UFC 100 Preview And Predictions: Frank Mir vs Brock Lesnar, Georges St Pierre vs Thiago Alves

The UFC's Biggest Card Ever Is On Saturday, Complete With 2 Title Fights [UFC 100 Preview And Predictions]

7/9/09 in MMA   |   Pat   |   5233 respect

UFC 100 is on Saturday, and on paper, it looks like it might be the best UFC card of all time. Of course, since it's a huge milestone for the UFC, that's exactly what they were going for. If you haven't made your predictions yet, be sure to do so before the poll closes on Saturday.

Here's a collection of predictions from myself, as well as a few other writers from across the internet. The Vegas favorites are in blue, while the underdogs are listed in red. Click on the writers' names to see their preview pages for more in-depth analysis from them.

 

Me
Frank Mir
vs
Brock Lesnar
Frank Mir
Mir
Frank Mir
Mir
Frank Mir
Mir
Brock Lesnar
Lesnar
Frank Mir
Mir
Frank Mir
Mir
Thiago Alves
vs
Georges St. Pierre
St. Pierre
St. Pierre
St. Pierre
St. Pierre
St. Pierre
St. Pierre
Dan Henderson
vs
Michael Bisping
Henderson
Henderson
Henderson
Henderson
Henderson
Bisping
Jon Fitch
vs
Paulo Thiago
Fitch
Fitch
Fitch
Thiago
Fitch
Fitch
Yoshihiro Akiyama
vs
Alan Belcher
Akiyama
Akiyama
Belcher
Akiyama
Belcher
Belcher
Mark Coleman
vs
Stephan Bonnar
Bonnar
Bonnar
Bonnar
Bonnar
Coleman
Mac Danzig
vs
Jim Miller

Danzig

Miller
Miller
Miller
Danzig
Jon Jones
vs
Jake O'Brien
Jones
Jones
Jones
Jones
Jones
CB Dollaway
vs
Tom Lawlor
Dollaway
Dollaway
Dollaway
Dollaway
Matt Grice
vs
Shannon Gugerty
Grice
Grice
Grice
Gugerty
Dong Hyun Kim
vs
TJ Grant
Kim
Grant
Kim


The Lesnar-Mir fight is set up to be a great rematch. Frank Mir submitted Brock Lesnar with a leg lock in their first fight, but Brock has been working on his submission defense, and has vowed not to let it happen again. He was also a bit upset about Steve Mazzagatti's job officiating the first fight.


If Frank Mir wins, you can bet that he'll want a fight against legend Fedor Emelianenko, since he's been calling for Fedor to join the UFC for a while now. If Lesnar wins, we can only hope that he (and the UFC) will be willing to work out a deal for him to fight light heavyweight title holder Lyoto Machida, who is itching for a shot at Lesnar, and just might have the technical skills to pull it off, despite the huge weight difference.

The other big fights are the GSP-Thiago fight and Henderson-Bisping. GSP is an extremely heavy favorite to keep his welterweight belt.

The Bisping-Henderson fight will be the final culmination of the most recent series of The UItimate Fighter, which pitted American fighters against the British counterparts. Henderson is the favorite according to most, but Bisping is upset by some comments that Hendo made, and is looking to settle the score rather convincingly. It was rumored, and recently confirmed that this fight is for a shot at Anderson Silva's middleweight championship.

Once again, make your predictions before it's too late, and give your thoughts on all of the fights here.
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7/12/09   |   bzidan

bzidan wrote:
no i am not, wait and see,,,,, you need to be one to understand how the fight will go right,,,,, c ya

ok man, you are right he has lost far and squre,,,,, but i think it will be make him abetter man, and better fighter, i'll be looking forwared to see him in the ring again,,, once more you are right ,,, but i do wish he had listen to his coach,,, and keep away from Don right hand,,,, job well done

7/11/09   |   bzidan

bzidan wrote:

Michael Bisping will win hands stand, and teach the americans a big lesson

no i am not, wait and see,,,,, you need to be one to understand how the fight will go right,,,,, c ya

7/10/09   |   jevinusmc   |   35 respect

I pretty much agree with the consensus, but I think GSP will have his hands full with Alves and since these big fights/events rarely go without one big upset, I think this fight will be it. 

7/9/09   |   fourtime7   |   8 respect

like mir. like gsp close decision. like michael b. like fitch. like danzig. hope to see continue growth from jon jones

7/9/09   |   Raider_Dave   |   47 respect

He's got to be.  Bisping hasn't ever beaten anybody who is any good at all.  And somehow he managed to get a BS decision over Matt Hamill, who definitely got jobbed in that fight.  I can't wait until Hendo shows Bisping what it's like to enter the Octagon against a REAL fighter, and gain some redemption from that lackluster showing by the U.S. in the last TUF season.

7/9/09   |   bzidan

Michael Bisping will win hands stand, and teach the americans a big lesson

7/9/09   |   fremontguy26   |   24 respect

Raider_Dave wrote:
Mark Coleman is way past his prime but still has the desire to fight, so can't fault him there.  I think he makes the first round entertaining, but the American Psycho will most likely tired Coleman out in the second round.
(Edited by fremontguy26)

yea this is a small farm town and they dont have much to do around here, but cheer for the hometown heroes Mark Coleman & Charles Woodson, other than tha this town is boring. I jus hope he give them something to cheer about

7/9/09   |   Raider_Dave   |   47 respect

fremontguy26 wrote:
whoa Mark Coleman is still fightin, hes from where i live and i thought he fell off the face of the earth, hope he actually makes it a good fight but he'll lose most likely

Mark Coleman is way past his prime but still has the desire to fight, so can't fault him there.  I think he makes the first round entertaining, but the American Psycho will most likely tired Coleman out in the second round.

7/9/09   |   Raider_Dave   |   47 respect

Pat wrote:
I disagree about the part about Mir being too smart to stand and strike with Brock. I think that Mir's stand up game is just as good as Brock's. I think his weakness is on the ground. Obviously his jiu jitsu is far superior, but as long as Brock can stay out of a submission, it is very much to his advantage for the fight to remain on the ground. His grappling skills are superior, and he will be able to control Mir, as long as he doesn't make any mistakes that allow Mir to grab a limb.

I think Mir is a more calculated striker, but Brock gets the nod there on pure strength.  While Mir is a very strong and overall solid fighter, Randy learned the hard way that striking with Brock isn't the best of gameplans. 

I think Mir's experience gives him the edge on the ground, even though Brock is a great wrestler.  BJJ is a very sneaky art, where the slightest slip-up can be the fight.  And I still don't think Brock has nearly the knowledge in that area to hold up.  Mir is a submission artist, and is very good in the guard when it comes to slowing down and limiting the damage done on punches, where he showed in the first fight that he can remain with a clear head and plan that next move.  Should be a great match though.

7/9/09   |   fremontguy26   |   24 respect

whoa Mark Coleman is still fightin, hes from where i live and i thought he fell off the face of the earth, hope he actually makes it a good fight but he'll lose most likely

7/9/09   |   Pat   |   5233 respect

Raider_Dave wrote:
Love the consensus on the predictions as I agree with them as well.  I think it's hilarious how mad Lesnar seems to be about the first fight, and I think it will cloud his judgment in game-planning just as it did the first time.  Mir has studied karate and BJJ for his entire life, and Lesnar only has studied BJJ seriously since he lost to Mir just 18 months ago.  Mir is way too smart to stand and strike with Brock, whose size and strength make that a fool's game anyways.  Mir is just the better, more intelligent, and more experienced fighter here, as he showed in the first match.  18 months of training and sudden dedication can't trounce that.  Should be a good fight nonetheless, and I can only hope that Mazzagatti is the ref for this fight, if for nothing other than the entertainment.

And please Hendo, redeem the US for that sorry showing on TUF's last season.  Hendo's wrestling, striking, and chin are far superior to Bisping, who really only holds the edge in quickness.  I think that fight doesn't last more than 7 minutes.

The rest of the card is great as well, with the GSP & Alves fight setting up a potential dominance over the Welterweight division by the winner for years to come, or even better, a rivalry between the two fighters that could be similar to the Chuck & Randy trilogy.  So get yo popcorn ready, because this is a freaking awesome card.

The overall theme of the card as spoken by GSP in regards to his fight: "Technique will beat strength, ALWAYS."

(Over/under on being PQ-ed by bandwagoners who support Lesnar regardless - 5)

I disagree about the part about Mir being too smart to stand and strike with Brock. I think that Mir's stand up game is just as good as Brock's. I think his weakness is on the ground. Obviously his jiu jitsu is far superior, but as long as Brock can stay out of a submission, it is very much to his advantage for the fight to remain on the ground. His grappling skills are superior, and he will be able to control Mir, as long as he doesn't make any mistakes that allow Mir to grab a limb.

7/9/09   |   elevenbravo138again   |   1163 respect

#1. Mir is still too skilled for Lesnar but it's a longer bout this time.
#2. St. Pierre is perhaps the #2 pound for pound MMA fighter going, Alves though an exciting fighter, is not. 
#3. Henderson has the variety and experience in his game to survive Bisping's onslaught.
#4. Thiago will make it very interesting, but Fitch still has the power and toughness gained from competing at a higher weight class. 
#5. Yoshihiro Akiyama's improved stand up game and impressive submission game will edge out a very solid Belcher.
#6. Jon "Bones" Jones is a fighter on the upswing he is better every time you see him, he has speed and power, but takes a few bad chances.  O'Brien will need Jones to be reckless to give him a chance to win.
#7. Lawlor has heart but CB Dollaway, has all the other technical advantages.
#8. Shannon Gugerty's Muay Thai and submissions will give him the better chance to win over the game and improving Grice. 
#9. Kim and Grant have shown promise, but Kim has had more tough fight so I am narrowly favoring him.

 

7/9/09   |   Raider_Dave   |   47 respect

Love the consensus on the predictions as I agree with them as well.  I think it's hilarious how mad Lesnar seems to be about the first fight, and I think it will cloud his judgment in game-planning just as it did the first time.  Mir has studied karate and BJJ for his entire life, and Lesnar only has studied BJJ seriously since he lost to Mir just 18 months ago.  Mir is way too smart to stand and strike with Brock, whose size and strength make that a fool's game anyways.  Mir is just the better, more intelligent, and more experienced fighter here, as he showed in the first match.  18 months of training and sudden dedication can't trounce that.  Should be a good fight nonetheless, and I can only hope that Mazzagatti is the ref for this fight, if for nothing other than the entertainment.

And please Hendo, redeem the US for that sorry showing on TUF's last season.  Hendo's wrestling, striking, and chin are far superior to Bisping, who really only holds the edge in quickness.  I think that fight doesn't last more than 7 minutes.

The rest of the card is great as well, with the GSP & Alves fight setting up a potential dominance over the Welterweight division by the winner for years to come, or even better, a rivalry between the two fighters that could be similar to the Chuck & Randy trilogy.  So get yo popcorn ready, because this is a freaking awesome card.

The overall theme of the card as spoken by GSP in regards to his fight: "Technique will beat strength, ALWAYS."

(Over/under on being PQ-ed by bandwagoners who support Lesnar regardless - 5)