Suspicious Minds

1/9/13 in NBA   |   pigskinfan   |   41 respect

Last night's Bucks game was a perfect example of another "teachable moment". Unfortunately, that's going to have to wait until tomorrow. It's a busy Wednesday night in The Association, and there's a lot to get to. So, you all will get a rain check on "technology". HA! Not that any of it isn't something you haven't already heard before, but repetition is probably the most important tool in learning.

 

 

THE NBA (3-2 last night and 8-9 so far for the week)

 

 

SU WINNERS (3-2 last night and 7-10 so far for the week)

RAPTORS, Jazz, Hawks, CELTICS, BULLS, Rockets, SPURS, THUNDER, NUGGETS, CLIPPERS and WARRIORS

 

 

TOTALS (4-1 last night and 9-8 so far for the week)

OVERS - Jazz/BOBCATS (197 1/2), Hawks/CAVS (192 1/2), Lakers/SPURS (214 1/2) and Mavs/CLIPPERS (200 1/2)

UNDERS - 76ers/RAPTORS (189 1/2), Suns/CELTICS (192), Bucks/BULLS (187 1/2), Rockets/HORNETS (200 1/2), Wolves/THUNDER (200), Magic/NUGGETS (206) and Grizzlies/WARRIORS (189)

 

 

BUTTA (no play last night and 1-1 so far for the week)

1. Jazz (-200) over BOBCATS - The Jazz are a bad road team, but the 'Cats are just a bad team period. I think Utah can probably roll this opponent up and bounce them around just about any way they want to, but my numbers don't line up for them to be able to cover the (-4 1/2) hung on them. So, I'm going to try to stay "safe" and just bank on the win for the Jazz. Jazz 101, BOBCATS 98

2. BULLS (-230) over Bucks - The Bullies are probably a lot safer with the (-5 1/2) hung on them than the Jazz are with their number, but this team is only 4-14 ATS in home games this season. File that away because this is an example of a trend that, while important enough to consider, is not enough to pull me completely off the game. That's because the Bucks are only 8-21 ATS in the 2nd of a b2b over the last 2 seasons, 17-30 ATS against a team with a winning record over the same time frame, and the Bulls are 9-1 SU against Milwaukee in their last 10 games against them. BULLS 86, Bucks 77

 

 

ALL THE REST

1. RAPTORS (- 4 1/2) over 76ers - It's not really ever a good idea to be laying points on the Dinos, but the Sixers are in a really bad scheduling spot here. After a long road trip, they got thumped by the Nets at home last night and have to get right back on the road to finish a b2b tonight. That's a bad enough deal for Philly since they're only 1-7 in that situation so far this season as it is, but seeing as how this will be their 6th game in 9 nights as well, things are not looking good for the Sixers. RAPTORS 98, 76ers 87

2. Hawks (-4 1/2) over CAVS - The Cavs are one of the few teams in the league that have really struggled on their home floor so far this season. Not having Varejao in the lineup continues to hurt their cause badly, but the Hawks aren't any bargain either. They've been burning money for the last several games. Hawks 101, CAVS 92

3. CELTICS (-9) over Suns - Phoenix is not a team that will create much difficulty for the Celts in the paint where Boston seems to be deficient, and they don't have enough quality depth to be able to rise up on a b2b and challenge the C's either. CELTICS 102, Suns 89

4. Rockets (-2 1/2) over HORNETS - I would suspect that the Stingers might be able to keep this one close for a majority of the game, but the way the Rocks play, I would also expect they will be able to pull away late. Rockets 105, HORNETS 93

5. SPURS (-13 1/2) over Lakers - My big scheme didn't work. The Lakers were very energetic for 3 quarters last night, but they just don't have enough to be able to compete with all their big men hurting and unavailable. This one could get really ugly as the Spurs are off a loss themselves and even if they weren't, there's nothing they love more than sticking it to the Lakers. SPURS 125, Lakers 94

6. THUNDER (-12) over Wolves - Minnesota wasn't much good in road closers of b2b games so far this season (2-5) anyway, but without Kevin Love, that doesn't figure to get any better tonight. THUNDER 103, Wolves 90

7. Magic (+11) at NUGGETS - The Magic look to be missing a lot of their depth off the bench tonight with both Ayon and Moore listed as "doubtful" for this game, and there's still a big void in this team without Glen Davis. This number looks like it's right about where it should be after taking all that into consideration, but my projection doesn't agree. NUGGETS 107, Magic 99

8. Mavs (+11 1/2) at CLIPPERS - Same old story for the Mavs on Monday night. They took a lead into the 4th quarter and then proceeded to collapse. I happen to think that this is a fair number, and I can see a rested and deep Clips squad turning this game into a rout. Once again, however, my projection disagrees. CLIPPERS 107, Mavs 98

9. WARRIORS (-1 1/2) over Grizzlies - The Warriors have had a nice little break too. The Griz, when focused, are one of the best teams in this league, but they've also shown that they don't always have that focus. This could be a spot where that costs Memphis, but either way, this looks like the best game of the night. WARRIORS 88, Grizzlies 86

 

 

Have a great rest of your Hump Day! I'll talk at you again tomorrow.

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