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9/2/07
Who Had The Best Offensive Line Last Year? Introducing the OL Efficiency Rating
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NFL
Many of you may remember the blog I wrote a week or two ago about the newly created "Containment percentage" which tried to evaluate pass blocking performances in a new way.  Well, I've been looking for a way to integrate a run blocking stat, and a combination stat, and I've figured it out.

Over at SI.com, they keep track of a running stat called a "stuff", which is a run for a loss.  Well, I took the number of stuffs and divided it by the number of carries, and then subtracted it by one to create the "Stuff Avoidance" stat.  And which teams were the best at preventing stuffs?  (Note: I eliminated all QB's carries from the equation, since each kneel down counted as a stuff.)

  TEAM CAR STUFF %%%
1 Rams 401 25 0.937
2 Chargers 468 32 0.931
3 Texans 373 26 0.93
4 Falcons 407 29 0.928
5 Packers 403 31 0.923
6 Bears 473 37 0.921
7 Dolphins 369 30 0.918
8 Cowboys 429 36 0.916
9 Jaguars 439 37 0.915
10 Broncos 439 38 0.913
11 49ers 395 35 0.911
12 Bengals 405 36 0.911
13 Chiefs 500 45 0.91
14 Browns 321 29 0.909
15 Colts 416 39 0.906
16 Titans 386 36 0.906
17 Ravens 409 39 0.904
18 Steelers 424 41 0.903
19 Saints 430 42 0.902
20 Vikings 398 40 0.899
21 Redskins 453 46 0.898
22 Giants 429 44 0.897
23 Patriots 440 45 0.897
24 Cardinals 384 40 0.895
25 Panthers 400 42 0.895
26 Buccaneers 355 39 0.89
27 Jets 453 51 0.887
28 Bills 380 46 0.878
29 Seahawks 454 56 0.876
30 Raiders 354 44 0.875
31 Eagles 357 45 0.873
32 Lions 270 39 0.855

Interesting enough, the Rams came out number one on this list, and the Texans were #3 insanely enough.

But then I looked for a way to combine them.  I didn't do it straight up, because the average stuff avoidance % was a bit lower than the containment % average.  So I punched around in a calculator, and determined that by taking the average stuff avoidance percentage, and multiplying it by 1.025, the averages become even.  So I adjusted each of the stuff avoidances, and then put them together and divided by two, to get the "Offensive Line Efficiency Rating"  And here's what it said.

  TOTAL EFFICIENCY    
Rank TEAM Contain Adj Avoid Total Efficiency %%%
1 Packers 0.961 0.946 0.953
2 Colts 0.973 0.928 0.95
3 Bears 0.951 0.944 0.947
4 Chargers 0.939 0.954 0.946
5 Ravens 0.967 0.926 0.946
6 Saints 0.96 0.924 0.942
7 Redskins 0.959 0.92 0.939
8 Rams 0.917 0.96 0.938
9 Dolphins 0.93 0.94 0.935
10 Giants 0.952 0.919 0.935
11 Jaguars 0.932 0.937 0.934
12 Broncos 0.931 0.935 0.933
13 Bengals 0.931 0.933 0.932
14 Cowboys 0.926 0.938 0.932
15 Patriots 0.944 0.919 0.931
16 Texans 0.91 0.953 0.931
17 Titans 0.935 0.928 0.931
18 Panthers 0.94 0.917 0.928
19 49ers 0.921 0.933 0.927
20 Cardinals 0.935 0.917 0.926
21 Buccaneers 0.938 0.912 0.925
22 Eagles 0.948 0.894 0.921
23 Chiefs 0.908 0.932 0.92
24 Vikings 0.92 0.921 0.92
25 Falcons 0.887 0.951 0.919
26 Jets 0.93 0.909 0.919
27 Steelers 0.906 0.925 0.915
28 Browns 0.894 0.931 0.912
29 Seahawks 0.904 0.897 0.9
30 Bills 0.89 0.899 0.894
31 Lions 0.894 0.876 0.885
Last Raiders 0.85 0.896 0.873

Obviously a very interesting result.  The Packers were the only team that was in the top 5 in both percentages, but it didn't seem like they were that good.  Interesting how a lot of the best teams are higher, and the worst on the bottom.  Obviously, it's no shock that the Raiders ended up last, or that the Lions were 31st, but the Seahawks that low is interesting.

What are your thoughts on the "Offensive Line Efficiency Rating?"  I'll keep track of the stats and see where each team is, at the end of the season.
7 comments
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9/2/07
0
With all due respect, the Packers had nowhere near the best line in the league.  That is all.

9/2/07
0
I'm not sure how relevant this really is to be honest. Maybe directionally it shows a few things, but mostly it shows how well a running back can elude tacklers, in addition to how often teams ran.

Some of the worst OLines last year are in the top 10.

9/2/07
0
CriticalFanatic wrote:
I'm not sure how relevant this really is to be honest. Maybe directionally it shows a few things, but mostly it shows how well a running back can elude tacklers, in addition to how often teams ran.

Some of the worst OLines last year are in the top 10.
Usually when a run is for a loss, the offensive line missed their blocks, and I don't see how some of the worst are up there.  The Dolphins are a bit eh, but the rest of these lines weren't that bad, and the Packers were great at not allowing sacks last year.  The only questionable ones really are the Packers, Dolphins, and maybe the Giants.

Obviously, the run data isn't quite as good as the pass data, but it's the best I could come up with for now.  It's better than the nothingness that exists when it comes to offensive lines.

9/2/07
0
Figured it be interesting to try something "outside of the box" instead of the same old boring stuff.

9/2/07
0
MrNFL wrote:
Usually when a run is for a loss, the offensive line missed their blocks, and I don't see how some of the worst are up there.  The Dolphins are a bit eh, but the rest of these lines weren't that bad, and the Packers were great at not allowing sacks last year.  The only questionable ones really are the Packers, Dolphins, and maybe the Giants.

Obviously, the run data isn't quite as good as the pass data, but it's the best I could come up with for now.  It's better than the nothingness that exists when it comes to offensive lines.
Adjusted Line Yards and Adjusted Sack Rate, both Football Outsiders' creations.

Top 10 in ALY:

1. Chargers
2. Jags
3. Eagles
4. Giants
5. Colts
6. Rams
7. 49ers
8. Cowboys
9. Bears
10. Bengals

And is ASR:

1. Ravens
2. Colts
3. Packers
4. Saints
5. Bears
6. Redskins
7. Giants
8. Panthers
9. Chargers
10. Bucs

9/2/07
0
gearhead wrote:
Adjusted Line Yards and Adjusted Sack Rate, both Football Outsiders' creations.

Top 10 in ALY:

1. Chargers
2. Jags
3. Eagles
4. Giants
5. Colts
6. Rams
7. 49ers
8. Cowboys
9. Bears
10. Bengals

And is ASR:

1. Ravens
2. Colts
3. Packers
4. Saints
5. Bears
6. Redskins
7. Giants
8. Panthers
9. Chargers
10. Bucs
Damn, how the hell do they keep track of all of that?  That has to take a load of time.  That adjusted line yards is a pretty interesting concept.

The sack rate doesn't look too much different from the containment percentage if you take the opposite percentage.  (3% instead of 97% etc.)  Although they probably adjusted some of how the pass attempts.  (Get rid of spikes, etc)

Either way, Green Bay for pass blocking, although they drop off against the run as expected.

Obviously, the rushing efficiency numbers are kinda sketchy, I just kinda came up with that out of the top of my head.

9/2/07
0
I agree with this somewhat.  Watching the Eagles, man they do get stuffed a crap load of times, but you also have to figure...what about teams who run alot of screens.  The linemen move instead of taking their block, which allowed the linemen to get through.  Then if the pass is dropped, or if the play never develops, it's not always the linemans fault. 

 
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