I did get the Rays last night. It was like pulling teeth to be sure, but they came with the better payout. That makes the damage from the Sox loss much less severe. The hill to climb for the week is still pretty steep though. Let's get to work on doing just that.
THE SHOW (3-2 yesterday and 6-8 so far for the week)
1. Reds (Cueto -130) over PADRES (ROSS) - They may not be at home, but here's a real good spot for us that we certainly aren't strangers to cashing in with. Better team with their ace on the bump trying to avoid being swept in the series. Make no mistake. Tyson Ross has been pretty solid for the Friars so far this season, but the Padres already wasted their offensive output for the week on last night's game.
2. Cardinals (Wainwright -140) over GIANTS (VOGELSONG) - I love listening to Kruk and Kuip doing the Giants broadcasts. A better team, you will not find anywhere in any sport, but they were trying to sell the Giant faithful, and perhaps themselves, on something last night that they know may not be entirely true: The Giants are back because the calendar turned over, and they won last night. Not so fast, my friends. I've been through this many times before. One win doesn't break a slump. Both of these teams are slumping. It just so happens that the Gigantes got a piece of a rookie pitcher last night. Tonight, they'll have to deal with one of the best in the game, and Waino has proven time and time again (68-30 when the Redbirds are coming off a loss) what it means to be a stopper.
ON THE CUTTING ROOM FLOOR
1. TIGERS (VERLANDER -110) over Athletics (Chavez) - Are we ready to jump back on the Verlander bandwagon after 2 pretty good starts in a row? Not yet. Those games were against the Indians and Astros, and he'll be seriously challenged today by an A's team that's hungry for a win to avoid being swept in this series. I must say, though, that J.V. is 12-6 lifetime with a 2.14 ERA against the A's.
2. Royals (Vargas -140) over TWINS (CORREIA) - A team is not as good as they're best game, nor are they as bad as their worst. The Royals played a great game on Monday night, and then got hammered in a really bad performance last night. Today, they turn to Vargas, who has been solid all year and is coming off a start in which he was unable to get through the 5th inning with an 8-2 lead. Correia is 0-4 lifetime against the Royals, and his teams are 1-7 in his starts against K.C. The Twinks aren't as good as they were last night, so look for the Royals to get the rubber game of this series.
3. DODGERS (RYU -155) over Indians (Bauer) - The same thing goes for this game as above with the Royals/TWINS matchup today. The Dodgers may have "needed" a beatdown last night to get them back in focus, and that kind of performance is the exception rather than the rule for the Tribe. Trevor Bauer may get some extra juice from the fact that he's back in Tinseltown where he went to school, but the Indians haven't won any of his road starts so far (0-4). Also, Ryu for the Dodgers is a true bottom feeder with an 18-4 record against sub-.500 teams over the last 2 seasons.
4. Phillies (Hamels -125) over MARLINS (KOEHLER) - Hamels is twirling it like an ace over his last several starts. Koehler is not, and by and large, the Marlins offense has left them lately. I must report that Hamels is only 9-12 lifetime against the Fish, but the spot "feels" right for the Phils to come away with one here, and I'm almost willing to back that feeling up. In fact, I think if Cueto comes through like I'm sure he will this afternoon in San Diego, I'm seriously going to consider sneaking in and trying to steal one with this game. I'm going to have to ruminate a bit more on this as the day progresses.
RUN LINES (7-9 ATS/9-6 SU/8-8 TOTALS yesterday and 19-21/22-17/21-19 so far for the week)
|AMERICAN LEAGUE||NATIONAL LEAGUE|
|A's (+1 1/2, O9)||D-Backs (+1 1/2, U7 1/2)|
|ORIOLES (-1 1/2, U9)||NATIONALS (-1 1/2, U8)|
|Rays (-1 1/2, U9)||Mets|
|YANKEES||BRAVES (-1 1/2, U7 1/2)|
|Royals||Phillies (-1 1/2, O7)|
|TWINS (+1 1/2, O8)||MARLINS|
|Mariners (-1 1/2, U8 1/2)||Reds (-1 1/2, U6)|
|Angels (-1 1/2, O9)||Cardinals|
|WHITE SOX||GIANTS (+1 1/2, U6 1/2)|
|Brewers (+1 1/2, U9 1/2)||Indians (+1 1/2, U7 1/2)|
|Cubs (+1 1/2, U9)|
---I probably should have done it Sunday as we started a new month, but just as a refresher, the teams listed in BOLD in the RUN LINE section are the teams I've got projected as SU winners.
---I asked a few days ago why the Orioles didn't have a better offense in their home park. I think I have my answer. They just hadn't faced that Ranger pitching staff yet.
BROOMOLOGY (4-2 ATS & 3-3 SU so far for the week)
As another reminder, this section is purely a situational one and gives no credence whatsoever to pitching matchups or any other statistics for that matter. I understand that I don't lean on BROOMOLOGY for a lot of plays over the course of the year, but what does happen is that I'll be taken off potential plays because of the situations presented in this category, and so far, that's worked out pretty well.
Road Dogs (2-0 ATS & SU so far for the week)
Athletics (+1 1/2) at TIGERS
Mets (+1 1/2) at BRAVES
Rockies (+1 1/2) at NATIONALS
Road Favorite (no situations yet this week)
Reds (-1 1/2) over PADRES
Home Dogs (2-0 ATS & 0-2 SU so far for the week)
YANKEES (+1 1/2) vs. Rays
WHITE SOX (+1 1/2) vs. Angels
ASTROS (+1 1/2) vs. Mariners
Home Favorite (0-2 ATS & 1-1 SU so far for the week)
RED SOX (-1 1/2) over Cubs
Another busy Hump Day for me with a lot of running around to do before first pitch. Have a terrific day! I'll see you tomorrow.