Yesterday's win helped me complete a very active week at 9-6 (8-6 with baseball and 1-0 in the CFL). Again, no great strides forward, but it sure beats the alternative. Let's continue.
THE SHOW (1-4 yesterday and 17-18 for the week)
BUTTA (1-0 yesterday and 8-6 for the week)
Marlins (Alvarez -105) over CARDINALS (GONZALEZ) - As stated last week, the Redbirds are leaking oil big time lately. They're starting staff is battered, their bullpen is shaky and their offense has been largely missing in action. Going against the ace of the Marlins staff won't help the latter at all, and with the kid, Gonzalez, on the bump for the Cards, the Fish bats should be able to get something going to back Alvarez. Admittedly, it's very risky business going against the Redbirds when they're at home and in the rubber game of a series, but Gonzalez hasn't given the team much length or effectiveness in his previous starts. Get in that Cardinal bullpen and there could be big trouble. That's at least part of what I'm counting on in this one.
ON THE CUTTING ROOM FLOOR
1. Giants (Lincecum +110) over PADRES (HAHN) - As stated yesterday, the Gigantes are poison right now, but Lincecum does seem to have some kind of hold on the Friars. He's 15-6 lifetime with a 2.35 ERA against them, including 2 no-no's now, but he's also 19-6 over the last 2 seasons when the Giants are coming off a win and 17-4 on the road against sub-.500 teams in the 2nd half of the season in his career. The kid, Hahn, is no chump though. He's pretty much baffled every team he's faced so far this season, and that includes the Giants a couple of weeks ago.
2. TWINS (NOLASCO Even) over Yankees (Kuroda) - A couple of underachievers go at it in the final game of this 4-gamer. Nolasco, however, has been much better at home this season, and the Twinks are 5-2 in the games he's started at Target Field. Kuroda is 1-8 on the road against sub-.500 teams over the last 2 seasons. Sure feels like a series split to me.
3. Mariners (Walker -135) over WHITE SOX (NOESI) - I don't think there's any question that the M's are the better team here, but I'm not ready to get behind Walker yet. And that's especially true since Noesi gets the ball for the Sox against the team that gave up on him and cut him loose earlier in the year.
4. ATHLETICS (SAMARDZIJA -160) over Blue Jays (Hutchison) - They call him The Shark, and there's certainly blood in the water today. Samardzija makes his 1st start for the A's after the big Friday trade, and he's got an even weaker Jays lineup to deal with after Encarnacion hurt himself running out a grounder in the 1st inning last night, and it sure didn't look like he'll be back anytime soon. I know this is probably a play to make, but I've got to respect the fact that an A's win will complete the 4-game sweep. I'm not comfortable playing into that scenario.
RUN LINES (8-8 ATS/6-8 SU/4-12 TOTALS yesterday and 46-48/51-38/43-51 for the week)
|AMERICAN LEAGUE||NATIONAL LEAGUE|
|Orioles (+1 1/2, U9)||Cubs|
|RED SOX||NATIONALS (-1 1/2, U6 1/2)|
|TIGERS (+1 1/2, U7 1/2)||PIRATES (-1 1/2, U7 1/2)|
|Yankees (-1 1/2, U8 1/2)||Giants|
|TWINS||PADRES (-1 1/2, U6 1/2)|
|Royals (+1 1/2, U7)||Brewers|
|INDIANS||REDS (-1 1/2, U7 1/2)|
|Mariners (-1 1/2, U9)||Marlins (+1 1/2, U8)|
|A'S (-1 1/2, U7 1/2)||BRAVES (-1 1/2, U7)|
|Astros||Dodgers (-1 1/2, U11)|
|ANGELS (-1 1/2, O8)||ROCKIES|
|METS (-1 1/2, O7 1/2)|
---I think it's pretty safe to say that the Nats were better than the Cubs even before the big trade, but don't expect Chicago to get all deflated by the move. Also, Zimmerman is only 1-4 lifetime against the Cubs, and Chicago is 7-0 this season when Arrieta starts after a loss.
---One has to wonder if maybe David Price is pitching for the chance to be the Rays representative in the All-Star Game.
---Interesting scenario in Pittsburgh this afternoon. A.J. Burnett makes the start for the Phils against his former team as the Phils try to avert being swept in the series.
BROOMOLOGY (8-9 ATS & 6-11 SU last week)
Road Dogs (5-2 & 4-3 last week)
Astros (+1 1/2) at ANGELS
Blue Jays (+1 1/2) at ATHLETICS
D-Backs (+1 1/2) at BRAVES
Phillies (+1 1/2) at PIRATES
There are no situations today for Road Favorites (0-2 ATS & SU last week), Home Dogs (3-2 & 1-4 last week) or Home Favorites (0-3 & 1-2).
We had quite a storm roll through God's Country in the wee hours this morning. It was one of those good "movie storms" too with the lightning really lighting things up in my dark bedroom. Creepy, but cool. All over now though. Have a grand and glorious Sunday. Be careful out there, and I'll see you tomorrow.