Tom Brady without Rob Gronkowski compared to Andy Dalton

Without Rob Gronkowski, Brady is... Andy Dalton?

6/19/13 in NFL   |   Pat   |   5232 respect

Jun 11, 2013; Foxborough, MA, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady throws a pass at the practice field during Minicamp at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Stew Milne-USA TODAY SportsIn an NFL.com article, writer Chris Wesseling made a comparison between Patriots QB Tom Brady and Bengals passer Andy Dalton... at least when Brady doesn't have tight end Rob Gronkowski on the field.

According to Wesseling, Brady's numbers without Gronkowski were comparable to Dalton's numbers, leading Wesseling to assert that "from a statistical standpoint, Tom Brady was Aaron Rodgers when Rob Gronkowski was on the field last season and Andy Dalton when the All-Pro tight end was sidelined."

These numbers are fascinating, but they prove more about how we look at statistics and how we SHOULD look at them, as opposed to how we should look at guys like Brady, Rodgers and Dalton.

More from Wesseling:

According to numbers compiled by NFL.com, Brady posted a 65.7 completion percentage, a 23-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio and a 106.6 passer rating with 7.9 yards per attempt on snaps with Gronkowski on the field. Those numbers plummeted to a 58.9 completion percentage, an 11-5 touchdown-to-interception ratio and an 87.1 passer rating with 7.1 yards per attempt on snaps without Gronkowski.
 
To be fair, Brady also was dealing with a hobbled Aaron Hernandez and Wes Welker in addition to the loss of Julian Edelman in early December. Still the effect of losing the NFL's best tight end and most dominant red-zone presence cannot be overstated. Since he entered the league in 2010, Gronkowski leads the NFL in red-zone touchdowns (29), quarterback-to-receiver completion percentage (72.2) and yards after contact per reception (2.54).

Wesseling was definitely fair in pointing out that Brady was missing more than just Gronkowski, with other top targets Aaron Hernandez and Wes Welker battling injuries, and Julian Edelman missing time.

This is why stats are helpful, but certainly not the last word in quality of NFL players, particularly quarterbacks.

Anyone who has seen Brady and Dalton play would tell you that there's a significant gap between them, and Brady's a lot closer to Aaron Rodgers than he is to Dalton. Also, something that went unmentioned was the fact that Dalton has the benefit of AJ Green, one of the most talented WRs in the league.

Just a word of advice: When reading articles like that, be careful. Make sure you read all the fine print, and evaluate accordingly.
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6/20/13   |   Scott   |   52858 respect

Given the injuries to Gronk, the departure of Welker to Denver and the impending legal problems for Hernandez, it will be interesting to see how Tom Brady fares this year if he doesn't have his "Big 3"

6/19/13   |   Eric_   |   7716 respect

Context always matters with stats, especially in football, and context should always be taken into account with analyzing stats.

6/19/13   |   Jess   |   34628 respect

Sooooo....before 2010, Brady was just mediocre? So confused.