UFC 166 Odds and Predictions

UFC 166 Odds: Velasquez versus dos Santos Preview

10/19/13 in MMA   |   GeorgeMon   |   159 respect

UFC heavyweight champion Cain Velasquez will square off against Junior dos Santos on Saturday night at UFC 166 in the rubber match of their epic trilogy. The pay-per-view card will air live from the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas and will feature another high profile heavyweight bout between Daniel Cormier and Roy “Big Country” Nelson. Former Strikeforce lightweight champion Gilbert Melendez will also face Diego Sanchez in a pivotal 155 lb tilt that could very well earn Melendez a title shot should he walks away from the Octagon with a victory. Let’s take a closer look at the fight card and figure which are the best matchups to wager on.

May 25, 2013; Las Vegas, NV, USA; Cain Velasquez speaks to media following UFC 160 at the MGM Grand Garden Arena. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
Cain Velasquez (-220) vs. Junior dos Santos (+170):
Fight fans may be witnessing the greatest heavyweight rivalry in MMA history. Chances are those two fighters will meet again and are simply in the middle of a best-of-five series. The challenger, dos Santos, won the first meeting between the two with a huge overhand right that sent Velasquez to the canvas. During the second matchup Velasquez was able to impose his will and dominate dos Santos for five brutal rounds. The question now is which fighter can impose his style and tilt the matchup in his favor? Can dos Santos keep the fight standing and overwhelm the champion with his excellent striking skills? Or can Velasquez dominate the fight again with his high-paced wrestling mixed with sold striking? The Oddsmakers believe that the champion is the two-to-one favorite in this situation and should be able to retain his belt. This is a close matchup between two excellent fighters, but there is simply too much value on dos Santos at +170 to pass up. This rivalry could easily resemble the Liddell vs. Couture matchup where the striking took two our of three from the wrestler.
Daniel Cormier (-575) vs. Roy Nelson (+375):
Daniel Cormier is the biggest favorite on the UFC 166 card, and has been receiving a solid amount of hype since his UFC debut against Frank Mir. Cormier is a very good fighter, but being favored at nearly six-to-one against an experienced veteran like Roy Nelson is insane. There is a good chance that Cormier wins this fight, but getting +375 on the iron chin of Nelson is too good of a bet to pass up. Cormier’s striking is not great and if he chooses to stand with the always game Nelson there is a very real chance that he gets knocked out. Nelson is a very live dog to pull off the upset.
Gilbert Melendez (-550) vs. Diego Sanchez (+350):
Diego Sanchez has turned into a gate keeper in the lightweight division and is only there to separate the contenders from the pretenders. Expect a top-level Melendez, who proved himself in this last fight against Benson Henderson, to overwhelm Sanchez and earn an early stoppage.

The rest of the card
Shawn Jordan (-185) vs. Gabriel Gonzaga (+155)
John Dodson (-340) vs. Darrell Montague (+260)
Tim Boetsch (-200) vs. CB Dollaway (+160)
Hector Lombard (-175) vs. Nate Marquardt (+145)
Sarah Kaufman (-225) vs. Jessica Eye (+175)
KJ Noons (-180) vs. George Sotiropoulos (+150)
Tony Ferguson (-450) vs. Mike Rio (+300)
Adlan Amagov (-180) vs. TJ Waldburger (+180)
Kyoji Horiguchi (-165) vs. Dustin Pague (+135)
Andre Fili (-200) vs. Jeremy Larsen (+160)
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