Royals trade Wil Myers to the Rays for James Shields and Wade Davis

The Royals have fallen prey to the over-inflated pitching market

12/10/12 in MLB   |   Pat   |   5229 respect

Aug 18, 2012; Papillion, NE, USA; Omaha Storm Chasers center fielder Wil Myers (8) prepares to hit in the third inning against the Nashville Sounds at Werner Park. Mandatory Credit: Matt Ryerson-USA TODAY SportsIn 2009, the Royals enjoyed a great Cy Young season from Zack Greinke.

Little did they know, Greinke would sign a contract in the winter of 2012 that would change the Royals forever.

Greinke and the Dodgers agreed to a 6-year deal worth around $147 million, which completely changed the market for free agent pitchers. And that's a huge reason the Royals just made a trade that could change their whole franchise.

The Royals just agreed to a trade with the Tampa Bay Rays that would send Wil Myers, one of the best young prospects in baseball, to Tampa for pitchers James Shields and Wade Davis.

In my opinion (and the opinion of others), this is a terrible trade for the Royals. Usually, the Royals would never give up a stud prospect like Myers so easily. But with the pitching market exploding after the Greinke signing, it completely changes the way teams value starting pitching.

Myers is one of the best young prospects in baseball. In a few years, he could end up being one of the best outfielders in the game.

Shields is a 30-year old starting pitcher who has ace potential, but hasn't always pitched like a true ace. He'll do fine for the Royals, and they'll only have to pay him a total of $21M over the next two seasons.

Picking up a pitcher like Shields would be a great move for a team that is on the cusp of contending for a division title or maybe a World Series. Unfortunately, the Royals are not that team. They're really not even close. They haven't even made the playoffs since winning the World Series in 1985.

Unless they suddenly start acting like a big-market team, the Royals aren't winning any time soon. Shields is a nice addition, but will he still be around when they finally become a contender?

What do you think about this trade? Did the Royals make a huge mistake, trading away their future?
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12/11/12   |   Eric_   |   7716 respect

Dan_B wrote:
Well, only if the prospects amount to anything. Montgomery, for example has been nothing short of terrible the last 2 seasons, despite his raw upside, and a lot of talent evaluators don't see Odorizzi as more than a No. 4 starter. 

And I can guarantee Dayton Moore and the Royals will not be signing Shields to a long-term deal. 

Myers himself makes it a strange deal. The other three prospects just add insult to injury. Myers is a top 5 prospect and the reigning Minor League Player of the Year from Baseball America. He's as low risk as prospects get, with a very good chance of being at least an above average regular. Also the Royals have a huge hole in right field called Jeff Francoeur. Basically, the Royals traded 6 years of control of Myers AND the other three prospects for 2 years of a good, but not great starter and a guy who may fit better as reliever, which is the strength of the ball club.

This was a trade that either misjudged where the Royals are and how close they are to contending, or worse, a trade Dayton Moore made to try to save his job. That's why it's so bad.

It's sad because I'd put Royals fans up there with any other fan base in knowledge of the game. They don't deserve this.

12/11/12   |   ML31   |   3671 respect

Pat wrote:
I agree that they won't sign him long-term. Which makes it even more inexplicable that they'd give up Myers for him.

What is most likely to happen is Shields gets moved in 2014 (if not sooner) for more prospects.

12/10/12   |   Pat   |   5229 respect

Dan_B wrote:
Well, only if the prospects amount to anything. Montgomery, for example has been nothing short of terrible the last 2 seasons, despite his raw upside, and a lot of talent evaluators don't see Odorizzi as more than a No. 4 starter. 

And I can guarantee Dayton Moore and the Royals will not be signing Shields to a long-term deal. 

I agree that they won't sign him long-term. Which makes it even more inexplicable that they'd give up Myers for him.

12/10/12   |   Dan_B   |   1067 respect

Scott wrote:
Not only did the Royals give up their top hitting prospect in Myers, they also gave up 2 of their top pitching prospects in Jake Odorizzi and Mike Montgomery.  Unless the Royals plan on bucking their normal trend under Drayton Moore and signing Shields long term, this is a terrible deal for KC

Well, only if the prospects amount to anything. Montgomery, for example has been nothing short of terrible the last 2 seasons, despite his raw upside, and a lot of talent evaluators don't see Odorizzi as more than a No. 4 starter. 

And I can guarantee Dayton Moore and the Royals will not be signing Shields to a long-term deal. 

12/10/12   |   Scott   |   51939 respect

Not only did the Royals give up their top hitting prospect in Myers, they also gave up 2 of their top pitching prospects in Jake Odorizzi and Mike Montgomery.  Unless the Royals plan on bucking their normal trend under Drayton Moore and signing Shields long term, this is a terrible deal for KC

12/10/12   |   Dan_B   |   1067 respect

I know that I don't list the Royals amongst my favorite teams here on FanIQ, but I am fond of the Royals since my dad is from Kansas City and remains a suffering Royals fan today. I really have mixed feelings on this deal. At first I was very angry. However, the Royals haven't made the playoffs since 1985 and it really felt like they were just a few arms away from the playoffs. Also, there is no such thing as a guarantee when it comes to prospects. Still not thrilled about the deal, but this is me attempting to rationalize it.