The event will take place this Saturday, live from the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada and will feature an undercard with Frankie Edgar, Roger Gracie and Mark Munoz.—not exactly household names. Let’s take a closer look at the fight card and betting odds and make a few picks and predictions.
Anderson Silva (-260) vs. Chris Weidman (+200)
The Pick: Everyone seems to be on the Weidman hype-train going into the fight and truth be told, he is a horrible style matchup for the champ. However, so was Chael Sonnen, Dan Henderson and a few other fighters. Anderson Silva’s genius is making great fighters look mediocre, so expect the Brazilian to pull out a victory here even if it might be tougher than usual.
The Bet: Silva has not been this small of a favorite—outside of the Sonnen rematch—in ages. Bet the champ straight-up or throw him in a two or three fight parlay.
Frankie Edgar (-600) vs. Charles Oliveira (+400)
The Pick: Frankie Edgar is desperate here as he is coming in with a three-fight losing streak—albeit they were three title fights. Oliveira is a good fighter, but severely overmatched. Expect Edgar to get a late-round stoppage.
The Bet: Edgar will not lose this match, but betting -600 on it is too much to risk. The only way to bet this fight is in a three or four fight parlay.
Mark Munoz (-125) vs. Tim Boetsch (-105)
The Pick: Mark Munoz is coming off a year-long layoff and devastating injury to boot. Under normal circumstances he would be considered a better fighter than Tim Boestch, but octagon rust is a real concern. This is one of those matchups that could go either way. Let’s give Munoz’ wrestling and ground and pound the benefit of the doubt.
The Bet: Take Munoz straight-up, but don’t put it in any of your parlays—you wouldn’t want your whole betting night to ride on this one fight.