Shakin'

3/11/13 in   |   pigskinfan   |   36 respect

It was a more modest payout than last week, but I found myself in the exact situation yesterday that I was in last Sunday. You'll remember that I pocketed my win with the Heat and decided to sit out a TOTALS play that I had mentioned. It was the same yesterday. I had said that I might be interested in the OVER in the Arkansas St./W. Kentucky matchup last night depending on what happened with my Wake Forest play. After thinking more about it and cashing in on the Deacons, I decided that there was no need to get involved in a game that involved 1 team playing it's 3rd game in as many nights playing another that was on a back to back off an OT game. As it worked out, it all worked out perfectly as that OVER would have come up far short. Things are certainly breaking right at this point.

 

 

THE NBA (5-4 yesterday)

 

 

SU WINNERS (5-4 yesterday)

Nets, SPURS, JAZZ, Nuggets and Knicks

 

 

TOTALS (6-3 yesterday)

OVERS - Nets/76ERS (184 1/2), Thunder/SPURS (208 1/2) and Pistons/JAZZ (196 1/2)

UNDERS - Nuggets/SUNS (210) and Knicks/WARRIORS (202 1/2)

 

 

BUTTA (no play yesterday)

PARLAY: Nets (-260) over 76ERS and Nuggets (-500) over SUNS - As you can see from the price on the Nets, I could lay them as an individual play and still be within my boundaries for acceptable risk. Heck, I can even justify laying the (-6). The Nets are surging again and are nipping at the heels of the Knicks in the Atlantic. Brooklyn has won 3 in a row, and all were very convincing. The Sixers are really floundering and have lost 9 of their last 10. I'm going to stay with the SU play on the Nets though, because they're only 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against Philly. With the Nugs, there's no question they're probably in line to destroy the Suns tonight, but they've got a (-9) hung on them and are only 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in Phoenix. So, the strange approach here is well explained simply by saying that all I need is for the better teams to hold up their end and win these very winnable games, and I'll walk away with a (-150) payout. Nets 101, 76ERS 85 and Nuggets 107, SUNS 97

 

 

ALL THE REST

1. SPURS (-2) over Thunder - As I look at this, I'm not seeing how the Spurs keep up with the Thunder without Tony P. However, what they do have going for them is the fact that they got blown out in a home game on Friday night, and that just doesn't happen to the Spurs 2 home games in a row. They're also playing a Thunder team that will be playing their 4th game in 5 nights. SPURS 110, Thunder 100

2. JAZZ (-9 1/2) over Pistons - Detroit's compeitive nature has fallen off dramatically since Andre Drummond went down to injury, but I can't get excited about laying this price on a Jazz team that also looks, at times, like they can't get out of their own way. JAZZ 106, Pistons 96

3. Knicks (+3) at WARRIORS - I don't like anything about this game. 'Melo's status in uncertain, and A'mare is "out". That's bad for the Knicks, but the Warriors are really sputtering now. They've been a team that has very little margin for error anyway, but recently, this Warrior squad just looks like they're worn out. Knicks 97, WARRIORS 85

 

 

COLLEGE HOOPS (4-4 ATS/6-2 SU/2-6 TOTALS yesterday)

We now move into the conference tournament phase of the proceedings. It will all get started with the Div. I conferences tomorrow, but for tonight, we've got the MAC starting their tourney with home site "play in" games while the Sun Belt will be crowning their champion.

 

 

BUTTA (1-0 yesterday)

I can't get with any of these games tonight. I think the fact that these MAC games are home site games obviously puts those home teams at a great advantage, but as you'll see, there are some big numbers on these "homers", none of which have winning records for the season.

 

 

ALL THE REST

1. BUFFALO (-8, U142) 82, C. Michigan 66

2. E. MICHIGAN (-8, U101) 58, N. Illinois 42

3. BOWLING GREEN (-7, U123) 65, Miami-O. 51

4. W. Kentucky 58, Fla.-Int'l (+2 1/2, U136 1/2) 56

 

 

Have a terrific Monday! I'll see you all tomorrow.

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