Anderson Silva is still the favorite heading into a potential rematch against Chris Weidman
Chris Weidman just can’t get no respect. Just days after his shocking knockout of former middleweight kingpin Anderson ‘The Spider’ Silva, the oddsmakers released the lines for the potential rematch that everyone claims is happening—except for Silva himself—and surprisingly (or not) the former champ is still considered the favorite in the fight.
Anderson Silva -180
Chris Weidman +150
Line before UFC 162:
Anderson Silva: -260
Chris Weidman: +200
Silva was a -260 favorite before UFC 162 and is now a -180 favorite for the potential matchup that will probably not take place until sometime next year. For those that are not familiar with gambling, a moneyline can also be converted into a win percentage. So a -500 favorite is expected to win 83 percent of the time.
Heading into UFC 162 Silva was a favorite to win 72 percent of the time—a low probability for Silva, as he was a 91 percent favorite in his last fight against Stephan Bonnar. The former champ is a 64 percent favorite heading into the rematch with Weidman.
The question is what do these odds mean? Are they an insult or a compliment to Weidman? On the one hand, Weidman improved his odds by eight percentage points, so the oddsmakers didn’t believe his win was because of a lucky shot. On the other hand, Weidman clearly won the first round and could have gone into the third two rounds to zero and he is still the underdog in the fight?