) over PADRES (KENNEDY) - I just can't see the Friars winning a 2nd straight game over the Reds, but that's about as far as it goes.  Cincy wasted a dominant pitching performance by Latos last night.  You just can't lose a game when your starter gives up only 1 hit.  Things should return to "normal" tonight as Kennedy is only 7-17 over the last 2 seasons when his team is coming off a win.  That being said, he is 3-1 lifetime against the Reds.  So, let's be patient, pass on this one regardless of the temptation and wait till Cueto gets the ball tomorrow.

RUN LINES  (6-4 ATS/7-3 SU/6-4 TOTALS last night and 12-12/13-11/13-11 so far for the week)
 
AMERICAN LEAGUE NATIONAL LEAGUE
A's (+1 1/2, O9 1/2) D-Backs (+1 1/2. U7 1/2)
TIGERS PIRATES
   
Rangers Rockies
ORIOLES (-1 1/2, U9 1/2) NATIONALS (-1 1/2, U8)
   
Rays (-1 1/2, U7 1/2) Mets
YANKEES BRAVES (-1 1/2, U7 1/2)
   
Royals (-1 1/2, O8) Phillies (+1 1/2, O7 1/2)
TWINS MARLINS
   
Mariners Reds (-1 1/2, U6 1/2)
ASTROS (+1 1/2, U7 1/2) PADRES
   
Angels (-1 1/2, U9 1/2) Cardinals (+1 1/2, U7 1/2)
WHITE SOX GIANTS
   
INTERLEAGUE  
Brewers (+1 1/2, O9 1/2) Indians
BLUE JAYS DODGERS (-1 1/2, U7)
   
Cubs (+1 1/2, U9)  
RED SOX  

SHOW NOTES: 
---A weird thing here, but even after last night's blowout by the M's in Houston, all the numbers are coming out in yet another tie for tonight's game between the same 2 clubs.
---Because of last night's washout in Chicago, the Halos and Sox will play a "traditional" double header tonight.  The first game will start at 4:10 CDT and the 2nd game will go off about 30 minutes after the 1st game ends.  You'll notice I've backed off of Richards after wanting to get on him last night.  He's scheduled right now to take the bump in Game 1 against Noesi as he was supposed to last night, but Weaver is scheduled to take Game 2.  Jered is 8-2 lifetime against the Pale Hose, so I'm going to sit Game 1 out and watch.  If it should come to pass that the Sox find a way to beat Richards in Game 1, I'll be on Weaver and the Halos in Game 2, and right now, that price is showing out as (-165).  Stay tuned.
---Lincecum takes the bump tonight after tossing a no-no his last time out.  That's usually a good time for a go against, but the Redbirds are really short with their starting pitching right now, so there's really nothing to see there.


Have a great Tuesday!  I'll talk to you tomorrow.
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