Week 11 Matchup Predictions
Lions win 30-28.
Bengals (4-5) @ Chiefs (1-8): The Chiefs shocked everyone who actually watched Monday night's game against the Steelers, making the Steelers play some overtime football before getting their victory. However, that was a sloppy, rainy game, and Ben Roethlisberger missed most of the second half due to injury. In addition, the reason the Chiefs usually struggle is because of turnovers, but forcing turnovers isn't the Steelers' style (30th in takeaways). Now playing the Bengals (12th in takeaways), I expect the Chiefs to return to their beautifully balanced turnover distribution (15 interceptions, 15 lost fumbles), and for Andy Dalton to come in with great confidence from his dominant performance against the Super Bowl champion Giants last week.
Bengals win 24-13.
Jets (3-6) @ Rams (3-5-1): The Jets are, once again, turning into a mess. You've got dozens of unnamed players saying Tim Tebow is terrible, while Shonn Greene is essentially calling Mark Sanchez terrible, when Greene is pretty terrible himself. The Jets' offense was an embarrassment last week. The only two times they got the ball past Seattle's 40-yard line, they turned the ball over. The Rams have a surprisingly strong defense with a great young pass rush led by Robert Quinn and Chris Long. Excluding games against the Packers and Patriots, the Rams only give up 19.3 points per game. The biggest question for the Rams is - can they score enough to win? With a solid rushing attack led by Steven Jackson facing the Jets' 30th ranked run defense, I'll say yes.
Rams win 20-17.
Eagles (3-6) @ Redskins (3-6): Most people probably had this game marked on their calendars as a matchup between two of the most athletic quarterbacks in the league, but thanks to Michael Vick's concussion, it has become a matchup between the two NFC East rookie quarterbacks. Robert Griffin III has the clear cut advantage over Nick Foles, who is making his first career start, but RG3 will be throwing into a far superior secondary to what Foles will be faced with. The fact that RG3 has only thrown three interceptions all season has me leaning towards the Redskins, but I'm not sure if his receivers are talented enough to move the ball on the Eagles' talented secondary. What I think I'll go with is the Redskins winning the turnover battle significantly, giving them more short field opportunities and capitalizing on them.
Redskins win 27-23.
Buccaneers (5-4) @ Panthers (2-7): Cam Newton pulled out a nice victory in Washington two weeks ago, but went back to struggling when he faced a decent secondary. Fortunately for Cam, the Bucs secondary is pretty terrible too - in fact, their pass defense is ranked last in the NFL. However, Cam could only put up 21 points on the Redskins and their 30th ranked pass defense. Cam may be able to put together a solid game, but Josh Freeman is slinging that football as well as he ever has, and Doug Martin is turning into a legitimate Rookie of the Year candidate. The Panthers lost to the Bucs in Week 1 when Freeman and Martin weren't playing half as well as they are now.
Buccaneers win 34-24.