For every action, there is a equal and negative reaction. It's science. Look it up! Up and down. In and out. Back and forth. And so it goes. I don't bring any of this up because I won one and lost one yesterday. Instead, it's all about what happened to the numbers on the games I was on.
You see, I took a big chance at the high school dance with a missy who was ready to play... OOPS! Sorry. I drifted off into Steven Tyler mode momentarily, but I'm back. What happened yesterday was this: I decided to wait on making my moves until about 20 minutes before first pitch. I knew that in doing so, I was taking a chance that the numbers would change from those I reported here yesterday morning, and I was right on the money.
I was willing to take that risk because it was my feeling that the SoCal money would come in on the Angels because they are the Angels, and because Vargas was going back to Seattle for the first time. I was right. By the time I made the move, the Mariners had dropped to (-110). The other shoe fell with the Giants though.
In the time between posting and playing, money came in on The Champs. I sort of figured it would because of one of the main reasons that I mentioned in my analysis of that game, and that's the fact that I couldn't see the Giants getting swept by the Padres. The number on that game climbed to (-140) by the time I moved on it, but in the end, it really didn't matter as Vogelsong just didn't have it yesterday, and I lost the game anyway. At least I got the bigger payout, and that made the day a near "wash". So, I'm still in good shape as we look ahead to tonight's action.
THE SHOW (2-3 yesterday)
BUTTA (1-1 yesterday)
ROYALS (DAVIS -160) over Indians (Jimenez) - I always get a little nervous backing my team, so I dig especially deep before I do. The Royals played a terrible game and got blown out in the 2nd game of yesterday's doubleheader, but this team has shown an incredible resilience so far this season. They haven't gotten blown off the field like last night so far this season, but when they lose, they have bounced back nicely the next day. Tonight, they go for the 3 out of 4 series win, and they get Ubaldo to accomplish that against. He's only 38-59 in road games in his career and sports a 10+ ERA so far this season. Wade Davis has been good so far this season even though he really struggled with his command last time out. Again, it's about resilience, and I expect Davis will bounce back strong. Let's go Royals!
ON THE CUTTING ROOM FLOOR
1. BREWERS (GALLARDO -130) over Pirates (Rodriguez) - I can't bring myself to pull the trigger on this one even though everything I see here tells me I should. As a for instance, Gallardo is 9-1 lifetime against the Bucs with a 2.35 ERA. He's also 15-3 at home against teams with winning records. The Pirates are playing good ball right now though, and the Crew is back home without a day off after a trip out west. I hate to do it, but I'll pass this one.
2. D-BACKS (KENNEDY -110) over Giants (Cain) - Ian Kennedy looks like he's regained the form that made him the Cy Young runner up a couple years ago, and Matt Cain has been horrid so far this season. So has Cain's team when they're on the road. They've now been swept in 2 straight road series. Cain's struggles in April are no surprise. He's only 13-25 in his career in the season's 1st month, but he is 13-6 lifetime against the Snakes. That last part is enough to keep me off this game and disregard Kennedy's 6-2 lifetime record against the G-Men as well as his 25-7 career record against division opponents.
3. DODGERS (LILLY -160) over Rockies (Chatwood) - I did a bit of a double take when I dug in on this game, and I wouldn't think of going with the Dodgers and that popgun offense they're featuring right now. But it is interesting that Lilly is 10-2 lifetime against the Rox.
4. TIGERS (SCHERZER -260) over Twins (Pelfrey) - After that domination of the Bravos over the weekend, I don't want to risk anything with the Tigers when there would be such a small payout. However, Scherzer is 18-4 at home off a team win over the last 2 seasons.
RUN(NING) LINES (6-10 ATS/7-8 SU/9-7 TOTALS yesterday)
1. BRAVES (+1 1/2, U7) vs. Nationals
2. MARLINS (+1 1/2, O7) vs. Mets
3. Padres (+1 1/2, U9) at CUBS
4. Pirates (+1 1/2) at BREWERS
5. CARDINALS (-1 1/2, U7) over Reds
6. D-BACKS (-1 1/2, U8) over Giants
7. Rockies (+1 1/2, U7 1/2) at DODGERS
8. YANKEES (-1 1/2, O7 1/2) over Astros
9. TIGERS (-1 1/2, U8 1/2) over Twins
10. Angels (+1 1/2, O8) at ATHLETICS
11. Orioles (-1 1/2, U7) over MARINERS
12. Indians (+1 1/2, U9) at ROYALS
THE NBA (2-2 ATS/SU/TOTALS yesterday)
BUTTA (no play yesterday)
I haven't fully decided what, of if, I'll be doing anything in The Association tonight, so if I do decide to move on the Thunder, I'll have to come back and let you know.
ALL THE REST
1. HAWKS (-1 1/2, U186) 91, Pacers 87
2. Thunder (-2, U206) 105, ROCKETS 96
3. NETS (-5 1/2, O180) 101, Bulls 88
That's it. Have a great Monday, if that's possible. I'll see you tomorrow.