Week 11 Matchup Predictions
Dolphins (4-5) @ Bills (3-6): The Dolphins had their first loss by more than three points last week, and it came at home against a Titans team that had just been whooped by 31 in Tennessee. The Bills are coming off of a tight loss to the Patriots, in which they had a shot at winning the game late, but Ryan Fitzpatrick threw his lone interception of the game at the worst possible time. I picked the Dolphins to win last week because I thought their 5th ranked run defense would shut down Chris Johnson, but they didn't even come close to containing CJ2K. Looking back on their schedule, the Dolphins haven't played against a top ten rushing team since Week 1, so maybe their ranking of 5th against the run is a bit misleading. After last week's awful performance, I say the Dolphins can't handle CJ Spiller and his ridiculous 7.3 yards per carry in Buffalo this week.
Bills win 24-20.
Cardinals (4-5) @ Falcons (8-1): The Cardinals have now lost five straight after starting the season 4-0. The Falcons, on the other hand, nearly maintained perfection through Week 10, and would have if not for Roddy White misjudging a beautifully thrown game-winning touchdown pass. The best way to take advantage of the Falcons is to run the football. They give up 4.9 yards per carry (30th in the league) and it keeps Matt Ryan off the field. However, the Cardinals can't run the football. The Cardinals' defense is good, but not nearly good enough to make up for their offense's inefficiencies against the high powered Falcons.
Falcons win 31-17.
Browns (2-7) @ Cowboys (4-5): The Browns just can't do much of anything these days. They throw the ball for 5.7 yards per attempt (26th in the league) and run the ball at 3.9 per carry (19th). Their defense is ranked 22nd in passing and 27th in rushing. The Cowboys are looking to put back to back wins together for the first time this season, and they'll have a chance to do so at home. Though the Cowboys are only 1-2 at home this season, their 8th ranked defense will give the Browns enough problems for Romo and company to get the victory.
Cowboys win 23-10.