Last night's game in Atlanta seemed to line everything up against my chances for success, but sometimes fortune smiles. The first hurdle was the rain delay in the 3rd inning. At that point, you have to figure Huddy is done for the game, but he came back out and finished 5 innings. Then, the Bravos pen gave up the lead and were set to face the Twinks closer in the 9th. A tater, which is something Perkins just doesn't normally give up, got things tied. Finally, Atlanta scratched out a run on a desperation 2-strike swing that produced a duck snort that no Twin could get to and thereby get the win. Clean living. That's the only way I can explain it, but whatever it is, I'm neither complaining, nor am I giving it back.
THE SHOW (1-3 last night and 6-7 so far for the week)
BUTTA (1-0 last night and 2-1 so far for the week)
Royals (Shields -210) over ASTROS (LYLES) - I always get very nervous when I'm ready to make a move on my team, but it's the best play on the board tonight. The Royals had played some pretty bad baseball before last night, and even that game was not a thing of beauty. They scored late and often, and that's like opening the relief valve on a pressurized canister. Now that the pressure is off, this team can relax and go to work against Lyles tonight. He's only 10-33 over the last 3 seasons, so with the big dog, James Shields, going for the boys, I don't see how this can't be another win for the Royals.
ON THE CUTTING ROOM FLOOR
1. Nationals (Gonzalez +140) over GIANTS (BUMGARNER) - The Nats are facing the broom today, and with Gio going, I think they're going to be in good shape. What keeps me off the game is the fact that I don't like road teams in danger of being swept when they're playing a day game off an extra-inning night game that they should have won.
2. BLUE JAYS (BUEHRLE -115) over Rays (Hellickson) - Lefty hasn't lived up to expectations in Toronto so for this season, but overall, the Rays have also had trouble with their pitching on the road. Buehrle's teams have gone 10-5 in his lifetime starts against the Rays, 139-74 when he starts at home and 11-3 in his May starts over the last 3 seasons.
3. Red Sox (Buchholz -135) over WHITE SOX (SANTIAGO) - There's some cloudy information floating around for this game. Buchholz is going to be the starter for the BoSox, but there seems to be some question right now about just who's going to get the ball for the Southsiders. Some say it's Santiago. Others have Chris Sale for Chicago. No doubt you can see the dilemma. If Santiago does get the ball, I will be on Boston. If it's Sale, I'll be sitting on my hands.
BROOMOLOGY (2-4 ATS & 1-5 SU so far for the week)
Road Dogs (1-1 & 2-2 so far for the week)
Nationals (+1 1/2) at GIANTS
Twins (+1 1/2) at BRAVES
Red Sox (+1 1/2) at WHITE SOX
Home Favorites (no situations so far this week)
METS (-1 1/2) over Reds
RANGERS (-1 1/2) over Athletics
RUN-(NING) LINES (9-6 ATS/6-8 SU/11-4 TOTALS last night and 21-21/22-19/29-13 so far for the week)
1. INDIANS (+1 1/2, O8) vs. Tigers
2. Yankees (-1 1/2, U9) over ORIOLES
3. BLUE JAYS (-1 1/2, O9 1/2) over Rays
4. RANGERS (-1 1/2, U10) over Athletics
5. Royals (-1 1/2, O7 1/2) over ASTROS
6. Red Sox (+1 1/2, U7) at WHITE SOX
7. ANGELS (-1 1/2, O8) over Mariners
8. MARLINS (+1 1/2, U6 1/2) vs. Phillies *
9. Reds (+1 1/2, U6 1/2) at METS
10. BREWERS (+1 1/2, U8 1/2) vs. Dodgers
11. D-Backs (+1 1/2, U9 1/2) at ROCKIES *
12. Cardinals (-1 1/2, O7 1/2) over PADRES
13. GIANTS (-1 1/2, U7) over Nationals
14. BRAVES (-1 1/2, O8) over Twins
15. PIRATES (-1 1/2, U7) over Cubs
* - Both these games come out as ties according to my stats.
THE NBA (0-1 ATS/1-0 SU/1-0 TOTALS last night and 1-1/2-0/2-0 so far for the week)
HEAT (-8, U182 1/2) 87, Pacers 70 - I will probably be kicking myself for not moving on this game, but I'm going to let it slide by. There are several reaons that I'm fairly convinced that The Champs romp in this game, and none of them have to do with the fact that they have the best collection of players and are the deepest team left in the tournament. There aren't going to be any surprises tonight for the Heat like there was in Game 1 of their series against the Bulls. Miami knows exactly what the Pacers are capable of against them, and that should bring out their best focus to make a statement in this game. Add to that the fact that the Pacers have not been a good road team in going only 2-8 in their last 10 on the highway. And finally, we have Coach Vogel's bulletin board comments about the Heat being "just another team that's in our way". What should really scare the Pacers about this is not the fact that he said it, but more that nobody from the Miami camp has bothered to respond. I'm expecting a blowout tonight.
That'll do it for another busy Hump Day. Have a great one, and I'll see you again tomorrow.