Why the Jets Will make the Playoffs in 2013

Why the Jets WILL MAKE the playoffs in 2013

9/2/13 in NFL   |   fvittorini   |   8 respect

Before you laugh or think I am drunk, hear me out on why the 2013 New York Jets will make the playoffs. First off, Rex Ryan is good for one guarantee on a football field, and that is putting together a top 10 defense. In 4 years as New York Jets HC, Rex Ryan has put together a top 10 defense four out of four years (1st, 3rd, 5th, 8th). So that WILL HAPPEN in 2013, especially with two top 15 def picks from this past year’s draft (Milliner, Richardson).

Now think about over those years, who Rex has had leading the charge on offense ... Mark Sanchez and two really bad offensive coordinators. These offenses were so bad and turned the ball over so much that you scratch your head wondering how Rex managed to put together a top 10 defense, when his defense stayed out on the field, longer than I stay out at a bar, and turned the ball over during commercial breaks. Goes to show Rex’s genius on defense.
Aug. 18, 2013; East Rutherford, NJ, USA; New York Jets head coach Rex Ryan on the sidelines against the Jacksonville Jaguars during the second half at MetLife Stadium. Jets win 37-13. Mandatory Credit: Debby Wong-USA TODAY Sports
Let’s take a dive into these offense.

Since 2009 the Jets offense has been ranked 20th, 11th, 25th, 30th - with a passing offense ranked 31st, 22nd, 21st, 30th! Since 2009 the Jets QB Mark Sanchez has ranked 119th out of 119 starting quarterbacks (played a min of 10 games) in passer rating index. And a QB who has turned the ball over 52 times, since 2010; the most in the NFL.

So the question becomes - how in hell did the Jets win 4 playoff games, and make it to 2 AFC Championship games since 2009, with these awfully, awful offenses? I know, I know, pick me, pick me!!!!!! Because of Rex Ryan’s defense, and the emotional confidence Rex gives his players. AND FOLKS - REX is not going anywhere in 2013, and the QB and offensive coordinator are MUCH BETTER!

When Mark Sanchez got hurt, and Geno Smith was “basically” made the starter, the Jets did what Geno said they would on draft day - MAKE THE PLAYOFFS. I know Geno Smith showed us nothing against the Giants to think he will play good enough to led the Jets to the playoffs in his first year; but he only needs to be average for the Jets to make the playoffs.
Aug 24, 2013; East Rutherford, NJ, USA; New York Jets quarterback Geno Smith (7) drops back to pass against the New York Giants during the first quarter of a preseason game at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
If you studied Geno in college, and looked at the numbers, you’d know that Geno DOES NOT have an interception addiction like Mark Sanchez. Even at USC Sanchez averaged an interception every 30 throws, while Geno only averaged an interception every 69 throws at West Virginia. I am also fairly confident that the main reason Geno looked so bad against the Giants was because his style of quarterbacking takes time to work at the NFL level. Geno’s game is predicated on short-intermediate routes, and WRs getting YAC (yards after catch). In his first start against the Giants, Geno did not know the offense well enough to put receivers in positions to run after the catch. To turn a 5-10 yard throw into a 25-30 yarder, which Geno did in his sleep at WVU, it requires a QB understanding the defenses coverage scheme and positioning, and then perfectly timing a throw with a WRs break. Tough task for a QB in his first ever start, when he has an iffy ankle, been splitting reps, and under a new OC in Marty (who is also in his first year in NY). Geno doesn’t have the natural arm ability of the Lucks or RGIIIs to just come out and impress right away. All we need is average, and he will be average in 2013.

I think Marty Mornhinweg’s West Coast system is a great fit for Geno, as this offense has already shown flashes of brilliance this preseason. This preseason, Marty Mornhinweg’s offense was ranked 4th overall in THE NFL, with the 2nd ranked pass offense (avg 286 passing yards per game), and 2nd in the NFL in TDs with 12. If you remember last year we had a pathetic 1 TD all preseason (worst - 32nd). As a Jets fan I can finally see WRs being completely open, and route combinations that actually look like route combinations. Matt Simms is even looking like BIG PAPA. Now Marty has been calling and studying offensive plays since 1989 with QBs like Steve Young, so there is a lot of progress being made on the Jets offense as we speak. Not like last year’s offensive coordinator, Tony Sparano, who coached offense for some extra cannoli money.
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9/3/13   |   nyjets891   |   36 respect

Love it Frank! Love seeing the positive outlook. Too much negativity

9/3/13   |   GFortier   |   520 respect

The Jets' strengths are lie on the defensive and offensive lines, and when you win in the trenches, any number of good things can follow from there.

I think that one of the best aspects of the NFL is that for just about every team you can put together a coherent argument as to why that team can be competitive in any particular season, and despite popular belief, there is a plausible scenario in which the Jets make the playoffs this year. I think you've done a good job of outlining that scenario here.

On the flip side, there are a number of reasons why the Jets most likely won't make the playoffs this year. We're just going to see how things shake out.