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Grading the College Football Experts Week 4 - Sporting Another Dunce

by CriticalFanatic CriticalFanatic 9/26/06
Experts AND fans should be held accountable for their predictions.  We'll be entering all the expert picks each week and comparing them with the FanIQ consensus to determine the real experts. In order to properly grade the experts, we evaluate in two categories - picking straight up winners and versus the spread.

Picking Winners - Week 4

FanIQ Consensus
(35-7) maintained status quo during a straightforward week. Fans now posses an .850 winning percentage for the season, still ahead of the experts at .828.  The biggest upsets this week were NC State with just 10% of fans picking the Wolfpack over Boston College, Washington (13%) over UCLA, and Army (14%) over Baylor.

Grading the College Football Experts Week 4 - Sporting Another Dunce PhotoReal Experts
- It was an easier week of prognosticating, particularly those selecting only ranked teams. However, only one expert posted a perfect mark, Jeremy Stone (YahooSports, pictured) picked the lone upset of NC State over BC en route to a 20-0 record. Three other experts missed only one game (19-1) - Terry Bowden (YahooSports), Johnny Rosenstein (Sportsline), and Dan Shanoff were near perfect. While they aren't going out on a limb and picking games outside the top 25, it should still be noted that Horowitz, Stone and Bowden are currently the top three experts on the season. Standings through 4 weeks.

Grading the College Football Experts Week 4 - Sporting Another Dunce PhotoDunces
- The website dubbing itself "The Experts Choice" might want to look in the mirror. For the second straight week, Sporting News three college football stooges - Matt Hayes (9-3), Tom Dienhart (9-3, pictured) and Steve Greenberg (9-3) have kept the basement warm.  They do deserve some credit for venturing outside the rankings for their picks.  Can they make it three in a row next week?

Vegas Companions - Week 4

FanIQ Consensus
(20-16-2) would have put you in the green yet again with a .560 winning percentage, and also beat the expert average (.538). The most difficult games to pick for fans were Washington (14%) covering 3 points against UCLA, Houston (28%) covering point against Oklahoma State and Michigan State (27%) covering 3.5 against ND (albeit choking).

Grading the College Football Experts Week 4 - Sporting Another Dunce PhotoReal Experts - He can't pick straight up winners, but the Sporting News Steve Greenberg (7-3-1, pictured) performed admirably against the spread. Continuing its impressive run (.620 on the season), CBS Sportsline Harmon Forecast was right on again this week (23-13-2).  Also going on the record for each game every week, Rich Cirminiello of College Football News displayed his own expertise (22-14-2) against the odds.

Dunces
- Cirminiello's colleagues at College Football News would have lost you money. Pete Fiutak (17-19-2) dipped under .500 for the first time this year and John Harris (15-20-2) took the dunce crown with the worst record of all experts against the spread.

Complete Week 4 Expert Standings 

Come back each Tuesday for weekly results as well as an update on where all experts stand for the season. Think you can do better?  Make your picks below:

Read Related:  NCAAF

09/30/06 Ohio St. @ Iowa -- who will win?
Final Score: Ohio St. Buckeyes 38, Iowa Hawkeyes 17

Read the Article: Grading the College Football Experts Week 4 - Sporting Another Dunce

Scored by Nick S on 09/30/06 at 12:08PM | Closed on 09/30/06 at 08:00PM
FanIQ Pts? Yes | NCAAF, Ohio St. Buckeyes, Iowa Hawkeyes | Prediction Poll
Teams:  Iowa Hawkeyes | Ohio St. Buckeyes
Team Breakout:
Correct Answer22 Experts273 Fans 
Correct82%80%a. Ohio St.
18%20%b. Iowa

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