Continuing with the info of the Kentucky Derby runners this year, it’s now time for the final 5 post positions (16-20); the outside spots aren’t known to win usually, but with I Want Revenge being scratched maybe those first two moving in will have a chance.
Gate 16: Pioneerof the Nile is out of Star of Goshen and Empire Maker. The bloodlines are more than there with even his mother being a champion placing no lower than 2nd in all her starts and his father placing 2nd in his Derby attempt due to a foot bruise only to end Funny Cide’s Triple Crown bid at the Belmont later that year. Pioneerof the Nile has a race record of 8-5-0-1 (starts-wins-place/2nd-show/3rd) with his last four races being wins including the Santa Anita Derby. Pioneerof the Nile is trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by jockey Garrett Gomez. Bob Baffert is really well known winning the Derby three times and almost winning the Triple Crown with each of those horses, plus almost capturing the Triple Crown a fourth time by winning the other two jewels of the Triple Crown with Point Given. Garrett Gomez is just as well known riding such notable horses as Midnight Lute, Rags to Riches, Any Given Saturday, and many others. Look for an outstanding race with the possible win and definite top 3 if he isn’t bothered by the dirt since most his experience comes on synthetic tracks. Odds are currently 4-1.
Gate 17: Summer Bird is out of Hong Kong Squall and Birdstone. Bloodlines are outstanding going back to Derby and other jewels of the Triple Crown race winners on both sides of the family tree. Summer Bird isn’t much to consider though with a race record of 3-1-0-1, though 3rd is the best finish in a true Derby prep race. Summer Bird is trained by Tim Ice and ridden by jockey Chris Rosier. Neither of them are that well known and both are making their first trip to the Derby. Summer Bird may finish toward middle of the pack, but more likely will be running in the back. Odds are currently 50-1.
Gate 18: Nowhere to Hide is out of Stirring and Vindication. Vindication is a son of the 1977 Triple Crown legend Seattle Slew and though Vindication showed promise as well, a career-ending injury early in his three-year-old season kept him from a chance to repeat for his father. Stirring is unraced, but her bloodlines do include champions. Nowhere to Hide is really a long shot with a race record of 8-1-2-1. Nowhere to Hide is trained by Nick Zito and ridden by jockey Shaun Bridgmohan. Nick Zito is the only one of those two that is known and a top trainer that maybe able to overcome a young jockey riding for him. However, Nowhere to Hide will likely be running in the back of the pack. Odds are currently 50-1.
Gate 19: Desert Party is out of Sage Cat and Street Cry. Though the bloodlines are from out of America, they’ve been proven with Street Sense out of Street Cry winning the Derby in 2007 and Sage Cat being out of Tabasco Cat, winner of the Preakness and Belmont in 1996. Desert Party has a race record of 6-4-1-0, though half his races are out of America. Desert Party is trained by Saeed bin Suroor and ridden by jockey Ramon Dominguez. Ramon Dominguez is a top jockey, but his best finish in five Derby starts is 2nd with Bluegrass Cat in 2006. Give Desert Party a top 5 finish. Odds are currently 15-1.
Gate 20: Flying Private is out of Beautiful Treasure and Fusaichi Pegasus. This horse has strong bloodlines, with Derby and Breeders’ Cup Classic winners close in the bloodlines. However, Flying Private has a record of 10-1-4-0. Trained by D. Wayne Lukas and ridden by jockey Robby Albarado, though D. Wayne Lukas is much better known than Robby Albarado. Look for Flying Private to be a back of the pack runner that might make it into the middle pack, but doubtful. Odds are currently 50-1.
Just in case you haven’t read all of the breakdowns, give Friesan Fire, Pioneerof the Nile, and Dunkirk the best chances for the win.