THE SHOW (3-1 yesterday and 14-7 so far for the week)
BUTTA (1-0 last night and 5-3 so far for the week)
This is one of those frustrating days. I know I'm going to be right with all 3 games I cover for today, but not everything about them adds up to reduce my risk enough for me to get on them. So, I'll be leaving them...
ON THE CUTTING ROOM FLOOR
1. PHILLIES (HAMELS -155) over Marlins (Koehler) - Hamels has been exceptional lately. Koehler has not. These 2 teams are pretty evenly matched, and this feels like the Phils get the split of the 4-game series.
2. Cardinals (Wainwright -110) over DODGERS (BECKETT) - A night game here in God's Country, followed by a flight halfway across the country and a game tonight. That's where the Dodgers are for this game, and that doesn't seem like it bodes well for them going against Waino.
3. ANGELS (WEAVER -190) over Twins (Nolasco) - The Halos are red hot when they play at home, and all the number are with them and Weaver for this game. Weaver is 86-36 at home in his career and 79-41 lifetime when he starts off an Angel win. He's also 6-0 lifetime against the Twinks at home. It is a sweep situation for the Halos though, and I'm not going to mess with BROOMOLOGY.
RUN LINES (8-7 ATS/7-7 SU/8-7 TOTALS yesterday and 27-28/28-26/24-31 so far for the week)
|NATIONAL LEAGUE||AMERICAN LEAGUE|
|Marlins (+1 1/2, U7)||White Sox (+1 1/2, U10)|
|Mets (+1 1/2, U8)||Tigers (-1 1/2, O9 1/2)|
|CUBS (+1 1/2, U7 1/2)||ANGELS (-1 1/2, U8 1/2)|
|Rockies||Braves (-1 1/2, U8)|
|BREWERS (-1 1/2, U8 1/2)||ASTROS|
|DODGERS (+1 1/2, O6 1/2)|
|Reds (+1 1/2, O7)|
Road Dog (2-0 ATS & SU yesterday and 4-0 & 3-1 so far for the week)
Twins (+1 1/2) at ANGELS
Home Dogs (1-0 ATS & SU yesterday and 2-1 & 1-2 so far for the week)
ASTROS (+1 1/2) vs. Braves
RANGERS (+1 1/2) vs. Tigers
CANADIAN FOOTBALL LEAGUE (CFL)
As noted yesterday, the CFL kicks off a new season tonight with one game. There is a new team in the league this season with the introduction of the Ottawa Redblacks. I think that's a reference to the Mounties, but I don't know. Maybe one of our friends from the Great White North can chime in? Whatever.
Normally, I treat the CFL like baseball. It's a pick and choose league, and I won't mention a game unless I'm going to move on it. That means that several weeks could go by without a mention here, but there are exceptions to every rule. Tonight's season opener pits the Toronto Argonauts against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in Winnipeg.
There are certain immutable laws in football, regardless of level or league involved. One of those is that, where there is a discernible difference, overall talent of a team doesn't really matter. The better QB is going to win. That's what the Argos have going for them tonight.
The Bombers are off a miserable 2013 campaign. As you would expect after a 3-15 season, there was a lot of shakeup in Winnipeg. They've got a new head coach, new primary receiver and a new starting QB who was on another team last season. That doesn't add up for them for tonight. Still, one of the other things that we just don't do, is lay more than a FG with a road team this early in the season against a team that might be feeling desperate. The Argos are at (-7 1/2), and that's too much. I could get them on the moneyline at (-275), but in this instance, the return doesn't justify the risk.
It's nice to have a bit of a lazy day today. The only thing I have to do is watch baseball. How great is that? Have a great day, and I'll see you tomorrow.