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What Caused the Great Scoring Bottleneck? (Edited 11/18/09 06:57PM by HolyRollin)
Read the Article: What Caused the Great Scoring Bottleneck?

What Caused the Great Scoring Bottleneck? <span style="font-size:12px;">(Edited 11/18/09 06:57PM by HolyRollin)</span> Photo

In 1991, the Art Ross Trophy winner (given to the leading scorer in the NHL) was Wayne Gretzky, with 163 points. By 2004 (the year before the lockout), the Art Ross Trophy winner, Martin St. Louis, finished with 93 points. Totals for goals and assists were also down dramatically in that 14-year span as well.

What gives? The Lockout Rules were supposed to increase scoring, and according the numbers in the article provided, they did -- for a time. Scoring has dipped yet again, so I want to ask you, my fellow FANatIQs, what you feel the reason for this bottleneck is.
| Closed on 01/25/10 at 07:00PM
FanIQ Pts? No | NHL | Multiple Choice Opinion Poll
Team Breakout:
14 Fans 
7%a. 1990's Expansion Craze
7%b. Increased Competition from European Players
21%c. Popularization of Neutral Zone Trap
14%d. Dump-and-Chase Coaching Philosophy
21%e. Increase in Penalties
14%f. Thicker Goaltender Padding
0%g. All of the Above
14%h. Other

  
9 Comments | Sorted by Most Recent First | Red = You Disagreed
Vote for your favorite comments. Fans decide the Top Comment (3+ votes) and also hide poor quality comments (4+ votes).
#1 | 1279 days ago

It looks like the lockout rules increased scoring slightly when they were implemented in 2006, but they've been declining ever since.  I think it may just part of a cycle though.  If you look at the early-to-mid 1990s trends, the scoring was up and down year by year.  I say give it another year or so and you might see a bit of a jump in the scoring again.  We shall see.
Thicker Goaltender Padding  
#2 | 1279 days ago

qtowndogg wrote:
It looks like the lockout rules increased scoring slightly when they were implemented in 2006, but they've been declining ever since.  I think it may just part of a cycle though.  If you look at the early-to-mid 1990s trends, the scoring was up and down year by year.  I say give it another year or so and you might see a bit of a jump in the scoring again.  We shall see.
It's entirely possible that it could be a cycle. Also, if you look at scoring on a long enough timeline, it appears to form a bell curve, with the peak of the curve hitting somewhere around the late-80's. It could just be that we're now beginning to settle back down to manageable levels, and that that 15-year period between 1980 and 1995 was just an anomaly. It's also important to remember the effect that having scorers like Lemieux, Gretzky, and Hull had on other players as well. 

We'll see where this goes.
1990's Expansion Craze  
#3 | 1279 days ago

I think how the game was called / officiated and the goalie equipment also played a role in the decline. Along with "all of the above." I'd like to see how the graph for penalties called over the years matches up to scoring. That is very interesting stuff HolyRollin. Good job.
Increase in Penalties  
#4 | 1279 days ago

marcus_nyce wrote:
I think how the game was called / officiated and the goalie equipment also played a role in the decline. Along with "all of the above." I'd like to see how the graph for penalties called over the years matches up to scoring. That is very interesting stuff HolyRollin. Good job.
 You're right. I completely forgot to put the penalty/goalie pad reason up there. Thanks!
1990's Expansion Craze  
#5 | 1279 days ago

HolyRollin wrote:
 You're right. I completely forgot to put the penalty/goalie pad reason up there. Thanks!
I really like your bell-curve. Nobody ever brings up the statistical anomaly aspect. I gotta find a site with this info. It's gotta be on hockey-reference or something.
Increase in Penalties  
#6 | 1274 days ago

marcus_nyce wrote:
I really like your bell-curve. Nobody ever brings up the statistical anomaly aspect. I gotta find a site with this info. It's gotta be on hockey-reference or something.
Most of the info I got came off of hockey-reference.com, which is loaded with all sorts of fun statistical goodies. Give it a whirl and see if you come up with something different.
1990's Expansion Craze  
#7 | 1267 days ago

Overall scoring has been up since the lockout. I think it has just become harder for a single skater to dominate. I am not sure why this is happening, though. It just seems like teams have become more relaint on three, or even four lines, instead of the old days where the top two lines would see most of the minutes, and third and fourth would just see PK time or "goon" time. There is also less 4 on 4 or even 3 on 3 time that was seen so often in the Gretzky days that would allow players like him to dominate. Increased penalties also keep star players off the ice when their team is the one taking the penalties.
Other  
#8 | 1266 days ago

nyrangers wrote:
Overall scoring has been up since the lockout. I think it has just become harder for a single skater to dominate. I am not sure why this is happening, though. It just seems like teams have become more relaint on three, or even four lines, instead of the old days where the top two lines would see most of the minutes, and third and fourth would just see PK time or "goon" time. There is also less 4 on 4 or even 3 on 3 time that was seen so often in the Gretzky days that would allow players like him to dominate. Increased penalties also keep star players off the ice when their team is the one taking the penalties.
I think there could be something to that.  Today's goons are relied upon to be a little more than just enforcers.  Many now actually have some hockey skills.  I think the days of the one-dimensional goon are almost over.
Popularization of Neutral Zone Trap  
#9 | 1266 days ago

ML31 wrote:
I think there could be something to that.  Today's goons are relied upon to be a little more than just enforcers.  Many now actually have some hockey skills.  I think the days of the one-dimensional goon are almost over.
 Aww, I liked the one-dimensional goons. :(
1990's Expansion Craze  

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