The Denver Broncos should not be Super Bowl favorites, will lose in the NFL Playoffs

Why are people treating the Broncos like they're Super Bowl favorites?

1/12/13 in NFL   |   Pat   |   5234 respect

November 18, 2012; Denver, CO, USA; Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning (18) during the second quarter against the San Diego Chargers at Sports Authority Field at Mile High.  Mandatory Credit: Chris Humphreys-USA TODAY SportsThe Denver Broncos have Peyton Manning, one of the greatest quarterbacks of all time. Let's ignore the fact that he puts up at least one terrible game in every postseason run, and has a losing record (9-10) all time in the playoffs.

The Broncos are currently riding an 11-game winning streak. Let's just ignore the fact that they beat only 2 winning teams in that 11-game stretch, and the combined record of those 11 teams was 68-108. Throw in their other 2 wins, and the combined winning percentage of ALL teams they beat was .385, with a combined record of 80-128. Excuse me for remaining unimpressed.

They have home field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs. Let's conveniently overlook the fact that the only win that they have against teams remaining in the playoffs was over the Ravens, back when Terrell Suggs was sidelined and Ray Lewis was playing through injuries.

Several "experts" from NFL.com listed the Broncos as their Super Bowl winners, and honestly, I'm having trouble understanding why.

Among others, Ian Rapoport asks "How can you pick against a Manning-led Broncos team in cruise control?"

Well, Ian, I believe the better question would be how can you bet ON a Broncos team that really doesn't have any wins over legitimate Super Bowl contenders.

One of the common arguments that I've seen so far is that the Broncos are a much better team than they were early in the season, when they dropped 3 games to the Falcons, Patriots, and Texans.

But are the Broncos the only team who have improved? Are the Seahawks not vastly improved since Russell Wilson and company have gained experience playing together? Have the Patriots not improved with the acquisition of Aqib Talib, as well as their elite tight ends getting healthy? Have the 49ers not improved with Colin Kaepernick adding an extra dimension to their offense? Have the Ravens not improved with their elite linebackers getting healthy again?

The Broncos are a good team. Don't get me wrong. They earned their spot in the playoffs, and they have the #1 seed in the AFC for a reason.

That having been said, they still have to do something if they want to prove that they're REALLY Super Bowl contenders. Right now, I'm just not buying it.
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1/13/13   |   PurrsAlot   |   1606 respect

JenX63 wrote:
I question the word "smartest"....

Well he didn't make the call to run on 3rd and 4 which they didn't pick up and allowed them to get their hands on the ball to tie it up.  That last interception wasn't a bad throw; it was an amazing pick.  And you can call blown coverage on the 70 yard TD.  Yes, the lost.  But to question his football IQ is demeaning to the Ravens.  So they just beat a dumb quarterback?  The Ravens didn't play well??  They don't deserve credit for winning because Peyton is not smart... okay.  sure.

1/12/13   |   JenX63   |   33111 respect

Pat wrote:
I question the use of the word "clutch" in association with a guy who has a losing record in the playoffs.

I question the word "smartest"....

1/12/13   |   JenX63   |   33111 respect

I am not...they lost...no Manning's in the SB...YEAH!

1/12/13   |   Debi_L   |   11868 respect

So much for momentum, talent, stars, whatever.  Broncos' season is done like dinner.

1/12/13   |   Pat   |   5234 respect

Come at me, bros.

1/12/13   |   Debi_L   |   11868 respect

*sigh*  Just when I think I have the playoffs all figured out, along comes Pat to blow all my feel good picks right out the window.  

However, I have always been a supporter of the "Momentum Theory".  Maybe their actual stats aren't the best, but they are on a roll.  Success boosts confidence, which in turn results in more success.  Maybe they aren't Super Bowl champions yet, but they certainly can get there.  

1/12/13   |   PurrsAlot   |   1606 respect

arxferrumdeventus wrote:
There is a very strong media boas in favor of the Manning name. During the MNF game when Denver went to Atlanta, the ESPN pregame show either spoke, or displayed the name 'Manning' 118 times over a period of 60 minutes. The Falcons (who won that game by the way), had their QB's name (Ryan) spoken/shown but 21 times.

I think Manning's comeback is more noteworthy than Ryan's entire career at this point.

1/12/13   |   PurrsAlot   |   1606 respect

Pat wrote:
I question the use of the word "clutch" in association with a guy who has a losing record in the playoffs.

question it all you want
i'm looking at the current season
and his year off has given him a new focus and intensity and smarts

1/12/13   |   mountainrose

Broncos schedule including shutting down Drew Brees who threw for 5000 yards this season, not many if any have ever done that. Broncos are not the same team that lost early on. They are the only team  in league that is ranked in top 5 offensively and defensively and lead the league in 3rd down efficiency. .Peyton won 1 super bowl with colts, guided them to another. That same colts team then won 2 games without Manning. This bronco team is better than most of his colts teams I think. Broncos already blew out ravens at Baltimore; should cover easily just like NE will I believe

1/12/13   |   arxferrumdeventus   |   2 respect

There is a very strong media boas in favor of the Manning name. During the MNF game when Denver went to Atlanta, the ESPN pregame show either spoke, or displayed the name 'Manning' 118 times over a period of 60 minutes. The Falcons (who won that game by the way), had their QB's name (Ryan) spoken/shown but 21 times.

1/12/13   |   The_Real_Stoney   |   25633 respect

The main criticism out there as you pointed out continues to be the record of the teams the Broncos played coming down the stretch.  It's fair, but you can't control who's on your schedule.  The good thing about that is in the last 10, the Broncos have blown teams out in the first 3 quarters.  With the exception of the game in Arrowhead, they spent most 4th quarters doing nothing but run the ball and run the clock and are still beating teams handily.
The other factor the Broncos have in their favor, especially today is home field advantage.  IT's hard to play defense at altitude.. It's even harder if you can run a no huddle offense.  And it's even harder to breathe when it's 15 degrees outside here.
I'm still on the side of cautiously optimistic instead of supremely confident

1/12/13   |   Scott   |   54570 respect

Let's not forget that not even a year ago, most of these same "experts" thought Peyton Manning's career was closer to being over then it was being rejuvenated.  I suspect most of these "experts" are picking with their hearts instead of their heads because they have been caught up in the moment with what has been one of the best comeback stories ever in the NFL outside Adrian Peterson

1/12/13   |   Pat   |   5234 respect

PurrsAlot wrote:
It's the Manning factor.  Clutch QB with experience and arguably the smartest QB out there.  When he is on he is unstoppable.  So goes Manning so goes the Broncos!

I question the use of the word "clutch" in association with a guy who has a losing record in the playoffs.

1/12/13   |   PurrsAlot   |   1606 respect

It's the Manning factor.  Clutch QB with experience and arguably the smartest QB out there.  When he is on he is unstoppable.  So goes Manning so goes the Broncos!