Please sign in to complete your action
 
DONE!
Cheer and debate with
6,000,000+ fans!
My Team:
Charlotte
My Team:
Michael
My Team:
Britney
11/3/09
Preseason Expectations Are Affecting Conference Perceptions
A Tale of Two NCAA Football Conferences
College Football is a mess. There is this perception out there that certain conferences are tougher than others. I present to you this little comparison.

Conference A:
  • Team Red -   8-0
  • Team Blue -   7-1
  • Team Black-  6-2
  • Team Green- 6-2
  • Team Brown- 6-2
  • Team White - 4-4
Conference B:
  • Team Aqua-     8-0
  • Team Maroon- 8-0
  • Team Lime -     7-1
  • Team Purple-   6-3
  • Team Orange- 6-3
  • Team Gold-      5-3
  • Team Gray-      4-4
Conference A has a total of 8 teams, while conference B has 12. Conference A had zero teams ranked in the top 25 pre-season polls, while conference B had 5. Currently, each has 3 teams ranked in the BCS Top 25. To be at the bottom of Coference A, your record is 3-5. The worst in Conference B is 2-7. 

Conference A has the 3rd highest rated QB, with a 161.1 rating as well as the number 8. Conference B has the 9th ranked QB. Conference A has the 5th leading rusher in the nation, who, plays with the 3rd rated QB. Conference B has the 2nd leading rusher, who plays with the 47th ranked QB. As for the WR position, Conference A boasts the 9, 20, 22, and 26. Conference B? Only one WR is in the top 40, and he is 23rd.

What about defense? Well, Conference B steps up here, with 3 teams in the top 10 for points allowed with 2,5, and 7 as well as  14. Conference A? Well, they pull out the 9th best defense as well as 20, 21, and 23.  

Conference B is pretty easy to figure out, with two undefeated teams, it is the all mighty SEC. Conference A? The zero pre-season rankings gives that away as the Big East. Anyone who has watched a good cross section of college football this season can tell you that the SEC's weakness is the sometimes anemic offenses. Remember Florida/LSU? 13-3? Take away some of Florida's patsies, like Troy and Charleston Southern, and 41% of their points are gone. Similarly, remove N. Texas and FIU from Bama's schedule, and 37% of their points for the year are gone. 

Cream puffs are on everyone's schedules though, yet Cincinnati has consistently put up points. Sure, 70 were in one game, against Southeast Missouri State (and their nickname is???? FInd out later in the blog!), but the Bearcats lowest point total is 28 points. Pitt, the team with the 3rd rated QB in Bill Stull, 5th leading RB in Freshman Dion Lewis, and Jonathon Dixon is the 26th ranked WR, lost only to NC State early on in the season. The 41-14 dismantling of the 25th ranked South Florida Bulls was very, very impressive.

South Florida is equally impressive though, when you take into account that their starting QB,  Matt Grothe, was lost for the season after just 3 games. That they came out the very next week and beat FSU on the road, with the backup QB shows that this team has some quality athletes. WVU just fell out of the top 25 because they lost to the very same Bulls.

Clearly this is a case where the perception of the SEC dominance over college football is just one flaw, albeit a fatal one, in determining who plays for the National Championship. Cincinnati has a very good chance at running the table. They have played well without their starting QB as well, Tony Pike has missed the last 2 games with his injured arm. The two tests are WVU and the finale against Pitt. They only need ask WVU though what can happen when you play that last game against Pitt for a BCS (and in the 'Neers case, the Crystal), especially on the road. 

Now, this is all about perception so let's play make believe for a minute. Let's say Pitt runs the table from here on out, and finishes 11-1? They have both Notre Dame and the Bearcats at Heinz Field? In all seriousness, granted, it is a lot of what if's, but how could you deny Pitt a shot? They have elite players, they in this scenario will have knocked off a Top 5 team, as well as had wins over the ranked Bulls, Irish, and possibly the Mountaineers.

What I am saying is if their is a group of one loss teams, no way in heck is the Big East getting the nod, even though stat wise they are more balanced and have better offensive numbers. Yet LSU, because of the SEC tie, is still a top ten team. The winner of the Tiger/Tide may pull it out with a 9-6 margin. If Bama loses, and LSU pulls off a miracle and beats Florida, are they the best one loss team? Perception....

Frankly, the best one loss team right now is Oregon. Oregon could be the best team in the nation right now. 

So, we go back, and look at the records of the conferences. Somehow, Oklahoma and VA Tech, at 5-3, are ahead of the 6-2 Big East teams. These rankings get fed into the computer, they help determine who is the best, or who gets a shot at being the best. Then what happens if you have a Big East and a Big Ten school go undefeated? So much outcry has surfaced from the WAC and Mountain West's of the world, that it almost seems like Boise or TCU could get the nod over traditional power conferences like the Big Ten.It is truly sad that the national "Champion" can be determined by a machine, which gets much of its "data" based on the opinions and perceptions of the infamous pollsters. Hopefully it will be so screwed up at the end of the year, that these archaic fools will come to realize that it cannot continue on this way. 

The argument of money is ridiculous, there is no way a playoff format does not double, or triple the revenue brought into college football. That a simple, simple answer is out there, win your conference and you are in the playoffs. Finish second through 4th and you are in a bowl game, so the Tampax Sport Bowl and the Cherry Icee Bowl can still happen and keep everyone happy.  The major BCS bowls (Rose, The Corn Chip, Orange, Sugar, etc) host the playoff games or just do the neutral site thing like Texas/OU or Gators/Dogs do every year.  How do the sponsors not want this? 

You have an entire nation screaming at the tops of our collective lungs, yet a committee of what, 100, 60, 30 (anyone know?) cannot deal with change. This is why college football is the worst sport of all...There is so much excitement throughout the season, and it completely collapses into an abyss of disappointment at the defining moment. Like Santonio Holmes' catch was good for a win, but only a 3rd spot in the polls, because Tennessee beat Carolina in the Tobacco Bowl....

It's going to be another year where the best team probably will not win, only because they will not have a chance to play! Oh, and Southeast Missouri State are....drum roll in your head please............the Redhawks....

Peace, and go Big East Football!
24 comments
Vote!
Comment!
Your votes determine top comment

11/3/09
4
Why not have the champs from each conference have a play off then we will see who is the Nation Champion Like Basketball...Even steven you lose you go home......Start the season Sept.1 no off week 10 game season play off at end off season no time off ..Lets see who is the true National Champion Of College FootBall ......

11/3/09
0
Seriously you are comparing the Big East to the SEC and you actually think they are better WOW. Let me guess you also think that Cincy could beat Bama and Florida. I think you guys are getting better but come on, not one of your teams have shown any consistency one year a team is good and the next they are bad. Once one of them can put together a consistently winning program they will get some respect.

11/3/09
0
because iowa is a pic... i would have to say the big ten and sec garbage has been dealt and its over... big ten blows in comparison... big east has no chance... not enough money/talent to challenge the sec and we'll find out next year about usf vs fla... bigtone what week is that game next year?

11/3/09
0
I'd love to see Pitt run the table, and if the team that took USF apart shows up for the next several weeks then I think they certainly can get a BCS game. And I think that the Big East is better this year than in the past, and is around or slightly above the level of the Big Ten. But I have a feeling the SEC is going to prove again this year that it is the conference to beat. Don't get me wrong, I want to see Florida and Alabama lose before the SEC title game, just to really mess things up. I just don't think it will happen

11/3/09
0
TurkogluForMVP wrote:
because iowa is a pic... i would have to say the big ten and sec garbage has been dealt and its over... big ten blows in comparison... big east has no chance... not enough money/talent to challenge the sec and we'll find out next year about usf vs fla... bigtone what week is that game next year?
It's week two on 9/11

11/3/09
4
Why not have the champs from each conference have a play off then we will see who is the Nation Champion Like Basketball...Even steven you lose you go home......Start the season Sept.1 no off week 10 game season play off at end off season no time off ..Lets see who is the true National Champion Of College FootBall ......

11/3/09
0
I've said it before and I'll say it again, comparing conferences is null and void.  I know it's fun to do, but until they play 4-5 games against each other in a season, we won't really know who is better.  Different conferences play different styles of football.  Just because a QB in conference A has better numbers than a QB in conference B doesn't make him better.  And the same comparison goes for defenses in each conference.  When you only face certain styles of football for most of the season, your stats will be tilted in that direction more than other conferences may be.

I don't, nor have I ever, claimed that the SEC is the best football conference (for reasons posted above).  For anyone to claim that the conference is overrated, all I can say is "Wait til bowl season".  Because unfortunately, that's the only measuring stick that we will have to gauge any of this.

Nice write up, Mike.

11/3/09
1
  @tpowell, I agree, comparing conferences is impossible with the limited number of games between them.  All you can do is measure them up come Bowl Season.  
And to BigTone, you decry the Big East as having no consistent good teams, but yet Pitt and WVU are at or near the top every year with 8 or 9 wins.  It's been that way the past decade.  And with the conference being so new (after Miami, BC and VT left, it is essentially a 'new' conference) trying to measure beyond that is useless.
That's the same sort of deal with any conference.  Florida was an 8 win team a few years back, same with Bama, so no consistency there, by your measuring stick, and look at how OK and Texas Tech have fallen this year, Nebraska a long time ago.  In the Big Ten Michigan has been struggling, and Penn State had several bad years.
All the conferences are the same.  Until they play a head to head playoff system you'll never be able to convince most people otherwise.

11/3/09
0
patrickabyers wrote:
  @tpowell, I agree, comparing conferences is impossible with the limited number of games between them.  All you can do is measure them up come Bowl Season.  
And to BigTone, you decry the Big East as having no consistent good teams, but yet Pitt and WVU are at or near the top every year with 8 or 9 wins.  It's been that way the past decade.  And with the conference being so new (after Miami, BC and VT left, it is essentially a 'new' conference) trying to measure beyond that is useless.
That's the same sort of deal with any conference.  Florida was an 8 win team a few years back, same with Bama, so no consistency there, by your measuring stick, and look at how OK and Texas Tech have fallen this year, Nebraska a long time ago.  In the Big Ten Michigan has been struggling, and Penn State had several bad years.
All the conferences are the same.  Until they play a head to head playoff system you'll never be able to convince most people otherwise.
Hey I with you we need a playoff system. What I mean is no one in the Big east has jumped out and taken control of the conference since the "Big three" left. A team shows signs of life but then the next year they fall apart. No team has been able to put together a two or three year run. Yes Florida and Bama have had a down year, but the difference is the bounce right back. I like the Big east. I am a Bulls fan as well. In my Opinion right now they do not stack up well against the SEC.

11/4/09
0
DERYKE wrote:
Why not have the champs from each conference have a play off then we will see who is the Nation Champion Like Basketball...Even steven you lose you go home......Start the season Sept.1 no off week 10 game season play off at end off season no time off ..Lets see who is the true National Champion Of College FootBall ......
 I rambled on about that before, and since that is what I said in the article, I definitely agree. I even went crazy and suggested 8 twelve team divisions based solely on geography. Maybe I really want to renew that Pitt/Penn St rivalry. It makes sense, cuts way down on travel, and at the end. you have a nice tidy playoff with the winners of the 8. The others get their bowl games, 2's play 2's, 3, 3's etc. 

The idea here though is that the SEC is WAY overrated. They are not so far head and shoulders over the rest of the NCAA. I am willing to bet Miami could march into Gainesville and beat the Gators. Every year we see this...Alabama's great defense, its non-existent offense, meeting up with a better balanced Florida team. Because the Tide (and SEC) have this perception, this might as well be the BCS game. But it's not. 

See, the wonderful thing about the NFL--I can write my opinion that the Broncos are overrated, that Orton is the weak link...but, I will be proven right or wrong on the field. We don't have it in college football.

If there is any controversy at the end of the year, we as fans should boycott it. Do not turn on the TV, give a big screw you to the BCS.

11/4/09
2
Flone87 wrote:
 I rambled on about that before, and since that is what I said in the article, I definitely agree. I even went crazy and suggested 8 twelve team divisions based solely on geography. Maybe I really want to renew that Pitt/Penn St rivalry. It makes sense, cuts way down on travel, and at the end. you have a nice tidy playoff with the winners of the 8. The others get their bowl games, 2's play 2's, 3, 3's etc. 

The idea here though is that the SEC is WAY overrated. They are not so far head and shoulders over the rest of the NCAA. I am willing to bet Miami could march into Gainesville and beat the Gators. Every year we see this...Alabama's great defense, its non-existent offense, meeting up with a better balanced Florida team. Because the Tide (and SEC) have this perception, this might as well be the BCS game. But it's not. 

See, the wonderful thing about the NFL--I can write my opinion that the Broncos are overrated, that Orton is the weak link...but, I will be proven right or wrong on the field. We don't have it in college football.

If there is any controversy at the end of the year, we as fans should boycott it. Do not turn on the TV, give a big screw you to the BCS.
I agree with you on your playoff stance.  But I've got to interject when the exaggerated SEC bashing comes into play.

How does one SEC championship game translate into " Every year we see this...Alabama's great defense, its non-existent offense, meeting up with a better balanced Florida team"?  In case you forgot, year before last it was LSU winning the SEC championship (and not against a non-existent Alabama offense).

And I hate to sound smug, because I've done nothing but claimed that the SEC hasn't proven to be the best conference, but if you want people to stop talking about the SEC, shouldn't someone else step up and win a national title?

I know you don't consider the BCS title game a true national championship, but if someone would step up and beat an SEC team in the title game (and 80% of the bowls they are in), just maybe these media talking heads will lay off of the SEC banter.  Just maybe.

11/4/09
1
tpowell25 wrote:
I agree with you on your playoff stance.  But I've got to interject when the exaggerated SEC bashing comes into play.

How does one SEC championship game translate into " Every year we see this...Alabama's great defense, its non-existent offense, meeting up with a better balanced Florida team"?  In case you forgot, year before last it was LSU winning the SEC championship (and not against a non-existent Alabama offense).

And I hate to sound smug, because I've done nothing but claimed that the SEC hasn't proven to be the best conference, but if you want people to stop talking about the SEC, shouldn't someone else step up and win a national title?

I know you don't consider the BCS title game a true national championship, but if someone would step up and beat an SEC team in the title game (and 80% of the bowls they are in), just maybe these media talking heads will lay off of the SEC banter.  Just maybe.
Utah and Texas are just two examples of teams that might have beaten Florida last year. Every other year, I'm sure we could grab a couple other teams that could have put up a fight. With the flawed system we have, you can't just say "well, someone else should win a championship, and then they can talk".

When only one team gets a chance out of 4-5 deserving teams, it's hardly fair to judge the rest of those teams on the performance of the one who happens to get picked for the title game.

11/4/09
1
Pat wrote:
Utah and Texas are just two examples of teams that might have beaten Florida last year. Every other year, I'm sure we could grab a couple other teams that could have put up a fight. With the flawed system we have, you can't just say "well, someone else should win a championship, and then they can talk".

When only one team gets a chance out of 4-5 deserving teams, it's hardly fair to judge the rest of those teams on the performance of the one who happens to get picked for the title game.
I said if he wants people to stop talking about the SEC, then maybe someone should step up and beat them.  I didn't say anything about who did and did not deserve to be there.

11/4/09
2
tpowell25 wrote:
I said if he wants people to stop talking about the SEC, then maybe someone should step up and beat them.  I didn't say anything about who did and did not deserve to be there.
Right... but the point is that it's easy to say "step up and beat them" ... but each year, only one team gets a chance to try in the game that actually matters. Utah, for all intents and purposes, "stepped up and beat them" last year. People can make all the excuses they want, but the bottom line is that they beat Alabama, and they beat them worse than Florida did. But since they never got the chance to play in the ONE game that actually matters, we'll never know if they could have beaten Florida.

Yes, most people agree that Florida would probably have beaten Utah... but most people thought Alabama would beat them as well.

11/4/09
2
Pat wrote:
Right... but the point is that it's easy to say "step up and beat them" ... but each year, only one team gets a chance to try in the game that actually matters. Utah, for all intents and purposes, "stepped up and beat them" last year. People can make all the excuses they want, but the bottom line is that they beat Alabama, and they beat them worse than Florida did. But since they never got the chance to play in the ONE game that actually matters, we'll never know if they could have beaten Florida.

Yes, most people agree that Florida would probably have beaten Utah... but most people thought Alabama would beat them as well.
Utah had a much better team than Alabama did last year.  I've never denied that.  But until someone beats an SEC team in the "title game" and the SEC doesn't win 6 out of 8 bowl games, the media isn't going to get off of their "SEC is holier than thou" attitude.

Whether it's a true national championship or not, the SEC needs to go a couple of years without winning it all for the bias to subdue.  I can't help who gets voted into the game.

Geezus Pat.  I have no idea if I'm still on topic or not.

11/4/09
1
tpowell25 wrote:
Utah had a much better team than Alabama did last year.  I've never denied that.  But until someone beats an SEC team in the "title game" and the SEC doesn't win 6 out of 8 bowl games, the media isn't going to get off of their "SEC is holier than thou" attitude.

Whether it's a true national championship or not, the SEC needs to go a couple of years without winning it all for the bias to subdue.  I can't help who gets voted into the game.

Geezus Pat.  I have no idea if I'm still on topic or not.
I'm not saying the SEC isn't good, nor am I saying they don't deserve it. I just take issue with the idea that no matter what happens, the SEC championship game is basically a BCS Championship semi-final. If the season plays out in a way that makes that true, then so be it. But it shouldn't be the default assumption.

That being said, aside from the extremely unlikely possibility that LSU wins the SEC, I think that this year, the SEC champ will be VERY deserving. I just don't think that it's automatically the case EVERY year, as some people seem to think.

11/4/09
0
Pat wrote:
I'm not saying the SEC isn't good, nor am I saying they don't deserve it. I just take issue with the idea that no matter what happens, the SEC championship game is basically a BCS Championship semi-final. If the season plays out in a way that makes that true, then so be it. But it shouldn't be the default assumption.

That being said, aside from the extremely unlikely possibility that LSU wins the SEC, I think that this year, the SEC champ will be VERY deserving. I just don't think that it's automatically the case EVERY year, as some people seem to think.
I agree with that.  But this year (if it plays out as most expect) and last year are the only two seasons that I can think of where the SEC title game was considered a BCS Championship semi-final.  Before that, it was "if the expected SEC team wins the SEC title game, they are in".

Even though they still won the BCS title game, LSU might be the only SEC team that didn't deserve to be in that scenario (because of the 2 losses).

11/4/09
1
The fact is that until I see somebody beat Cincinnati I think they are good as any team in the country, is the Big East the SEC? No, but can UC play with anybody, why can't they?  The have solid NFL caliber players at all levels of the team, great coaching and they finish games, do you seriously believe they wouldn't beat LSU?  They'd have a shot at beating UF, Gilyard's a top 5 WR, Pike's a top 5 QB, Collaros his back up is mini-Tebow, but faster and with much better passing mechanics, they have 2 very good lines and an underrated secondary.  Coach Kelly is in the top 5% in the profession.

11/4/09
0
elevenbravo138again wrote:
The fact is that until I see somebody beat Cincinnati I think they are good as any team in the country, is the Big East the SEC? No, but can UC play with anybody, why can't they?  The have solid NFL caliber players at all levels of the team, great coaching and they finish games, do you seriously believe they wouldn't beat LSU?  They'd have a shot at beating UF, Gilyard's a top 5 WR, Pike's a top 5 QB, Collaros his back up is mini-Tebow, but faster and with much better passing mechanics, they have 2 very good lines and an underrated secondary.  Coach Kelly is in the top 5% in the profession.
And that's the bottom line. As long as a team remains winless, it seems foolhardy to say that a team with a loss is better than them. That's what some SEC people don't want to admit.

Would LSU beat Cincinnati in a heads up game? I honestly think they would. But in my opinion, LSU loses the right to make that case, by virtue of losing a game. Since we have no playoff system, in which they could play each other, we can't just assume a team with a loss is better than a team with a perfect record. We have to go by what they've done on the field.

11/4/09
0
Alright some one explain this to me. Everyone says that it is unfair we all agree on that and that we need a playoff system, but tell me how it would be fair for lets say Boise who's conference schedule is a joke and might schedule one tough out of conference game which they have a better shot of winning because they have nothing to loss and everything to gain goes undefeated and gets in over lets say a one loss SEC or Big 12 or a one loss team from a much stronger conference, just because they went undefeated in with a week schedule, based on any system other then a playoff.

11/4/09
0
Pat wrote:
And that's the bottom line. As long as a team remains winless, it seems foolhardy to say that a team with a loss is better than them. That's what some SEC people don't want to admit.

Would LSU beat Cincinnati in a heads up game? I honestly think they would. But in my opinion, LSU loses the right to make that case, by virtue of losing a game. Since we have no playoff system, in which they could play each other, we can't just assume a team with a loss is better than a team with a perfect record. We have to go by what they've done on the field.
And you think the level of competition they have played should not matter at all.

11/4/09
0
BigTone2475 wrote:
And you think the level of competition they have played should not matter at all.
I think that if the level of competition in the WAC, MWC, etc is THAT much worse than the 'major' conferences, then they shouldn't be in the same division at all. But since they are, I think they should be respected as such. If not, then remove them and start a new division. There's nothing pointless than having teams that win all of their games, but will never have a chance to win a championship. That is flat out stupid.

11/4/09
0
Pat wrote:
I think that if the level of competition in the WAC, MWC, etc is THAT much worse than the 'major' conferences, then they shouldn't be in the same division at all. But since they are, I think they should be respected as such. If not, then remove them and start a new division. There's nothing pointless than having teams that win all of their games, but will never have a chance to win a championship. That is flat out stupid.
No one is disagreeing with it being unfair and stupid, but with the system we have it has to matter it wouldn't make since if it didn't. I don't care if it is a one loss SEC team or a one loss Big East team based on where and who they play and the currant system they should jump teams like Boise in the BCS.

11/4/09
1
(Edited by Anthonyg7575)
Dude? Really? No team in the Big East would beat Florida, LSU, or Alabama. I don't care about stats....the style of play is totally different between the 2 conferences...Just like so many believed that Oklahoma was going to smoke Florida the Championship because they scored 55+ points per game....big deal. The Big East hasn't played the toughness of a SEC defense..

 
Notify me by email about comments that follow mine.
Preview


BEST OF THE WEB
SHOP
NCAAF GEAR
Reebok NFL Equipment New E..
$79.95
New Era New York Yankees N..
$33.95
adidas Los Angeles Lakers ..
$24.95
MEET OUR FANS
Kimberly
Myka
 more
12,798,192+
ANSWER TODAY'S POLL
 more
PLAY NEVER-ENDING TRIVIA
Detroit v. Chicago
New York v. LA
Utah v. Houston
Seattle v. Portland
 more

TAKE A QUIZ
 more

PREDICT THE SCORE
NFL
NBA
NHL
NCAABB
Soccer
 more
2,555,658+
kaushal_k88 joined the NCAAF league IndianaSt.Fans(FB).
Just now!
kaushal_k88 joined the NCAAF league SunBeltFans(FB).
Just now!
kaushal_k88 joined the NCAAF league FloridaIntlFans(FB).
Just now!
kaushal_k88 joined the NBA league PacersFans.
Just now!
kaushal_k88 joined the NBA league NBA Fantasy.
Just now!
Just now!
kaushal_k88 joined the NFL league Colts Fans.
Just now!
kaushal_k88 joined the NFL league NFL Fantasy Football.
Just now!
kaushal_k88 joined the NFL league NFL Draft League.
Just now!
kaushal_k88 joined the MLB league Tribe Fans.
Just now!
 

Join Today
About FanIQ
Terms of Use
Privacy Policy
DMCA Policy
Contact Us
Report A Bug
Help