Padres Remain in Playoff Hunt

9/29/10 in MLB   |   Rose77   |   2307 respect

Our Wednesday night MLB predictions take us to Petco Park where the San Diego Padres look to snag a “W” against the Chicago Cubs in their second to last home game of the regular season.

The Cubbies have gone into Petco and played the role of spoiler taking each of the first two games of this crucial Padres home stand. Interim manager Mike Quade has done a sensational job since taking over for Lou Piniella, as the Cubs enter the third game of this series a lucrative 21-11 their L/32 overall games. If the Padres had caught fire like that in September, they would by no means be faced with the scary thought of missing out on the post-season after leading the NL West for the majority of the regular season. As it is, San Diego trails the San Francisco Giants by two-games in the NL West with the Atlanta Braves holding a 1.5-game lead on the NL Wild Card slot.

Chicago Cubs  (72-85, -$1779) vs. San Diego Padres (87-70, $1804)

Game Date/Time: Wednesday, September 29th, 10:05 ET

Game Location: Petco Park, San Diego, CA

TV/Radio Broadcast: Comcast (Chicago), 4SD, XM

MLB Odds

Chicago Cubs                    +1.5 -190    +115

(Randy Wells - R)

San Diego Padres             -1.5 +160     -135

(Chris Young - R)

Total                                 6.5 O -115   6.5 U -105

Randy Wells enters his 32nd start of the 2010 MLB predictions season off back-to-back victories after tossing a gem at home against the Giants. He shut them out through 7.2 innings and allowed just six hits while K’ing six and walking one. The win improved him to 8-13 on the year with a 4.28 ERA & 1.40 WHIP giving up 203 hits and 89 ER’s with a K/BB ratio of 142/59 through 187.1 total innings of work.

His ERA inflates to 4.54 on the road where the Cubs have won just five of his 13 overall starts. While Chicago stands just 1-4 his L/5 starts as road underdogs in the +110 to +150 range, he’s had much success throughout his career against the Padres allowing just eight hits and four ER’s through 14 IP in a pair of starts, but has an 0-2 lifetime record vs. them to show for it.

Making just his third start since coming back up to the big squad will be lanky righty Chris Young. So far so good in his return as the Padres have won each of his L/2 starts since being called up.

He held the pesky Reds in check his last time out limiting Dusty Baker’s NL Central Champs to just three hits and a lone ER through five innings pitched. His work has been limited due to a pitch count, but in that stretch, he’s allowed just six hits and two ER’s through nine innings. He’s 2-1 with a 3.63 ERA & 1.13 WHIP in six career MLB predictions starts vs. the Northsiders.

MLB Insider Tip: This is a huge overlay with San Diego tonight, but I still see it as being the correct call. Chicago has made life a living hell for the Friars thus far taking each of the first two games of this crucial series, but I expect San Diego to snag the ever important win tonight to keep pressure on both the Giants and Braves for the final two playoff spots.

Manager Bud Black’s squad has responded in the third game of a series if coming off a loss all season long by posting a solid 12-6 record. On the flipside, the Cubs are 9-16 in Game 3 when playing off a ‘W’. The Padres have also taken advantage of sub .500 opposition at home winning 12 of the L/15 times with two of those defeats coming in this series.

My MLB predictions for tonight’s NL battle have the Padres stepping up to the plate and knocking a big home win out of the park!

My MLB Prediction: San Diego Padres (Young)

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